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May 22nd Bitcoin Market Analysis

Bitcoin continues to show a strong trend. Technical indicators suggest that we may currently be at the end stage of the market, which implies:
1) There is still potential for a short-term upward movement, but the space is limited.
2) Pay close attention to the resistance at the 113,000 level above.

Operating Strategy:
• Aggressive traders can take small long positions, entering and exiting quickly.

【Buy and Sell Points】

- Buy Point One: 105500 USDT (price near previous lows, integer support level)

- Buy Point Two: 104400 USDT (support near EMA30, combined with previous swing low)

- Long Stop Loss Point: 103900 USDT (below the previous swing low, to prevent false breakouts)

- Sell Point One: 107500 USDT (close to recent highs, integer resistance level)

- Sell Point Two: 108600 USDT (further increase to a stronger resistance range)

- Short Stop Loss Point: 109200 USDT (above sell point two, to avoid short-term rebounds)

May 21st Bitcoin Market Analysis

Bitcoin is currently reported at around 106,800. The long positions set by the VIP member group yesterday continue to be held, with the target looking above 108,000. Technical analysis shows that we may currently be at the end of an upward trend, and this structure was further confirmed after reaching a new high this morning. Although the medium-term bullish trend remains unchanged, it is important to note:
1) The upward momentum is gradually weakening
2) There is strong resistance in the 108,000-110,000 range

It is recommended that those holding long positions closely monitor for signs of stagnation and consider taking profits in batches when conditions are met.

【Buy and Sell Points】

- Buy Point One: 101500 USDT (close to the previous swing low, may generate buy support)

- Buy Point Two: 100000 USDT (round number, near EMA120, strong long-term trend support)

- Long Stop Loss Point: 99500 USDT (slightly below Buy Point Two, to guard against breaking key support)

- Sell Point One: 104500 USDT (close to the previous swing high, significant selling pressure)

- Sell Point Two: 105500 USDT (round number, historical high area, notable pressure)

- Short Stop Loss Point: 106000 USDT (slightly above Sell Point Two, to guard against breaking key resistance)

May 19 Bitcoin Market Analysis

The U.S. Treasury Secretary's speech boosts market confidence, BTC experiences event-driven gains, releasing multiple positive signals:
1) Emphasizes that GDP growth will outpace debt growth;
2) Clarifies that trade with China will not fully decouple;
3) Announces a $2 trillion investment commitment in the Middle East.

These statements have enhanced market confidence in Trump's economic policies, driving BTC to experience a wave of liquidity-driven gains during the U.S. stock market closure.

May 18 Market Analysis

The current market is trapped in a policy dilemma: Trump wants the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to stimulate the economy while also demanding that retail giants like Walmart absorb tariff costs themselves (calculations show that bearing a 10% tariff would consume 60% of net profits). This contradictory policy of "wanting low inflation but not allowing price increases" is suppressing corporate profit expectations.

In the BTC market, liquidity continued to dry up over the weekend, with trading volume and turnover rate showing a stepwise decline. Although prices have temporarily stabilized, the lack of trading activity has led to insufficient market depth, weakening the effectiveness of short-term support, as we await a breakthrough next week.

February 23 Market Analysis

【ETH Event Analysis】Bybit's Theft of 1.5 Billion ETH Becomes a Potential Positive:
1. Hackers Cannot Sell in the Short Term, Essentially Locking Up Funds;
2. Exchanges Need to Buy Back to Replenish, Creating Buying Support;
3. Huge Accumulation of Short Positions (Funding Rates Rarely Negative), Short Covering Will Become Fuel for the Rise.

Combined with the Major Upgrade on April 18, the Current Price Around 2750 is Severely Undervalued. Historical Fractals Show a Possible Surge to 3500 Before April, and a Key Support Rebound Around 2600 Could Offer a Second Opportunity to Enter Long.

February 20 Market Analysis

Recently, the market is shrouded in clouds, with trade frictions, regulatory uncertainties compounded by stubborn inflation, causing market sentiment to plummet to freezing points, and rebounds are consistently suppressed. However, historical experience shows that when everyone stops talking about bottom-fishing, opportunities may quietly approach.

