女帝的大户日记

If $BTC rises and breaks through $98,000, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $1.275 billion.

Right now, Bitcoin is stuck at a critical price point! According to the liquidation map, if Bitcoin rises above $98,000, those betting on its decline will have to collectively face the consequences, with the liquidation scale potentially reaching $1.2 billion. At that point, the price might be pushed up sharply, but one must also be careful not to get caught in a false breakout.

Conversely, if it falls below $93,000, retail investors who are long will have to cut their losses, with $800 million in long liquidations likely to further panic the market. If you currently feel helpless and confused in trading, and want to learn more knowledge and cutting-edge information, follow me, and I will help you navigate through the bull-bear transitions without getting lost. #加密市场回调 #美国结束政府停摆 #ETH巨鲸增持

Will the market continue to decline?

Currently, the US stock market, including the S&P, has rebounded this morning, and the sentiment seems to be stabilizing... As for $BTC, it hasn't surged significantly, sigh, BTC has always declined without rising; rising takes time.
Although BTC hasn't significantly rebounded for now, the rise in the US stock market at least indicates that sentiment hasn't further deteriorated, right? Can it stabilize...?

Today at four o'clock, a Federal Reserve official hinted at hawkishness, saying it's hard to support a rate cut in December. Of course, whether or not to cut rates still needs to be negotiated. As of the time of writing, the CME predicts a 44.4% probability of a rate cut in December.

We still need to look at macro data; only with guidance can we determine whether a rate cut is possible in December.

Currently, the non-farm payroll data for September was originally supposed to be released on October 3rd, but there was a shutdown at that time, right? It will be released next Thursday. Then the October PCE and other data will be released on November 26.

The Fed can indeed reference this data to see if they can cut rates in December; if beneficial, then market sentiment will naturally recover.

Additionally, with the government reopening, fiscal liquidity is being released, such as wages and the like, and things should slowly return to normal next week.

So from today until Thursday. I don't know how things will go in these few days, and whether the data released on Thursday will be what the market wants. However, I feel that since they dare to release it, it indicates that it's the good data the market desires; this is just my personal opinion.

After all, $BTC is not far from the gap around 92. It's possible that someone will come and hit sentiment again, causing prices to continue to dip. After all, there's low liquidity over the weekend.

Personally, I think today can be okay; we'll see tomorrow...
I still hope to get through the weekend smoothly. Recently, I plan to position in a potential coin that has a very high chance of a strong surge, anticipating a 7-10x return is not a problem. Friends who want to join this big opportunity, feel free to share directly in the chat room. #美国结束政府停摆 #加密市场回调

The market is barely alive, and I’m killing it in the altcoin space. $SOON made a wild profit of 107% from two operations! Harvesting 36k+

Recently, major coins in the crypto space are playing dead, and the sideways action is making people want to sleep. But don’t forget, the bear market is the true hunter’s playground!

What I did last night was too late to mention, if you’ve had enough of passively taking hits, come play in the altcoin season with us. The worse the market gets, the quicker our knives become!

#美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美国结束政府停摆

This weekend BTC has started to rebound, but don't be fooled by this illusion; this rebound does not mean that the market is about to reverse upwards! It is very likely that we will face an even stronger and harsher decline ahead!

In terms of the short to medium term, this rebound is just for us to escape, not for us to increase our positions to catch the bottom. Are you trapped? When to increase positions and buy the dip? Feeling lost and helpless and don't know what to do? Follow me, and I'll give you ideas in the chat room. #美国结束政府停摆 #加密市场回调

CZ$ASTER 0.9's cost price, can we bottom out now?

Now we have really set up the team for $ASTER . Since CZ announced the buying cost price of 0.9, despite the market crashing sharply, it has never broken below this position of 0.9. For the past few days, the main force has been protecting the market.

Moreover, yesterday the lock-up date was changed! Apart from the S3 airdrop, which will be unlocked on December 15, 2025, totaling 200 million ASTER, all other unlocks have been changed to September 2026.

Therefore, we conclude that ASTER 0.9 is the bottom for CZ? Is it that it won't drop below to maintain CZ's face? There is still cost-effectiveness around 1U! Is it possible to turn 50,000 U into 500,000 U? What I want to say is, it's only a matter of 3 months, a new round of warehouse flipping training camp is being prepared, and for those who want to keep up and witness, the chat room is gathering! #加密市场回调 #山寨季來了？

Let's carve the boat and seek the sword again; the largest decline in 2024 was the event of Japan's interest rate hike on 8.5, which was 48000. After that, on 2024.9.6, it dipped again to 52000 before starting a big rise. The maximum correction point on 2025.4.9 was 74500, which happened to be the 0.618 retracement of 52500-110000. If we take 74500 on 4.9 as the starting point of this market, the 0.618 of 74500-126000 happens to be 94000 on 11.15.

