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Advancing Skirt Skirt Public Species Good: Cryptocurrency Course Representative

11.6 Evening
Good evening everyone
The current position of sol is around 158.65. From the 1-hour K-line chart and indicators, the short-term trend shows a weak adjustment state with fluctuations, located below the middle track of the Bollinger Bands and near the lower track. The middle track is moving down, indicating a weak range in the short term, with the lower track being a key support level.
KDJ Indicator: K value, D value, and J value are all at low levels. Although there are signs of overselling, a golden cross has not yet formed, indicating insufficient rebound momentum.

MACD Indicator: DIF is below DEA, and the MACD bar is negative, with bearish forces still dominating.
In the next 1-4 hours, it is recommended to rebound to around the 162--168 position, targeting the 154--149 position around $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#币安HODLer空投SAPIEN #美国ADP数据超预期 #隐私币生态普涨

On the evening of 11.6
The Bitcoin midday flight situation has difficulty breaking through even the small-level middle track, which shows that the market has lost its strength, and the trend is strong.

From the four-hour perspective, it has been in a fluctuating downward trend, constantly suppressed by the middle track of the Bollinger Bands. The downward trend remains unchanged, and it is still recommended to focus on shorting at high positions during the day.

For Bitcoin, the resistance is at 103500 and around 104500 for shorting, looking down to 102000 and around 101000, and if broken, looking down to the 100000 level.
For Ethereum, the resistance is at 3450 and around 3500 for shorting, looking down to 3320 and around 3250, and if broken, looking down to 3150$BTC .
$ETH
$BNB
#币安HODLer空投SAPIEN #美国ADP数据超预期 #隐私币生态普涨

The employment data for the US in October that will be released tomorrow is simply a "sentiment bomb" hanging over the cryptocurrency market, just waiting to see when it will explode! To put it bluntly, these two numbers are the key to whether the US economy can "hold up"! If the data is better than expected, the Federal Reserve will certainly continue to raise interest rates, and when the dollar strengthens, the money in the cryptocurrency market will be sucked away to traditional markets, and the price of cryptocurrencies is likely to drop, potentially leading to a sea of red; but if the data disappoints, the Federal Reserve will have to consider cutting interest rates and injecting money into the economy, the dollar will weaken, and money will naturally flow into the cryptocurrency market, causing the coins in hand to possibly skyrocket, turning brilliant!

Don't think it's an exaggeration; once this data comes out, a 3%-5% jump in Bitcoin and Ethereum within half an hour is not unusual! Those playing with leverage better hold their phones tightly and keep their eyes peeled, or they might find themselves crying in front of the screen the next second, after all, the switch for the ups and downs in this cryptocurrency market is in the hands of this data! $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#币安HODLer空投SAPIEN #美国ADP数据超预期 #隐私币生态普涨

Why do I say that the altcoin season is about to start in the past few days? Let me clarify three points of logic for you.

1. Supply side: The chips have lightened.
After the clearing wave on October 11, most contract players have been washed out. Now the selling pressure on altcoins has basically cleared, and the cost for the main force to pull the market will be much lower.

2. Time aspect: The node has arrived.
Every year before Christmas is the 'financial report rally season' for project parties — they need to prepare annual reports and raise prices for year-end selling. Last year around this time, they were already accumulating strength. It's not like carving a boat to seek a sword, but the project party's 'end-of-year KPI rhythm' is indeed very stable.

3. Emotional aspect: Counter-intuitive layout.
Now 90% of people dare not touch altcoin spot; the more they hesitate to buy, the more it is likely a signal for the main force to start. In the last quarter of 2025, let’s first look at Polkadot (DOT):
Referring to the trend in mid-November last year, this wave is expected to see a range of $15-30, just hold onto the spot and wait for the rally.

