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June 16th Bitcoin Market Analysis
Bitcoin maintained a range of around $105,000 over the weekend, with geopolitical risks not yet triggering severe market fluctuations. The current market presents three main characteristics:
1) Progress in Sino-American rare earth trade still needs verification
2) Investors maintain a cautious wait-and-see attitude
3) The technical aspect remains in a high-level consolidation pattern

Key focus this week:
• 6/14 Bank of Japan interest rate decision
• 6/15 U.S. May retail sales data
• 6/16 Federal Reserve interest rate meeting

Operational suggestions:
Mid to long-term positioning awaits the end of the pullback, focusing on observing the 100,000-102,000 support area

June 15 Bitcoin Market Analysis

The situation in the Middle East has driven up oil prices, and inflationary pressures are constraining the Federal Reserve's policy space. If the conflict escalates leading to an increase in U.S. Treasury issuance, it could withdraw market liquidity and suppress risk assets. Currently, oil prices have become a key barometer, and we need to be cautious of sudden volatility due to insufficient liquidity over the weekend.

Regarding Bitcoin, the unexpected outbreak of conflict in the Middle East has caused a sharp short-term decline, damaging the short-term technical structure. However, from a mid-term perspective, we are still in a rebound cycle.

Bitcoin Trading Recommendations:
Intraday support level: 102000-102500 Go Long
Intraday resistance level: 108000-108500 Go Short

June 10th Bitcoin Market Analysis

The first day of China-US trade negotiations has made positive progress, with China easing rare earth exports and the US relaxing technology restrictions, leading to a rebound in market risk appetite. Although Trump has clashed with the California government over immigration policy, it has not yet affected the financial markets, with BTC and US stocks both remaining strong.

Bitcoin successfully broke through the 110,000 mark last night, perfectly fulfilling our rebound expectation above 108,000 from yesterday. 110,000 is not the end of this round, and it is currently unwise to blindly guess the peak and short.

The current market focus remains on the follow-up developments of the China-US negotiations. If positive news continues, BTC may maintain a high-level volatility pattern.

June 9th Bitcoin Market Analysis
This week the market is focused on the China-U.S. trade negotiations (Tuesday) and U.S. CPI/PPI data (Wednesday and Thursday). If inflation data exceeds expectations, it may dampen interest rate cut expectations and affect market sentiment.
From a technical perspective, BTC is currently rebounding, targeting above 108000. After a short-term pullback, it is expected to rise again.
Bitcoin Trading Recommendations:
Intraday support level: 103000-103500 Go long
Intraday resistance level: 106500-107000 Go short
After the pullback ends, enter long, betting on a breakout above 108000.
Pay attention to the progress of trade negotiations and the volatility brought by data releases, and adjust positions flexibly.

June 7th Bitcoin Market Analysis

After the storm between Trump and Musk calmed down, the market's risk appetite has clearly recovered. The latest non-farm payroll data shows: the unemployment rate meets expectations, and the number of jobs is slightly higher than expected (lower than the previous value). This moderate data alleviates inflation pressure and avoids triggering recession concerns, providing support for risk assets.

Despite continuous positive news in the crypto industry (Circle's popularity, new IPOs emerging), Bitcoin still maintains a narrow fluctuation around the 100,000 mark. The S&P index returning to 6,000 points indicates a warming market sentiment, coupled with expectations of US-UK talks, suggesting that the weekend market may remain stable. The key focus is whether it can break through the current fluctuation range next week.
Trading suggestions:
Intraday support levels: 102,000-102,500 Go long
Intraday resistance levels: 107,500-108,000 Go short

【Buy and Sell Points】

- Buy Point One: 102000 USDT (Reason: Previous low support level, strong support near the lowest point of June 5 at 100372, and the round number 102000 provides psychological support)

- Buy Point Two: 101000 USDT (Reason: Further decline approaching the swing low area of June 4, close to the round number 101000, which may attract more buying interest)

- Long Stop Loss Point: 100500 USDT (Reason: If it falls below 100500, it will break the key round number and previous low support, indicating a weakening trend, requiring a stop loss exit)

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- Sell Point One: 105000 USDT (Reason: Previous high resistance level, tested multiple times between June 3 and June 5 without breaking, and it is an important round number)

- Sell Point Two: 106000 USDT (Reason: Further upward movement near the highest point of June 4 at 106000, where there is strong selling pressure)

- Short Stop Loss Point: 106500 USDT (Reason: If it breaks through 106500, it will effectively stabilize above the previous high and open up further upside potential, requiring a stop loss exit)

【Buy and Sell Levels】

- Buy Point One: 103500 USDT (Reason: Near the previous low area, the lowest price on May 31 was 103068.55, this position has obvious buying support, and the integer level of 103500 may form psychological support.)