If 10.11 equals 8.5 (although the price is not that deep, the damage to the crypto market is greater than 8.5), then a month later, 94000 on 11.15 is equivalent to the second dip of 52000 on 9.6.

However, the biggest problem right now is that the publication time for the support and bottoming data may be quite late next week, so it is very important not to continue the downward trend during this weekend of liquidity withdrawal.

The big one is coming! A divine order is about to be announced! The car is too heavy to be pulled! After careful consideration, I still choose to share in the chat room! If you want to get on the highway, you can call me!

#ETH巨鲸增持 #美国结束政府停摆

$BTC There is a high probability of a rebound small market:

1) According to past data, the four-hour level buy orders on the order book have increased, exceeding 120 million USD;
2) Four hours: a long lower shadow bullish candlestick accompanied by enhanced bullish volume, plus three lower shadow candlesticks, indicating that the bulls are fighting back;
3) Weekend ETF institutional selling has stopped, making it easier for bulls to capitalize on their victories;
4) Rebound target price around 100,000.

Judgment remains to be verified! Click on the avatar to follow me for more spot currency holding ideas and rolling position strategies for hundredfold coin selection. #加密市场回调 #美国结束政府停摆

Breaking! U.S. stocks, the Federal Reserve, Trump, and non-farm data are all coming together. Who will ignite the next wave of market trends?

Let’s take a look at what happened in the overnight market. U.S. stocks recovered quite well, especially Nvidia, which stabilized and rebounded, giving the market considerable confidence. As long as the AI bubble does not burst in the short term, the larger fundamentals should not be a problem.

At 4 o'clock, Logan unsurprisingly expressed opposition to the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates in December. Previously, she had opposed the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates in October because she was concerned about high inflation, which is trending upward, and that it would take too long to reach the Federal Reserve's 2% target. “As I look ahead to the December meeting, I find it difficult to support another rate cut unless we have compelling evidence that inflation is indeed declining faster than I expect, or we see the labor market not just gradually cooling,”

Currently, one important reason for the internal opposition to rate cuts at the Federal Reserve is that tariffs have affected inflation. Coincidentally, Trump is preparing to cut tariffs on beef, tomatoes, coffee, and bananas, which will have some effect on lowering food costs and controlling inflation.

From the market perspective, the Bitcoin daily line has stabilized at the 0.618 retracement level of 74000-126000. If it stabilizes here and forms a bottom, it would be reasonable. But the key question is, where is the supporting force?

According to the latest news, the Labor Department's Statistics Bureau is preparing to release the non-farm payroll data for September, which was originally scheduled for October 3rd, next Thursday. Since this data was compiled before the U.S. government shutdown, its credibility for the market is relatively high, making it the most important indicator for the Federal Reserve to consider before the December meeting. From a political logic standpoint, this data will definitely provide Trump’s group with the best possible basis for a rate cut for the Federal Reserve, and then we will see how the Federal Reserve responds.

The big one is coming! A mysterious order is about to be announced! The car is too heavy to pull! After careful consideration, I still choose to share in the chat room! If you want to go on the highway, you can call me!

#加密市场回调 #美国加征关税 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

Talking about two heart-wrenching matters: Big news in the cryptocurrency world! BlackRock and major players have liquidated their positions.

1. BlackRock has sold 170,000 Bitcoins and 260,000 Ethehreum within 30 days to #coinbase . The amount is not important; what matters is the confidence of large institutional representatives in cryptocurrency!

2. MicroStrategy's current stock price (MSTR) has fallen to the price it was in October 2024, which is $200, a drop of over 60%! If it continues to fall, the biggest risk will be MicroStrategy!

Sister Xin has prepared a list of several high-potential stocks for bottom fishing. Those who want to join should come to the chat room to unlock more spot contract strategies. Don't just be a participant in the bull market; be a winner in the bull market!

#加密市场回调 #美国结束政府停摆 #币安合约实盘

Top angle, He Yi's birthday is coming soon

Someone must send a birthday cake
🍰

After a fierce search with friends, the only concept I saw

Ambushed a bit, earned the title of the universe's most powerful dog-fighting genius

Is it possible to turn an initial capital of 50,000 U into 500,000 U? What I want to say is, it's just a matter of 3 months, the new round of capital turnover training camp is being prepared, if you want to keep up and witness, join the chat room!

