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初瑞的日记

微薄🔍初瑞的日记Bit,币圈八年老手,致力于波段、中长线的诊断!🐧,2354390944,🐼
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For the pancake, this round of bottom fishing has also been played, and next we will have more around 109000~109500 $BTC #加密市场回调
For the pancake, this round of bottom fishing has also been played, and next we will have more around 109000~109500 $BTC #加密市场回调
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姨太当前处于3894,近期低点到了3836,可把3830-3850区间看作短期关键支撑,若价格在这一区间企稳,可尝试轻仓建多。 建议: 姨太3840附近看多,目标看向4030 $ETH #加密市场回调
姨太当前处于3894,近期低点到了3836,可把3830-3850区间看作短期关键支撑,若价格在这一区间企稳,可尝试轻仓建多。

建议:

姨太3840附近看多,目标看向4030

$ETH #加密市场回调
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下午的空单都止盈了,你们怎么还有人没跟上呢?
下午的空单都止盈了,你们怎么还有人没跟上呢?
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⏰2 AM! The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision is about to be revealed! Previous value 4.25%, the market expects it to drop to 4.00%. Is this a slowdown in rate hikes or a direct rate cut? Night owls, get ready to wait; exchange rates and U.S. stocks might start moving again🤔
⏰2 AM! The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision is about to be revealed!
Previous value 4.25%, the market expects it to drop to 4.00%. Is this a slowdown in rate hikes or a direct rate cut?
Night owls, get ready to wait; exchange rates and U.S. stocks might start moving again🤔
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The direction given in the morning was spot on, the expectation was a rise during the day, but the market played tricks, leading to some fluctuations, and it also perfectly took profits in the evening!
The direction given in the morning was spot on, the expectation was a rise during the day, but the market played tricks, leading to some fluctuations, and it also perfectly took profits in the evening!
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Is the US stock market opening again trying to deceive people? Don't fall for it, this time it hit a thousand points again 🥩, are you still regretting not getting in just now?
Is the US stock market opening again trying to deceive people? Don't fall for it, this time it hit a thousand points again 🥩, are you still regretting not getting in just now?
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The afternoon big pancake has arrived near the target, and this wave has steadily grasped nearly a thousand points!
The afternoon big pancake has arrived near the target, and this wave has steadily grasped nearly a thousand points!
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Don't chase high prices or gamble on single trades; profits in the cryptocurrency world can also be 'steady and solid'. Focus on mainstream assets, follow the trend and rhythm, avoid short-term volatility traps, exchange controllable risks for certain returns, no need to stay up all night anxiously watching the market, let profits gradually accumulate, and outperform most blind operations in the long run!
Don't chase high prices or gamble on single trades; profits in the cryptocurrency world can also be 'steady and solid'. Focus on mainstream assets, follow the trend and rhythm, avoid short-term volatility traps, exchange controllable risks for certain returns, no need to stay up all night anxiously watching the market, let profits gradually accumulate, and outperform most blind operations in the long run!
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Tonight Powell speaks: Interest rate cut confirmed, balance sheet reduction will stop, policy fog not yet lifted At 12:00 AM Beijing time on October 30, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, bringing the federal funds rate down to 3.75%-4.00%. This is the second easing shift this year. Powell's speech released two core signals: First, the balance sheet reduction is entering its final stage, clearly stating that "it may stop reducing the balance sheet in the coming months" to alleviate liquidity pressure from insufficient bank reserves and overnight rate spikes; second, the public acknowledgment of policy divergence, admitting the easing reasons for the cooling job market while not ruling out the possibility of pausing interest rate cuts in December, suggesting the need to observe the subsequent impacts of inflation and tariffs. In the face of Trump's pressure to change leadership, Powell directly emphasized that "Federal Reserve policy is not subject to political interference," maintaining the bottom line of central bank independence. Market reaction is somewhat optimistic: U.S. Treasury yields slightly fell, U.S. stocks edged up, but the divergence on whether to continue cuts in December still raised volatility expectations—tonight's "dovish tone" is a short-term positive, but it is difficult to dispel the long-term concerns of stagflation risks and policy games. #美联储降息预期
Tonight Powell speaks: Interest rate cut confirmed, balance sheet reduction will stop, policy fog not yet lifted

