予屿

You can find my trading strategy here, save the QR code, scan it with Binance, 🆔:1gy5uyzig

There are still people waiting for ETH at 1500U, they are all good brothers so I won't @ him, why are they so neurotic every time it drops? It's really like they look at 1500U every time it drops and at breaking 10000U every time it rises. The price of ETH can definitely be entered in small batches; assuming you buy slowly every time it drops a few hundred U, my ETH position is currently stuck, but I'm not worried at all. No one can buy at the lowest point, and no one can sell at the highest point. $ETH $BTC $SOL #币安合约实盘

No need to wait, profit will come! The strategy for short positions on Bitcoin was perfectly executed in the morning, successfully securing 19000 oil, the satisfaction of waking up to rewards is overwhelming, directly maxed out! $ASTER $ZEC $MMT #币安合约实盘

Hahaha, I sold all my Ethereum at the recent high point of 4085. Now I think it's a good time to buy Sol. I believe Sol will rise more than Eth in the future. Its spot ETF has been buying continuously, and many people have not noticed yet. Now with Sol at 150, let's all wait and see. $ETH $BTC $SOL #币安HODLer空投MMT

If I go in more, I might as well die $ETH $BTC $SOL My liquidation is at 2700, I don't believe it can be liquidated, I rushed in with Yu #巨鲸动向

Is there anyone trapped in this market? Let Yu see how much has been trapped. Those who want to bottom fish can buy a little near 3200, and definitely have to set a stop-loss. If you don't set a stop-loss in this market, you'll be trapped $ETH $BTC $SOL #隐私币生态普涨

BTC has swept the lows on the Coinbase spot pair. It hasn't yet reached the lower shadow of the level from October 10.
If it can return to the ~107K area, the market may get excited again.
The stock market is a bit unstable, and the DXY reaching multi-month highs isn't helping much, but we will wait and see.
Personally, I am just trying to stay flexible and operate gradually. Cannot be too bearish at support levels, and cannot be too bullish at resistance levels. $ETH $BTC $SOL #巨鲸动向

The core logic of playing contracts is simple: do not seek to go far in the short term, only seek to last long in the long term. The trend is the best "umbrella"; following the trend can both avoid risks and steadily secure profits. Just like that morning's layout, it didn't take much effort, and the 16000 oil was in hand; this is the confidence of following the trend. $ETH $ASTER $GIGGLE #加密市场回调

Since the beginning of 2023, the 50-week EMA has been supporting Bitcoin
Every time the price touches it, market sentiment falls to the bottom
However, each time, it has stabilized and provided support for the next wave of increases
We are approaching the same level again
Will history repeat itself? Or will this time be different? $ETH $BTC $SOL #隐私币生态普涨

The overall market trend signals are clear, the short position strategy is precisely executed, and the target of 27,000 dollars has been successfully achieved! Understanding the market logic, grasping the rhythm, and profits will naturally follow! $ASTER $BTC $GIGGLE #加密市场回调

Since the sell-off yesterday, the open interest has decreased by $1 billion.
This morning it started to rebound, but has just decreased again by $800 million in open interest.
Interestingly, the last washout this time swept away many lows, but the open interest did not set a new low.
There are two interpretations: either most of the liquidity below has been exhausted, or some bulls are still holding on tightly and have not been washed out yet.
The answer will be known soon $ETH $BTC $SOL #币安合约实盘

The pancake 11000 dollars long position successfully secured! Following the trend never goes wrong, the market is strong, the rhythm is smooth, there is no reason not to profit! Next, continue to keep a close eye on the trend, the gains will only increase, not decrease! $ASTER $ETH $GIGGLE #币安合约实盘

Summary in one sentence:
The current volatility risk premium of BTC is still slightly negative, indicating that the market's expectations for future volatility remain relatively moderate, and option sellers have not received significant risk compensation, with overall volatility sentiment slightly below neutral.
From the end of October to the beginning of November, the VRP was below 0 for most of the time (-6% to 0%).
This indicates that during this period, implied volatility < realized volatility.
The market's option prices (I) have relatively underestimated the actual market volatility (RV).
In recent days (early November), the VRP has returned to slightly negative near 0, meaning:
1. Market volatility sentiment tends to balance, and option pricing is closer to actual volatility.
A rapid rebound to positive territory indicates that the market is repricing risk, which typically suggests an increase in concerns about future volatility (possibly driven by events or expectations).
Currently, near zero and slightly negative, the market is temporarily calm, but may be in a stage where "volatility is about to be repriced." $ETH $BTC $SOL #加密市场回调

It has been proven that no matter what kind of divine intervention or calls for trades, it is useless
With poor liquidity and a declining backdrop, it is all in vain
Once they buy and call for trades, the price rises instantly, allowing them to profit and run at any time, while you enter and haven't even typed out the words 'awesome' to post in the comments, you are already trapped. $ETH $ASTER $GIGGLE #加密市场回调