Personal position sharing

Targets that Musk is paying attention to + Binance investment, seeing a short-term trend of $1 is completely reasonable, let’s follow the main force's rhythm. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#币安HODLer空投SAPIEN #美国ADP数据超预期 #隐私币生态普涨

Trump's words sound like passing the buck, but in fact, they are all subtext.
Brothers, Trump has spoken again today!
The government shutdown is real, but the stock market will reach new highs!
He said the government is closed now, which indeed affects market sentiment, and the stock market and Bitcoin are falling.
But guess who he blames?
Not himself, he says, "Someone is deliberately making a big deal out of this," creating chaos, just wanting to crash the stock market and Bitcoin together.
Why crash?
If it drops low, it’s a good time to buy the dip!
What he says sounds like passing the buck, but in fact, it’s all subtext,
Don’t panic, short-term fluctuations are caused by others playing tricks,
Long-term rise - it’s my credit.
What's even more ruthless is that statement, the stock market will reach new highs again.
It's like giving you a direct guarantee, whether you make money or not is a matter of your ability.
Now that it's down, it’s not a big deal, it will eventually rise back.
Think about it, does this rhythm seem familiar?
Before every big drop, there are always voices saying, "The golden pit is coming!"
Before every rebound, there are always people shouting in advance, "Don't be afraid, I will support the bottom."
Now Trump personally stands on stage,
Not shouting "save the market," but shouting "it will rise,"
What does it indicate?
The people above have no intention of truly suppressing the market.
Ordinary people just need to understand one thing:
The big shots talk about risk,
But their bodies are grabbing chips.
If you have spare cash in hand,
Don’t be scared,
Opportunities often quietly appear during these times of "hot air bombardment." $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#币安HODLer空投SAPIEN #隐私币生态普涨 #币安HODLer空投MMT

HYPE —— This guy is simply the 'prodigal son' of the crypto world. While everyone else is slacking off, he's gone ahead and submitted an ETF application directly to 21Shares. This is going to shake up the compliance circle! With the line goods and joy in place, pay attention to entering around 37.2~38.5, temporarily aiming for 50. If there's hesitation, just wait to slap your thigh!

What's even crazier is that HIP-3 has quietly gone live, and even U.S. stock platforms are opening their doors to customers. This scene is just packed! Right now, the entire crypto market seems frostbitten, and this wave of good news from HYPE feels like throwing a bomb! The key is the team's large unlock isn't until the end of November. If we don't take this opportunity to pump and distribute now, are we just going to wait until the New Year to drink the northwest wind? Don't just stare; if you hesitate, they'll finish distributing the meat, and then don't come crying to say I didn't remind you! $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#币安HODLer空投SAPIEN #隐私币生态普涨 #币安HODLer空投MMT

The US money market fund saw a surge of $120 billion in a single week as safe-haven funds accelerated inflow
According to the latest statistics from the money market data analysis company iMoneyNet, as of the week ending November 4, the total assets of US money market funds increased significantly by $119.99 billion. This notable influx of funds indicates that, in the context of the current US government shutdown reaching a historic record and increased volatility in valuations of AI tech stocks, a large number of investors continue to allocate capital to highly liquid, low-risk short-term instruments.
The surge in money market fund balances has absorbed a substantial amount of short-term liquidity in the financial system, increasing sensitivity to market interest rates. If this trend continues, it may exacerbate structural pressures in the short-term financing market and could prompt the Federal Reserve to consider other technical measures, such as increasing repurchase operations, to ensure stability in the money market while halting the balance sheet reduction in December. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#隐私币生态普涨 #币安HODLer空投MMT #币安合约实盘

BTC Afternoon Market View!
Medium-term small target reference around 108000!
Short-term trend Trading volume: 193.46 BTC extremely low, net capital inflow: +181 million moderate inflow, upward momentum insufficient, still possible to retrace to the 101000 level!
My thoughts for the afternoon: Short at around 103500-104000, target around 102500-101300! Some friends may ask, with both short-term and medium-term, will it be confusing? It's not confusing, the market trend looks bullish, short-term pullbacks are very normal! Those who like long-term can take a light position for the long term, and those who like short-term can also do some small swings! $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#隐私币生态普涨 #币安HODLer空投MMT #币安合约实盘

Where has the rice gone? The truth behind the U.S. dollar's siphoning + government negligence, global assets being "squeezed".

Have you noticed, folks? The "rice" in your wallet is secretly shrinking, funds are turning green, and even global assets are collectively crying out "Where has the rice gone?!" The mastermind behind this operation is hidden in two things👇

First, let's talk about the Federal Reserve's "harsh measures"—tapering. In simple terms, it's the U.S. dollar version of a "siphon" running at full throttle: starting from 2022, the Federal Reserve has been throwing U.S. Treasuries into the market, sucking out $2.4 trillion in liquidity over three years. The balance sheet has been cut from $9 trillion to $6.6 trillion. It’s like your home faucet is running (lowering interest rates), but the drain is continuously pulling water out (tapering); how can the water in the pool not panic? Bank borrowing rates have soared above 4%, companies find it hard to finance, and asset prices naturally can't hold.