At 12:00 AM Beijing time on October 30, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, bringing the federal funds rate down to 3.75%-4.00%. This is the second easing shift this year. Powell's speech released two core signals:

First, the balance sheet reduction is entering its final stage, clearly stating that "it may stop reducing the balance sheet in the coming months" to alleviate liquidity pressure from insufficient bank reserves and overnight rate spikes; second, the public acknowledgment of policy divergence, admitting the easing reasons for the cooling job market while not ruling out the possibility of pausing interest rate cuts in December, suggesting the need to observe the subsequent impacts of inflation and tariffs.

In the face of Trump's pressure to change leadership, Powell directly emphasized that "Federal Reserve policy is not subject to political interference," maintaining the bottom line of central bank independence.

Market reaction is somewhat optimistic: U.S. Treasury yields slightly fell, U.S. stocks edged up, but the divergence on whether to continue cuts in December still raised volatility expectations—tonight's "dovish tone" is a short-term positive, but it is difficult to dispel the long-term concerns of stagflation risks and policy games. #美联储降息预期
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Trump's 'Lagging' Attack on Powell: A Showdown Between Federal Reserve Independence and White House Political Demands!When Trump used the nickname 'Jerome 'Too Late' Powell' during his speech at the APEC summit to trigger laughter from the audience, this seemingly light-hearted jibe was, in fact, the latest footnote in the ongoing struggle between U.S. executive power and central bank independence. On October 29, the current U.S. president once again aimed his criticisms at the Fed Chairman, accusing him of slow action on interest rate cuts and even stating, 'I will not let the Fed raise rates because of concerns about inflation three years from now'—behind these remarks is a fierce collision between the White House's economic demands and the Fed's policy logic, which also plants multiple variables for the future of the U.S. economy.

Trump's 'Lagging' Attack on Powell: A Showdown Between Federal Reserve Independence and White House Political Demands!

When Trump used the nickname 'Jerome 'Too Late' Powell' during his speech at the APEC summit to trigger laughter from the audience, this seemingly light-hearted jibe was, in fact, the latest footnote in the ongoing struggle between U.S. executive power and central bank independence. On October 29, the current U.S. president once again aimed his criticisms at the Fed Chairman, accusing him of slow action on interest rate cuts and even stating, 'I will not let the Fed raise rates because of concerns about inflation three years from now'—behind these remarks is a fierce collision between the White House's economic demands and the Fed's policy logic, which also plants multiple variables for the future of the U.S. economy.
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There is no eternal bear market, nor is there an everlasting bull market. Only by enduring the desolation of the lows can one receive the gifts of the market. As long as you stick to the right direction, it cannot be considered a loss! $BTC
There is no eternal bear market, nor is there an everlasting bull market. Only by enduring the desolation of the lows can one receive the gifts of the market. As long as you stick to the right direction, it cannot be considered a loss! $BTC
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The "Dollar Narrative" and On-chain Game from the Perspective of the Crypto Space!Today's Trump speech at the Busan APEC summit resembles more of an "on-chain declaration of US dollar hegemony" in the crypto context - while binding allies with traditional trade chips, it subtly lays down "compliance shackles" for the crypto market, and even "soybean anxiety" can be interpreted as "the new battlefield for stablecoin anchoring assets". 1. "Soybeans = Stablecoin Anchor": On-chain penetration of traditional assets When Trump shouted "Make Soybeans Great Again", the first reaction of KOLs in the crypto space was: "Is this finding a new anchor asset for the US dollar stablecoin?" After all, current stablecoins like USDT and USDC mainly anchor to US dollar cash and government bonds, but the 30 million tons of soybeans backlogged in American agricultural states happen to be a potential target for "on-chain physical asset" - if the US includes soybeans in the stablecoin collateral pool, it can both digest inventory and add a layer of "physical endorsement" to the US dollar stablecoin, hedging the market's trust crisis regarding "pure fiat currency anchoring".