Do you still remember 2023.4 2023.10?
Do you still remember 2024.3—2024.10?
In a bull market, did you profit during the two segments of upward fluctuations in those two half-year oscillation cycles?
If not, how much profit did you give back?
Think back carefully, and you will quiet down and think more about the possible oscillation cycles within the elliptical circle.
In what way will it present itself, and how long will it last?
Is there hope for another wave of new Bitcoin highs?
Of course there is hope!
But the probability is not high.
And even if there is, how high can it go?
When discussing trading win rates and risk-reward ratios,
From these two perspectives, continuing to hold a position here or even using high leverage to be bullish has extremely low cost-effectiveness.
It might be better to wait for a major crash like '519' to gradually buy the dip~ The money in the market can never be fully earned, but losses can be played!
If you haven't experienced a full bull-bear cycle,
you might not realize how exciting the bear market from 2021.11—2022.11 was~$ETH $BTC $SOL #加密市场回调 #巨鲸动向

BTC has formed two important liquidity levels in the weekend range in the short term.
The price broke through the lower limit at 108.5K. There is still a good accumulation area near 112K.
On a larger scale, the levels of 105K-106K and 117K are worth paying attention to. $ETH $BTC #美联储降息 $SOL #法国比特币战略储备计划

In the past three days, Bitcoin spot ETFs have seen continuous net outflows, with outflows exceeding 1 billion US dollars. When the market is weak, everyone is selling, only countries like El Salvador and companies like MicroStrategy, which have long-term strategies, are increasing their holdings $ETH $BTC $SOL #币安合约实盘

On the first Monday of the week, the market fell again, and the bullish sentiment is gone? Let's not linger any longer; I will write it down. On this low liquidity Monday, this kind of fluctuating decline, I mentioned last week that apart from fully accepting the expectation that Old Powell will not cut interest rates in December (of course, this expectation can still be contested), there is also the U.S. government shutdown, and the longer this shutdown lasts, the worse it is for risk markets, especially the 24-hour cryptocurrency market. Moreover, it has already been nearly 33 days, with the historical longest being 35 days, breaking this duration will definitely scare the market.
So I have been saying that I hope the shutdown will end soon. Let's see if there will be any news this week.
Then back to the beginning, with the current decline, is the bullish sentiment gone?? In fact, BTC is still fluctuating above 105, but it has dropped below 11. Then ETH and SOL have both reached the support ranges I mentioned before (ETH range is 3,600-3,800, SOL is 162-179 USD).
For those saying the bullish sentiment is gone, I'm curious what your basis is? Simply thinking of the four-year halving cycle, is it now the end of 2017 or the end of 2021? It cannot be that simply looking for a sword in a boat anymore.
The main thing is that the easing trend has already genuinely arrived; even if the government shutdown ends next, and even if there is no interest rate cut in December, that does not mean the bullish sentiment is gone. Because the easing trend is just a matter of time. Can it immediately reverse to a tightening trend, right? Moreover, Old Powell has also said he wants to consider ending the balance sheet reduction.
Ending the balance sheet reduction, although it does not mean an immediate expansion of the balance sheet, is a positive signal for risk markets, as it stimulates investors' preferences for capital.

Currently, the main focus is on when the U.S. government shutdown will end. Then, the timely announcement of macro data (labor data, CPI, etc.) will gradually clarify the interest rate cut path.
I wonder if you guys still remember this chart? Although it's a bit of a cliché, it is still effective (DC greater than C) $BTC $ETH $SOL #RWA热潮

Today has been a day of slight fluctuations, not exceeding expectations which is the best outcome. Now, we mainly wait for Monday's opening of the US stock market to see if investor confidence has emerged from the shadow of Powell's statement about not cutting interest rates in December. However, I firmly believe in one principle: it is only a matter of time before the US enters full monetary easing.
This time may not come quickly, but it is an inevitable trend, so my current approach does not concern itself overly with whether we are in a "bear market" or a "bull market". I am focused on one thing: buying on dips, accumulating positions at lower levels, and buying more as prices drop. I have set my planning timeline to 2028; I've said this many times, and of course, I do not believe that only 2028 will be good.
In terms of political trends, I trust not only myself but also Trump. In terms of the trend of BTC, I also trust not just myself but also BlackRock.
Looking back at Bitcoin's data, I anticipated that today's turnover rate would be very low, and I mentioned yesterday that if today's turnover rate is low, it would indicate that user sentiment is starting to warm up. The result is not only a decrease in the turnover rate but a significant reduction; the turnover in the last 24 hours has only been about 12,000 BTC, which is an extremely low number.
Basically, this indicates that investors have no interest in trading at all. From the perspective of chip structure, it is still very stable, and no risks have been observed. Starting next week, the focus should be on the government shutdown; Trump's objectives are nearly accomplished, and continuing further could harm the economy more. Ending the shutdown will also help restore investor confidence. $ETH $BTC $SOL #法国比特币战略储备计划