- Buy Point Two: 102500 USDT (Reason: Further probing into a stronger support zone, close to the lowest price of May 30 at 103621, and the integer level of 102500 has strong attractiveness.)

- Long Stop Loss Point: 101800 USDT (Reason: If the price falls below the integer level of 102000, it indicates that market sentiment is weakening, and timely stop loss is needed to avoid risk. The distance between the stop loss point and Buy Point Two is less than half the distance between Buy Point One and Buy Point Two.)

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- Sell Point One: 105500 USDT (Reason: Close to the EMA30 moving average resistance level of 105935.77, and this position is a recent high point area, with selling pressure.)

- Sell Point Two: 106500 USDT (Reason: Further upward to a stronger resistance zone, close to the highest price of June 1 at 104729.99 and the historical swing high of 106313, the integer level of 106500 constitutes psychological pressure.)

- Short Stop Loss Point: 107200 USDT (Reason: If the price breaks through 106500 and stabilizes, it indicates a trend reversal upwards, and timely stop loss is needed to control losses. The distance between the stop loss point and Sell Point Two is less than half the distance between Sell Point One and Sell Point Two.)

June 1st Bitcoin Market Analysis

Trump abruptly raised steel tariffs to 50%, revealing the dual nature of the policy: beneficial for domestic steel companies but detrimental to the automotive industry chain. BTC rebounded to around $104,000 over the weekend, indicating that the market is not in panic; however, low trading volume has distorted price signals, and the true direction needs to wait for Monday's U.S. stock market opening to digest.

Key Focus: Next Thursday's Federal Reserve Beige Book and Friday's non-farm payroll data will be crucial for breaking the market situation.

Trading Recommendations:

Intraday support level 102,000-102,500 Go long
Upper resistance level 105,500-106,000 Go short

May 31st Bitcoin Market Analysis

Bitcoin plummeted yesterday, and our short position was once again accurately harvested! This morning, we decisively notified to take profits for safety, for three reasons:
1️⃣ Touching short-term support will have fluctuations
2️⃣ Profit protection is greater than blind greed
3️⃣ The direction remains unchanged but tactics are adjusted

Core strategy remains unchanged:
✓ Medium-term target firmly set at 100,000
✓ Current consolidation is building strength for the next attack
Remember: Bull market pullbacks are money-making opportunities, wait for rebound signals before going short!

May 29th Bitcoin Market Analysis

Bitcoin is currently experiencing a slight pullback. In the short term, it may oscillate here, or slightly dip to complete the final drop, with the overall adjustment nearing its end.

Comprehensive assessment suggests that the adjustment is expected to conclude today, and the market will initiate an upward breakthrough.

Operational suggestion: Continue to hold the long position from yesterday at over 107,000, and be prepared to add to positions on dips.

【Buy and Sell Points】

- Buy Point One: 2600 USDT (Reason: There is support near the previous 4-hour low of 2618, while close to the EMA30 moving average of 2586, the round number 2600 has strong support)

- Buy Point Two: 2550 USDT (Reason: An important support area forms near the EMA30 moving average of 2556 on the daily chart, while close to the integer level of 2550 above the previous low of 2509)

- Long Stop Loss Point: 2525 USDT (Reason: If it falls below 2550 and continues downward, it will break the previous low of 2509, 2525 is a reasonable stop loss position)

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- Sell Point One: 2700 USDT (Reason: There is selling pressure near the recent high of 2712, the round number 2700 may become a short-term resistance)

- Sell Point Two: 2750 USDT (Reason: After breaking 2700, there is greater pressure above at 2750, which is the top of the previous consolidation range and a psychological level)

- Short Stop Loss Point: 2775 USDT (Reason: If the price breaks above 2750 and holds, the trend will strengthen further, 2775 is a reasonable stop loss position)

May 28th Bitcoin Market Analysis:

Bitcoin continues to consolidate around $108,000, requiring significant positive policy support to break through the resistance of previous highs. This week's PCE data and Nvidia's earnings report may serve as market barometers, while the $2.5 billion reserve plan and tariff agreement progress shaped by Trump's fluctuating policies still require ongoing observation.

Trading Suggestions:
Currently in a rebound, technical indicators show a potential breakout of previous highs, maintain a bullish outlook.