The "Dollar Narrative" and On-chain Game from the Perspective of the Crypto Space!

Today's Trump speech at the Busan APEC summit resembles more of an "on-chain declaration of US dollar hegemony" in the crypto context - while binding allies with traditional trade chips, it subtly lays down "compliance shackles" for the crypto market, and even "soybean anxiety" can be interpreted as "the new battlefield for stablecoin anchoring assets".

1. "Soybeans = Stablecoin Anchor": On-chain penetration of traditional assets

When Trump shouted "Make Soybeans Great Again", the first reaction of KOLs in the crypto space was: "Is this finding a new anchor asset for the US dollar stablecoin?"
After all, current stablecoins like USDT and USDC mainly anchor to US dollar cash and government bonds, but the 30 million tons of soybeans backlogged in American agricultural states happen to be a potential target for "on-chain physical asset" - if the US includes soybeans in the stablecoin collateral pool, it can both digest inventory and add a layer of "physical endorsement" to the US dollar stablecoin, hedging the market's trust crisis regarding "pure fiat currency anchoring".
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Yesterday's wave was well-controlled, the small surge at the front was indeed a bit misleading, but it also made a significant contribution to the situation, and those who kept up with the rhythm have already enjoyed their meal!
Yesterday's wave was well-controlled, the small surge at the front was indeed a bit misleading, but it also made a significant contribution to the situation, and those who kept up with the rhythm have already enjoyed their meal!
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Yesterday, my aunt gave a high position 🈳, and this is not breaking through the target point in the early morning, a small hundred points taken!!!
Yesterday, my aunt gave a high position 🈳, and this is not breaking through the target point in the early morning, a small hundred points taken!!!
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SOL first surged to 203 and encountered resistance, the 15-minute line continuously declined, breaking through the oscillation platform, while net outflows soared to -280 million USD—this dual negative impact of technical breakdown and capital withdrawal directly led to a collapse in the trend; Now it has dropped to the short-term support near 190, and next it will either oscillate here for repair or break down further, with the key being whether capital will flow back. Suggestion: SOL can be shorted around 195~197, targeting 180 SOL can be longed around 192, targeting 203$SOL #加密市场回调
SOL first surged to 203 and encountered resistance, the 15-minute line continuously declined, breaking through the oscillation platform, while net outflows soared to -280 million USD—this dual negative impact of technical breakdown and capital withdrawal directly led to a collapse in the trend;
Now it has dropped to the short-term support near 190, and next it will either oscillate here for repair or break down further, with the key being whether capital will flow back.
Suggestion:
SOL can be shorted around 195~197, targeting 180
SOL can be longed around 192, targeting 203$SOL #加密市场回调
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After the previous rise to 4174, there has been a continuous decline, directly breaking through the short-term support, forming a weak structure of 'high resistance + trend decline'; the net outflow reached -795 million USD, indicating that bullish funds have significantly withdrawn, with selling pressure concentrated and the movement of funds resonating with the technical decline; the previous bearish sentiment of BTC has transmitted to ETH, causing mainstream coins to weaken in tandem, further reinforcing the bearish rhythm. Suggestion: A short position can be considered for ETH around 4000-4030, targeting 3900. A long position can be considered for ETH around 3950-3980, targeting 4150$ETH #加密市场回调
After the previous rise to 4174, there has been a continuous decline, directly breaking through the short-term support, forming a weak structure of 'high resistance + trend decline'; the net outflow reached -795 million USD, indicating that bullish funds have significantly withdrawn, with selling pressure concentrated and the movement of funds resonating with the technical decline; the previous bearish sentiment of BTC has transmitted to ETH, causing mainstream coins to weaken in tandem, further reinforcing the bearish rhythm.
Suggestion:
A short position can be considered for ETH around 4000-4030, targeting 3900.
A long position can be considered for ETH around 3950-3980, targeting 4150$ETH #加密市场回调
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From the 15-minute chart, it first surged to 116380 but encountered resistance and fell back. Subsequent rebounds failed to break through the 115500 resistance level, forming a weak pattern of 'rising high and falling back + consecutive bearish days,' clarifying a short-term bearish trend; net outflow has consistently maintained at -200 million+ dollars, indicating that bullish funds are withdrawing, and selling pressure is gradually accumulating, with fund movements and technical patterns resonating; the post-market gains of US tech stocks have narrowed, weakening BTC's correlated upward momentum, and external sentiment is also leaning bearish. Suggestions: You can short Bitcoin around 113300 to 113600, targeting 110000. You can long Bitcoin around 112000 to 111500, targeting 114000. $BTC #加密市场回调
From the 15-minute chart, it first surged to 116380 but encountered resistance and fell back. Subsequent rebounds failed to break through the 115500 resistance level, forming a weak pattern of 'rising high and falling back + consecutive bearish days,' clarifying a short-term bearish trend; net outflow has consistently maintained at -200 million+ dollars, indicating that bullish funds are withdrawing, and selling pressure is gradually accumulating, with fund movements and technical patterns resonating; the post-market gains of US tech stocks have narrowed, weakening BTC's correlated upward momentum, and external sentiment is also leaning bearish.