Hot Trends:

ETH on-chain gas fees have skyrocketed, dog projects have seen a brief resurgence, but beware of the 'doomsday vehicle' pump trap;

SOL has plummeted and broken down, on-chain activity has been halved, leading projects are crazily cutting retail investors, and the Meme narrative has completely collapsed.

Operational Advice: BTC is in a rebound accumulation stage; if it stabilizes above the key level of 98,000, it is expected to challenge 100,000 dollars. In terms of operations, one can accumulate at lower prices, but remember to keep a light position for defense and wait for the trend to clarify before increasing the position.

February 18 Market Analysis

At present, the market is strangled by the shadow of trade war and stubborn inflation, and short-term rebounds are always hit back to the starting point by panic trading. But old investors know: when the community is dead silent, it is the golden moment for long-term funds to quietly absorb funds. Thursday's unemployment data may be the key to breaking the deadlock.

Operation suggestions:
BTC fluctuates around 96,000, with room for both up and down.
If BTC rushes to the 99,000-100,000 range, you can consider shorting,
and if it goes down to the 93,000-92,000 range, you can go long.

February 16 Market Analysis

🔥🔥🔥 The crypto market is poised for action 🔥🔥🔥
The global political and economic game is intensifying: Trump's equal tariffs pressure, high CPI inflation, and the Fed's hawkish stance intertwine, but market resilience is evident. Thousands of BTC flowing into exchanges on-chain have not triggered selling pressure, and ETF fund flows reversed on Friday, signaling major buying activity.

Key Drivers:
1️⃣ 20 U.S. states are advancing Bitcoin reserve bills, potentially adding $23 billion (247,000 BTC) in incremental ammunition;
2️⃣ Giants like BlackRock and Goldman Sachs continue to accumulate, with institutions gobbling up vs. retail investors cutting losses, reminiscent of the night before last year's gold bull market;
3️⃣ Mid-March may become a turning point, with BTC's buildup and breakout potentially igniting a wave of altcoin recovery.

February 15th Market Analysis
The calm before the storm! Is Bitcoin about to break the 100,000 mark?

Last night, U.S. retail data for January plummeted, marking the largest drop in two years, and the chilling breath of a cooling economy is upon us! This means that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates has skyrocketed, and BTC has taken off directly, with altcoins following suit! More significantly—20 states in the U.S. are advancing Bitcoin reserve legislation, and once passed, 23 billion dollars will flood in, equivalent to the market needing to absorb 247,000 BTC! Big players have already started bottom-fishing and positioning themselves; now is the golden pit before a new round of wealth accumulation!

Altcoin Opportunities:
Focus on ambushing leading sectors! Binance AIpha series coins VIRTUAL (leading Indonesian AI agency) currently trades at 1x leverage as spot; it could be listed on Binance spot at any time, and once officially announced, it will explode! The AI sector continues to receive positive news, and now is the time to bottom-fish for easy profits.

Bitcoin Market Analysis:
Bitcoin is currently in the X-wave rebound phase, targeting 100,000 dollars, with a theoretical value even looking at 105,000! The current c-wave rebound is underway, with a pullback in the 95,000-95,500 range for more entries.

Big Cake: The market trend was weak during the day. After a wave of highs in the morning, it has been fluctuating and callback to the lowest point of 62400. The current trend shows that there is still a need for callback. The market continues to be bearish. The upper pressure is 64800 and the support is 61500.

Auntie: The market is linked to Big Cake and it is still mainly oscillating. The current market shows that the selling pressure above 3500 is still relatively large. It is difficult for the market to rise in a short time. The current market continues to callback. The upper pressure is 3500. The support is 3400.

Fortress: There are no hot spots in the fortress sector. Overall, there are more coins that have callback. Focus on the bottom-fishing of the MEME sector. The sector has been callback for a while. Meme has always been the first to rebound. You can also pay attention to the SOL ecological sector and inscriptions.

As I predicted in the morning, Bitcoin fluctuated in the range of 62000-63000 after falling below 63000. The market fluctuated within 800 points during the day. The current trend shows that the market still needs to step back to around 62000 before it can rebound. The upper pressure level is 64800 and the support level is 62000.