Even more extreme, the U.S. government has come to "add insult to injury". The two parties are arguing over the budget, directly causing a government shutdown, leaving the Treasury no choice but to crazily stash money in its "private wallet" (TGA account) to survive, sucking up $700 billion in just three months. This operation is comparable to inserting a straw in a swimming pool that is already low on water, directly pushing the market into a "money shortage", forcing even the Federal Reserve to rely on repurchase tools for emergency relief.

So, half of the global assets' "rice" has been siphoned off by the Federal Reserve's U.S. dollar siphon, while the other half is hoarded by the U.S. government's "money-stashing wallet". No wonder gold has surged to $3,900/ounce; everyone is looking for a place to hide!

Now we just wait for the government shutdown to end and the Treasury to release the stashed rice. When do you think this "siphoning" will stop? Let's chat in the comments～$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#隐私币生态普涨 #币安HODLer空投MMT #币安合约实盘

11.5 Evening ETH Market Analysis

From the 4-hour technical perspective, the MACD green energy bars continue to remain in the negative territory, and the bars are gradually lengthening, indicating that the bearish momentum in the market is still being released; currently, there are no signals of diminishing energy bars or indicator reversals to suggest a stop in the decline, and the short-term market is still dominated by bears, with the downtrend not yet changed.

Operation suggestion: You can arrange orders around 3320 and 3380. $ETH
$BTC
$BNB
#隐私币生态普涨 #币安HODLer空投MMT #币安合约实盘

Mining Insights | BTC Mining Companies' Debt Soars, Accelerating Shift to AI Track

BTC mining companies' total debt surged sixfold over the past year to $12.7 billion
The production cost per BTC reached a peak of $115,000 on October 9
Mining difficulty, energy costs, and $19 billion in liquidations collectively squeeze mining company profits
Several U.S. listed mining companies are actively shifting their computing power to AI and high-performance computing fields

Data Source: VanEck | MarcoMicro$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#隐私币生态普涨 #币安HODLer空投MMT #币安合约实盘

Tonight, ADP becomes the only "lifeline"! U.S. economic data has been missing for over 60 days, and the Federal Reserve has to gamble on policy in the "dark"?

Tonight at 21:15, the October ADP employment figures will be released as scheduled—this might be the only macroeconomic data anchor the Federal Reserve can grasp in the next two months.

Previous value: -32,000, expected: 28,000; the fluctuations in this data will directly influence market speculation about the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike pace. But more critically: the U.S. Department of Labor has made it clear that during the government shutdown, key data such as monthly non-farm payrolls, CPI, and PPI have all been missing for over 60 days.

This means that the Federal Reserve's upcoming decisions on interest rate cuts or hikes will have to navigate in a "data vacuum"—tonight's ADP is not only a catalyst for short-term market trends but also a "blind box switch" for policy expectations.

Whether it's U.S. stocks, cryptocurrencies, or foreign exchange, tonight's volatility needs to keep a close eye on this set of numbers! Do you think ADP will exceed expectations or continue to weaken? Let's discuss in the comments~$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#隐私币生态普涨 #币安HODLer空投MMT #币安合约实盘

11.5 Afternoon Ethereum Thoughts

Currently, the bearish trend has completely taken over. Although there was a slight rebound in the morning, it was not significant. Looking at the daily level, the MACD indicator has shown a death cross again, indicating that there is a large downward space.

Operation Suggestion: 3340～3310 Range, Target 3220, 3150 $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#隐私币生态普涨 #币安HODLer空投MMT #币安合约实盘

Due to the U.S. government shutdown, the official non-farm payroll data has failed to be released on time for the second consecutive month, making the ADP 'non-farm' data a key reference indicator for the market. The latest data is expected to be released today at 21:15, with market predictions estimating that 28,000 new jobs will be added in the U.S. private sector for October, rebounding from a decrease of 32,000 from last month.