#加密市场回调 #美国结束政府停摆 #加密市场观察

The current macro mainline is the frequent speeches by the Federal Reserve officials this week + the expected lack of key data after the government reopens = leading to a decline in the expectations for interest rate cuts in December, resulting in an orderly sell-off.

The government has officially resumed operations. Based on the shortest liquidity transmission time, wages will be paid back within 1-3 working days, and it could take 1-6 days. The wages entering the bank reserves provide an increase in preparations (regardless of whether it's for bill repayment or bank deposits), and the increase in bank reserves will provide liquidity to the market.

Therefore, as early as next week, the liquidity issue will undergo substantial changes. The next question is what 'reason' will be used to stimulate the inflow of liquidity into the U.S. stock market and crypto assets? Because there are not only these two investment markets in the world, how to attract money is a key point!

The expectations for interest rate cuts not only boost the risk market through interest rate easing but also because of future interest rate easing, stimulate consumers or investors to be willing to use funds for investment. So the core remains the critical interest rate path!

Next week, liquidity will return to the market, and the U.S. Department of Labor will gradually start to announce a new data update schedule. The market needs official data to boost expectations.

As for this week, I hope there won't be disappointment and panic again, and a stable close will suffice! Although the market is slightly sluggish now, opportunities to earn will come! Be patient and wait for the opportunity to arise. The chat room has been opened for everyone, and I will share the trading points later. #加密市场回调

$BDXN After a 300% Surge, the Whales are Moving! Is it a Lifesaving Elixir or a Fleeting Moment? Be Careful of Sudden Death When Getting In!

Family, after BDXN surged 300%, the dealers are still bullish, this operation is reminiscent of a casino giving out red bulls, making you excited to continue betting!

🚀
A 300% surge is like fireworks (only gunpowder smell remains after the bloom)

🚀
Whale movements are like sharks patrolling (calm on the surface but actually waiting for the right moment)

🚀
The bullish and bearish forces are extremely divided (buying strength is strong but short-term has retreated)
Long Strategy:
Initial Position Zone: 0.052 ~ 0.055 USDT (main force accumulation area, short-term downward kill support reference, can try small position low buy)
Add Position Zone: 0.046 ~ 0.048 USDT (extreme stepping, frequent liquidations, add positions when large whale inflows/hotspot movements occur)
Stop Loss Zone: 0.043 USDT (decisively stop loss when effectively breaking below short-term main force outflow)
Take Profit Zone: 0.060 ~ 0.064 USDT (when encountering major force reduction or significant capital outflow during phase rebound, take profit gradually)
Short Strategy:
Initial Position Zone: 0.060 ~ 0.064 USDT (when prices spike, main force reduces positions, frequent whale offloading or positive news fails to rise, lightly short)
Add Short Zone: 0.071 ~ 0.074 USDT (when extreme market surges, volume stagnates/when main force continues to offload, add short again)
Stop Loss Zone: 0.078 USDT (if there is a continuous explosive surge, and main force significantly inflows, decisively stop loss)
Take Profit Zone: 0.054 ~ 0.048 USDT (when encountering liquidation zones on the downside, main force support suggests gradually closing shorts)
Following Dealer Strategy

Three Principles for Retail Investors to Survive:

✅
Control position to within 0.5% (this volatility is equivalent to jumping off a cliff)

✅
Stop loss should be like pulling the power: immediately cut off power if it breaks 0.043 (don't wait for assets to go to zero)

🚫
Short selling is strictly prohibited (short selling when the dealer controls the market is equivalent to suicide)
Remember: When the dealer is still bullish after a 300% surge, either lightly buy at 0.052-0.055 or watch from the sidelines; running fast before the whale offloads is the real skill!

Big things are coming! A big order is about to be announced! The vehicle is too heavy to move! After much consideration, I still choose to share in the chatroom! If you want to get on the highway, you can call me! #美国结束政府停摆

$BTC Short-term bearish outlook, target 98,000, if it breaks, continue looking at 92,000.

The reason for this bearish outlook is very simple: to sum it up, it's about going with the trend.

After the U.S. government shutdown, the Treasury extracted nearly a trillion dollars in liquidity, coupled with the cooling expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, market funds have shifted towards safer assets like government bonds and gold, with high-risk asset BTC being the first to bear the brunt;

Moreover, technically, BTC formed a double top at 106,000 USD, with a dense concentration of long leverage orders, and breaking below the 102,000 USD support level will trigger a chain liquidation, while the decline in historical volatility also shows a depletion of upward momentum.