The aunt is basically in a correction market during the day, but the retracement is not very strong. The lowest point is 3468. The current market still has not been corrected. The market continues to be bearish to 3400. The upper pressure level is 3550. The support level is 3400.

Strategy: Bitcoin Ethereum is mainly operated by selling high and buying low. The altcoins basically did not perform well during the day. The overall correction is still in the correction. The overall correction of the inscription sector is large. There is no large-scale risk in the short term. The altcoin is still mainly bottom-fishing. Pay attention to the SOL ecological sector (JTO JUP) and the MEME sector

Market Analysis
BTC: Bitcoin market fluctuates weakly during the day, and basically fluctuates around 61,000. The hourly line has an upward trend, but the current volume is still not enough to support a larger rebound. The current trend shows that it is still difficult for the market to rise in a short period of time, and there is still a need for a correction. The upper pressure level is 62,000 and the support level is 59,800.ETH: Ethereum Early Report I said that Ethereum's current trend is still relatively strong, and the market is gradually getting stronger. The hourly line shows that Ethereum is still on an upward trend, and the market continues to be bullish. The upper pressure level is 3450. The support level is 3320. Strategy: Bitcoin Ethereum is mainly sold high and bought low. The cottage sector has mixed gains and losses. The inscription sector and the SOL ecological sector have risen significantly. The overall increase has been compared with the early trading. It is still a reminder to reduce positions appropriately. It is not recommended to continue to increase positions. Pay attention to risk control and continue to pay attention to MEME and SOL ecological sectors and L2.

Market Analysis
BTC: The four-hour MACD of Bitcoin broke away from the divergence. There is no signal of a major turning point at present. Therefore, the shock market after the sharp drop is the main tone of the short-term. The current market is still mainly oscillating around the position of 61,000. It may continue to test the support level of 60,000 at night. The upper pressure level is 62,500 and the support level is 60,000.

ETH: The rebound strength of Ethereum during the day is not large. It is basically a range of 3300-3450. The market failed to break through the position above 3450. The short-term market is still mainly oscillating. Continue to wait for the signal of market reversal. The upper pressure level is 3450. The support level is 3300.

Strategy: Bitcoin Ethereum is mainly operated by selling high and buying low. The overall cottage sector rebounded well today, but this wave of bottoming rebound has not confirmed whether the market has rebounded. It is recommended to reduce the position appropriately for heavy bottom-fishing. Beware of the risk of a second bottoming out in the market. Pay attention to the MEME and SOL ecological sectors and L2.

Market Analysis
BTC: Bitcoin market hits a new low of 60567. The hourly line has repaired a wave of market. The news of the Mentougou incident caused a sharp drop. It is not ruled out that the dog dealer used the news to ship. However, whether it is the last drop or not depends on whether the 61000 position can stand firm. I personally think it is the last drop. Spot can boldly buy the bottom. Continue to hit the upper pressure level of 64500 and the support level of 60500ETH: Ethereum market hits a new low of 3240. The current market has a rapid pullback, indicating that the bottom is still supported. Moreover, Ethereum has been adjusted for a long time under the condition of clear positive factors. It is right to buy the bottom at the current position. The upper pressure level is 3470. The support level is 3250. Strategy: Bitcoin and Ethereum are mainly used for bottom-fishing. The cottage sector follows Bitcoin's callback, but it is obvious that the downward momentum continues to weaken. Now many sectors are almost low-priced chips. Short positions can buy the bottom, and heavy positions can also buy the bottom appropriately to reduce costs. Pay attention to the MEME and SOL ecological sectors and the old cottages in the early stage.

Market Analysis
BTC: Bitcoin market volatility is very small during the day, oscillating back and forth in the range of 64100-64600. The weekend is still the same, with no market. The next market will still oscillate around the position of 64000, with the upper pressure level of 65500 and the support level of 63050

ETH: Ethereum's daytime trend is still very weak, and the four-hour line trend is downward. It is still very difficult for the current volume to rise in a short time. At present, the market continues to oscillate around the position of 3500, with the upper pressure level of 3565 and the support level of 3455

Strategy: Bitcoin Ethereum is mainly sold high and bought low. The cottage sector has mixed gains and losses, and there are obvious signs of stopping the decline. The main decline is still the new currency. The previous old cottage market has started $BSV $LTC. When everyone hates VC new coins, the market's hot spots may return to the early old cottages. Those who are currently short can buy the bottom appropriately, and those with heavy positions should hold the currency for a rise. Continue to pay attention to the MEME and SOL ecological sectors and the early old cottages.