Although the ADP data may exhibit significant fluctuations due to benchmark adjustments, recent other employment indicators show that the U.S. labor market remains resilient. However, economists warn that there are significant discrepancies between the ADP data and the official non-farm data, and it should not be given excessive weight, while also being cautious of the market volatility it may trigger. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#隐私币生态普涨 #币安HODLer空投MMT #币安合约实盘

11.5 Afternoon Thoughts
(Continuing Morning Analysis)
Technical focus on the 4-hour candlestick chart, BTC price is like a frostbitten eggplant, weakly declining along the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, revealing a bearish trend. Looking at previous rebounds, the rhythm is sluggish like an old ox pulling a cart, with upward momentum as scarce as a dried-up well, fundamentally unable to reverse the downward trend. The short-term weakness has become a foregone conclusion, and a turnaround seems unlikely.
$BTC at around 102500-101800 short, target 100800, 100000, 99000, continue to look downward if it breaks
$ETH at around 3380-3330 short, target 3280-3200, continue to look downward if it breaks 3200 $BTC
#隐私币生态普涨 #币安HODLer空投MMT #币安合约实盘

BNB Afternoon Trading Strategy:

Entry Range: Consider short positions as the price rebounds to around 950-957

Target One: First look at around 937 (first profit-taking level, partial reduction can be executed)
Target Two: Then look at around 915 (final target, aim to maximize profits)

• Risk Control Principle: Must set paper loss, suggested defense level at a reasonable position above 960, once broken, timely paper loss $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#隐私币生态普涨 #币安HODLer空投MMT #币安合约实盘

BTC has truly broken the 100,000 mark, and the group is in an uproar—over 470,000 people have been liquidated in the past 24 hours, with 2.1 billion lost, and 90% were long positions. This wave of 'blood wash' is too severe. Yang Ge is straightforward, directly explaining the reasons and providing solutions; traders should take a look.
First, let's talk about why it has dropped so sharply? The core issue is a dual blow from the funding and sentiment aspects. On one hand, the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF has seen net outflows for four consecutive days, with BlackRock alone losing 400 million in a single day, and institutions are pulling out, so the support naturally weakens. On the other hand, the market was already in a downward structure, with failed rebounds repeatedly; after breaking the key level this time, panic selling has emerged, creating a vicious cycle of selling more as prices drop.
The key point here is that the operational strategy is very clear: short-term rebounds should continue to be avoided, and do not confront the trend head-on.
Entry point: around 102100-102600, this is the key pressure zone for rebounds, making it most suitable to enter around this area.
Target level: looking down towards 101100-100100, these two levels are important short-term supports; first, let's see if they can hold.
Be sure to set a stop loss! Once the rebound breaks through the key level, don't hesitate to leave directly; be flexible and don’t stubbornly hold on. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#隐私币生态普涨 #币安HODLer空投MMT #币安合约实盘

Every cycle has people leaving, and some facing it calmly; the market is always fair. So how can one manage with ease instead of struggling? The first requirement is sufficient insight and a judgment direction for the market. Secondly, it is about positioning and risk control. If you can achieve these points, congratulations, you have already surpassed half of the people.

As we all know, BTC saw another price plunge yesterday into the early morning, breaking the 100,000 mark directly, with the price coming to around 98. After testing this position, the price rebounded, which is expected. It cannot keep going down; only with fluctuating prices can we better navigate large-scale fluctuations. Regarding yesterday's trend, the direction should either be consistent or you should not participate. The worst case is to have risk control. These three scenarios can still survive in the market, but the only scenario that cannot is being wrong about the direction without risk control. This is what was mentioned earlier about those leaving the cycle.

Now, the technical aspects do not need too much elaboration. In the face of trends, all technical aspects seem redundant. Currently, the overall shape shows a one-sided decline, so follow the trend. A rebound means shorting; it is definitely correct. Therefore, today's perspective is bearish.

One can look for bearish opportunities around 102400-102900, with the first target around 100500 and the second target around 98500. The points are for reference only $BTC
$ETH
$XRP
#隐私币生态普涨 #币安HODLer空投MMT #币安合约实盘

Has the BTC bear market really begun this time? After experiencing the double blow of a black swan and the collapse of interest rate cut expectations, BTC has faced a continuous wave of short selling. This time, the shorts are very strong, and the bulls have gradually lost the enthusiasm for continuous buying that they had in the past. The key is that the favorable news in the crypto circle has already run out! ​$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#隐私币生态普涨 #币安HODLer空投MMT #币安合约实盘