Intraday support levels 107,000-107,500 Long
Upper resistance levels 111,300-111,800 Short

May 26th Bitcoin Market Analysis

Due to the U.S. stock market being closed on Monday, market sentiment may not become clear until Tuesday. Over the weekend, BTC experienced a slight pullback, but investors did not panic; exchange inventory remains stable, and a lack of institutional participation has led to liquidity issues.

This week's key focus:
1. Market reaction after the return of U.S. investors;
2. Whether long-term holders continue to accumulate;
3. Trends in Trump’s tariffs (especially in the technology and automotive industries).

Operational suggestions:

Yesterday's lowest point was 106,000. The technical perspective shows that after the drop from the high of 111,900, a downward structure has been completed, and a short-term rebound may be on the way, but the medium-term outlook remains bearish.
- Medium-term short positions: Those holding above 110,000 can continue to hold; below 110,000, it is advised to take profits and wait for a rebound to reposition.

【Buy and Sell Points】

- Buy Point One: 106000 USDT (close to previous low support level, integer barrier may trigger buying)

- Buy Point Two: 104500 USDT (further approaching a stronger support area, near historical swing low)

- Long Stop Loss Point: 103800 USDT (slightly below Buy Point Two, to guard against risks after breaking key support)

- Sell Point One: 109500 USDT (close to recent high resistance level, integer barrier may trigger selling pressure)

- Sell Point Two: 110500 USDT (above resistance area after breakout, near previous high)

- Short Stop Loss Point: 111200 USDT (slightly above Sell Point Two, to guard against risks of further rise after breakout)

May 24th Bitcoin Market Analysis

Bitcoin has effectively broken below the key support level of 108,000, confirming the end of the upward structure. The technical indicators show:
1) Daily level top structure completed
2) Bearish momentum starting to release

Trading Suggestions:
• Continue holding short positions around 110,000
• Add to positions if there is a rebound to the 112,000-115,000 area
• Set trailing stop-loss to protect profits

Current market sentiment is weakening, it is recommended to primarily short on rallies, and not consider bottom fishing for now.

Brothers, it's time to feast on big meat. The community teacher set up a long position around Ethereum 2450 early in the morning, reaching a peak of around 2730, with a maximum surge of 280 points, and the maximum profit exceeding 2000%➕

Currently, the market situation is severe. If you
are afraid to short at high prices and afraid to long at low prices, and you have no trading strategy or direction, hurry up and @ me

May 22nd Bitcoin Market Analysis

Bitcoin continues to show a strong trend. Technical indicators suggest that we may currently be at the end stage of the market, which implies:
1) There is still potential for a short-term upward movement, but the space is limited.
2) Pay close attention to the resistance at the 113,000 level above.

Operating Strategy:
• Aggressive traders can take small long positions, entering and exiting quickly.

【Buy and Sell Points】

- Buy Point One: 105500 USDT (price near previous lows, integer support level)

- Buy Point Two: 104400 USDT (support near EMA30, combined with previous swing low)

- Long Stop Loss Point: 103900 USDT (below the previous swing low, to prevent false breakouts)

- Sell Point One: 107500 USDT (close to recent highs, integer resistance level)

- Sell Point Two: 108600 USDT (further increase to a stronger resistance range)

- Short Stop Loss Point: 109200 USDT (above sell point two, to avoid short-term rebounds)

May 21st Bitcoin Market Analysis

Bitcoin is currently reported at around 106,800. The long positions set by the VIP member group yesterday continue to be held, with the target looking above 108,000. Technical analysis shows that we may currently be at the end of an upward trend, and this structure was further confirmed after reaching a new high this morning. Although the medium-term bullish trend remains unchanged, it is important to note:
1) The upward momentum is gradually weakening
2) There is strong resistance in the 108,000-110,000 range

It is recommended that those holding long positions closely monitor for signs of stagnation and consider taking profits in batches when conditions are met.

【Buy and Sell Points】

- Buy Point One: 101500 USDT (close to the previous swing low, may generate buy support)

- Buy Point Two: 100000 USDT (round number, near EMA120, strong long-term trend support)

- Long Stop Loss Point: 99500 USDT (slightly below Buy Point Two, to guard against breaking key support)

- Sell Point One: 104500 USDT (close to the previous swing high, significant selling pressure)

- Sell Point Two: 105500 USDT (round number, historical high area, notable pressure)

- Short Stop Loss Point: 106000 USDT (slightly above Sell Point Two, to guard against breaking key resistance)