Therefore, the empress directly led the team to make a move near 106600, seizing the trend, and also withdrew the principal halfway to let the profits run. Are you stuck? When to add positions and buy the dip? Confused and helpless, not knowing what to do? Follow me, and I'll give you insights in the chat room.

#加密市场回调 #主流币轮动上涨 #美国结束政府停摆

今早以太坊一猛子扎到3100点时，现货杠杆玩家直接借U疯狂抄底，硬是把价格怼了回去。这招比合约狠多了，毕竟借币买现货是直接真金白银砸进市场，不像合约还能搞对冲。

结果刚反弹100点，这帮人就减仓跑路，人均才捞50点利润，典型的吃口热乎的就撤。要我说这操作真是又猛又怂，敢在暴跌时加杠杆，涨点又怕得要死，活该赚不到大钱。

大的要来了！现有一个神单即将公布！车太重拉不动！考虑再三还是选择在聊天室分享！想上高速可以Ca11我！

#加密市场回调 #美国结束政府停摆

$BTC 9.6 million - 98,000 contract long and short liquidation points!

Recently, Bitcoin has been stuck between the key price levels of $96,000 and $98,000. Once these two positions are broken or fall below, it may trigger large-scale forced liquidations of contracts.

If it breaks above $98,000, the short positions betting on a decline will be forced to close, bringing in a large amount of buying pressure, which may push prices up in the short term; if it breaks below $96,000, the long positions betting on an increase will be forced to sell, exacerbating the downward pressure. These liquidation data reflect the potential scale of automatic liquidations after the price touches the line, and the volatility risk will significantly increase.

Recently, I plan to ambush a potential coin with a high likelihood of a strong surge, expecting a return of 7-10 times is not a problem. Friends who want to catch this big opportunity can share directly in the chat room.

#Strategy增持比特币 #美国政府停摆

$BTC $ETH $SOL Institutions have all been trapped, what should retail investors do?

Recently, ETH and SOL have fallen below institutional cost prices, and top financial companies have collectively incurred losses exceeding 2.8 billion USD. This round of high-priced buying has directly trapped large funds as well.

Why do institutions also stumble? Ultimately, the overall environment is too poor, with the Federal Reserve raising interest rates and tightening regulations. When market sentiment collapses, high-risk assets are naturally sold off. Institutions have large volumes and find it difficult to turn around, so they can only endure losses, but they are betting on long-term rebounds; retail investors should not blindly follow.

The most critical points in the market now are two: will institutions cut losses and exit, and should retail investors enter the market to buy the dip? Here are some practical suggestions:

Those with positions should not rush to add more; first, see if the market stabilizes;

Those without positions who want to participate should use small amounts of capital, don’t go all in;

Keep an eye on the Federal Reserve’s policies and the flow of funds, and take action when sentiment warms up.

The market is not lacking in opportunities; what is lacking is surviving until the day those opportunities arrive. Stay steady, don’t get reckless!

Are you trapped? When should you add positions and buy the dip? Feeling confused and helpless about what to do? Follow me, and I’ll provide you with ideas in the chat room. #美国结束政府停摆 #Strategy增持比特币

$BTC Entering Bear Market, At the Key Node, Is it Breaking Support or Forming a Bottom?

I think Bitcoin has now entered a bear market. A set of indicators we have been tracking internally for a long time has proven quite accurate after several rounds of market cycles. This time, before Bitcoin started to decline, this set of indicators signaled a bearish outlook. At that time, looking at on-chain data and market conditions, one could feel that the upward momentum was weakening, and there weren't any substantial factors to drive a rebound.

Later, the price of Bitcoin clearly dropped, which also indicated that the signals given by that set of indicators were reliable. Recently, Bitcoin's performance is quite similar to the previous small bear market in many aspects. In this market situation, we need to pay special attention to key signals and strictly control risks, otherwise, it is very easy to lose money.

From the perspective of funds and macro conditions, the inflow speed of Bitcoin ETF has slowed down. Whether it is early investors or seasoned investors, they are all reducing their positions. In the short term, there are no big news to stimulate the market. How Bitcoin moves next will largely depend on what policies the Federal Reserve will implement.

The market has reached a very critical node, with several important price points. The first support level for Bitcoin in the bear market is $87,000, and the second support level is $74,000. There are also some macro factors that will determine whether Bitcoin continues to decline or starts to form a bottom and stabilize slowly.

Are you stuck? When to increase positions to bottom-fish? Feeling confused and helpless about what to do? Follow me, and the chat room will give you ideas. #Strategy增持比特币 #美国政府停摆