Market analysis:
Yesterday, the market did not stand firm at the 68500 line, and the market fell again. Yesterday, the lowest price came to 66250, close to the previous low point. Today, the market opened downward. The overall market was weak, but there was still a demand for a pullback. Today, the overall trend of the market fell first and then pulled back.
From the daily level, the market was suppressed by the MA5 moving average yesterday and fell again on a single day. Then the upper pressure level of today's market is at the 67700 line, which is also today's gap space. The support below is still the 66000 line.
From the four-hour level, after the market continued to decline yesterday, three naked Ks continued to test MA5. At the same time, the red and green columns of the MACD indicator in the attached figure were staggered. The market single K fluctuated greatly. It is recommended that everyone reduce the level and do the market below the hour level.
From the hourly level, the market continued to decline, with a slight rebound at the bottom. The single has never broken through the top of the 30-minute level oscillation space, that is, the 67000 line. It is still a bearish situation, but it is not difficult to see that the MACD red energy column is running in a shrinking volume, and the bearish force is weakened, so today's focus is on stepping back to do more, and the hourly level segment is upward.
The upper pressure is 67000 67700, and the lower support is 66000 65100

20240612 Market Analysis:
Yesterday, the market fell sharply in a single day, and the lowest fell to 66000. The market rebounded in the evening, and the pullback was also the standard golden section 38.2. As mentioned earlier, the 68000 line is the dividing point between long and short in the short-term market. The long idea above 68000 remains unchanged. If it falls below, it will be bearish. The focus is on whether it can be pulled back to above 68000 this week. If not, the medium and long-term long positions should not be considered in the short term.
From the perspective of the intraday small level, the market yesterday from 5 minutes to 4h was a relatively rough unilateral decline, especially the 4h market had a wave of four consecutive negatives. Last night's rebound was also an inevitable event. If you don't understand, you can observe the bottom divergence of the 30-minute level yesterday, and the golden section 38.2 position. Since the market has fallen so much, it means that the Bollinger bands at all levels are open. At the same time, the large level, whether 12h or daily level, has a relatively obvious gap. So the market in the past two days mainly depends on the shock repair indicator and pullback. It is recommended that divergence patterns should not be missed.
The upper pressure is 68500 68000, and the lower support is 65800 63000

2024.2.13 Market Analysis
This unilateral rise in ETH is indeed unexpected. As the market’s bull market calls get louder and louder, the bullish sentiment has completely opened up and it is advancing all the way. It has the potential to reach 3000. The recent short selling is indeed against the trend. It will Looking at February and March of previous years, the gains were good, but I personally firmly believe that the bull has still not come. No matter how it rises, even if it rises to 3,000, it is still regarded as a unilateral market. I hope everyone will not be misled by the market. Since the bulls Emotions are high, then we will operate according to the trend, mainly low and long, supplemented by high altitude. At present, it depends on whether this wave can break 2700. If it does not break, it will be a second peak. If it breaks, we will look at 3000, but 3000 will be in the short term. It probably can't be reached, let's take a look step by step
BTC went directly to 50,000 yesterday, reaching a maximum of 50,410. This wave of pie is quite strong, mainly because the ETF of the pie has passed, which is a long-term positive factor. With the US stock market hitting new highs, the pie has also risen with the tide, but , no matter what the cause is, the current market does not have the conditions for a bull market. Judging from the previous bull markets, every time it will be accompanied by a big drop (the market plummeted by about 70%), and 90% of people were washed away. Then there will be sideways fluctuations, and finally a signal will appear, which will start the bull market. Since the current market sentiment is high, then we will follow the trend, mainly low and long, supplemented by high altitude. For the big pie, we will use 50,000 as the benchmark, and the top Go short, go long below, the specific point will be based on the actual offer.
The above analysis is a personal analysis and does not serve as a basis for anyone to place an order.