Suggestions:

You can short Bitcoin around 113300 to 113600, targeting 110000.

You can long Bitcoin around 112000 to 111500, targeting 114000.

$BTC #加密市场回调
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The pancake short strategy given yesterday has been nailed down! Entry around 115500, and now it has dropped to 112150, directly capturing a space of 3000 points💥 Partners who followed the rhythm, has zi gold already started to surge? #加密市场回调
The pancake short strategy given yesterday has been nailed down!
Entry around 115500, and now it has dropped to 112150, directly capturing a space of 3000 points💥
Partners who followed the rhythm, has zi gold already started to surge? #加密市场回调
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The market in October can be described as a roller coaster, with some able to take it up and put it down, while others cannot take it up or put it down. However, fortunately, we have not fallen behind in the larger direction, and with more space for transformation, even small opportunities that arise can be steadily grasped!
The market in October can be described as a roller coaster, with some able to take it up and put it down, while others cannot take it up or put it down. However, fortunately, we have not fallen behind in the larger direction, and with more space for transformation, even small opportunities that arise can be steadily grasped!
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Gold "Bull Market Brake"?On Tuesday, spot gold briefly recovered the $4,000 mark before returning to a downward trend, touching $3,960 per ounce. Industry executives stated that the previous gold surge had departed from a sustainable trajectory, and the current decline has eliminated some market "bubbles." Gold prices have surged 27% in just seven weeks and reached a high of $4,381 per ounce on October 20. Industry insiders say this surge is driven by investor "speculative" positions. Currently, gold prices have fallen more than 9% from recent highs. Industry executives expect gold prices to enter a deeper adjustment phase in the coming weeks. They believe this decline is a "healthy correction" to an unsustainable surge, which is commendable.

Gold "Bull Market Brake"?

On Tuesday, spot gold briefly recovered the $4,000 mark before returning to a downward trend, touching $3,960 per ounce. Industry executives stated that the previous gold surge had departed from a sustainable trajectory, and the current decline has eliminated some market "bubbles."
Gold prices have surged 27% in just seven weeks and reached a high of $4,381 per ounce on October 20. Industry insiders say this surge is driven by investor "speculative" positions. Currently, gold prices have fallen more than 9% from recent highs.
Industry executives expect gold prices to enter a deeper adjustment phase in the coming weeks. They believe this decline is a "healthy correction" to an unsustainable surge, which is commendable.
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