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August 28 Bitcoin Market Analysis
The market on Wednesday still lacks any fresh events, but Trump's serious attitude towards Indian tariffs, along with instability in the interest rate sector, continues to create a chaotic scene. In short, the global market is red under Trump, with Bitcoin testing 112600, aligning with a high-position short strategy, Ethereum testing around 4680, and gold approaching 3400.
Today's Data:
1. 20:30 Initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending August 23
2. 20:30 Revised annualized quarterly rate of U.S. real GDP for Q2
3. 22:00 U.S. July existing home sales index month-on-month
4. Next day 06:00 Federal Reserve Governor Waller to speak on monetary policy
Technically: The downward structure has not changed, but the upward structure at 108600 has not been broken. It is believed that short-term attention should be paid to the current structure: the trend type in the 110500-112200 area. Main structural resistance: 115770-119900. On the 4-hour chart, a variant PB (spindle) candlestick has appeared, with upward demand being supported. The MACD fast line and slow line are about to golden cross below the zero axis. The momentum bar is reducing below the zero axis.
Strategy: Upward movement continues, still short; overall market trends should pay attention to the completion of structural types.
Long position at 111000, stop loss: 110500, take profit: 112500, breakout at 113500.
Short position at 112500, stop loss: 112800, take profit: 11500.
Second Bitcoin
Technically: The appearance of structural types provides a running area: 4060-4957. The internal structure of the short-term center shows a retracement trend, currently at a critical position, and may experience fluctuations. The main structure and PB appear on the 4-hour chart, with no change in the short-term weakness. Resistance around 4680 has been achieved, while the breaking point below 4560 points to 4400. The MACD fast line and slow line have crossed down near the zero axis; the momentum bar is expanding and reducing below the zero axis.
Strategy:
Short near 4395, stop loss: 4377, take profit: 4500-4575-5640.
Short at 4640, stop loss: 4657, take profit: 4550-4600.
Market fluctuations are intense, and risk control must be well managed!

August 24 Bitcoin Market Analysis
Overnight, the market is still immersed in the wave of Powell's interest rate cut. The timing and nodes were well-timed, as the United States gave the market plenty of time to digest and interpret this event. According to the nature of capital's pursuit of profit, the interest rate cut will induce capital outflow, so the market interprets that the rate cut will not come so quickly, and it will not be as jubilant as the market's cheers. Bitcoin fluctuated down to test 114500 and 115500; Ethereum tested 4800.
Today's key data: No data on Sunday
Technically, the structural pressure has not been broken, and the favorable news has re-entered the central zone: 115700-121300. Bitcoin's trend is still in a downward structure; however, this upward pull, in light of the favorable news, is believed to lead to a future rise to 111600, so short-term attention should be paid to structural movements. On the 4-hour chart, the strong K-line's rise and retracement are still within bullish energy. MACD shows that the fast and slow lines are significantly pressured near the zero axis, indicating signs of a potential death cross. The momentum bar is shrinking above the zero axis.
Bitcoin Summary:
Long at 114700, stop loss at 114300, direct line 115500-11650
Short at 115400, stop loss at 115700, direct line: 114700
Ethereum:
Technically, the downward structure has been broken, and the main structure has formed. This favorable upward pull opens up upward space; breaking 5000 is just a matter of time. Short-term attention should be paid to the rapid upward pull, which needs to solidify the foundation, and corrections will occur. On the 4-hour chart, the channel K-line has broken upwards, and the upward structure has developed from 4060. The break point tests the pullback to seek further upward opportunities. MACD indicates that the fast and slow lines need to run towards a death cross after being pressured above the zero axis. The momentum bar continues to shrink.
Ethereum Summary:
Long near 4767, stop loss: 4753, direct line 4800-4830-4870, looking for new highs.
Short at 4865, stop loss 4887, direct line 4750-4800-4830.

August 20th Bitcoin Market Analysis

BTC is currently trapped in a critical stage of 'technical bearish control, macro tug-of-war between bulls and bears.' $112,000 is the last defense line for the bulls, while $105,000 is the lifeline that determines the transition between bull and bear markets.
Although ETH appears to be stabilizing in the medium term, do not subjectively try to catch the bottom; everything should be based on substantial breakthroughs, and take profits immediately to secure stop-loss. Yesterday, the spot ETF saw a massive outflow of $939 million (Bitcoin $523 million + Ethereum $416 million), and the fear index plummeted to 45, highlighting a collapse in market sentiment. Trump has once again pressured Powell to cut interest rates, and the policy game is intensifying.

Operational Suggestions:
Medium to long-term short positions can continue to be held, targeting $110,000; short-term rebounds to the $116,000-$117,000 range can increase short positions.

August 18 Bitcoin Ethereum Market Analysis
This week, the curtain has been lifted, with new developments in the Trump meeting attracting market attention. Did Russia agree to a disguised NATO entry for Ukraine? What is the necessity of this geopolitical change? On the other hand, the Jackson Hole summit has become a key event this week. How will the Federal Reserve decide? What is Powell's attitude? The market waits quietly. Bitcoin and Ethereum surged and then retraced, while gold weakened.
Technically, at the 124500 high point structure, the downward trend is evident, with a retest of 118500 indicating a return to weak demand. The critical position remains unbroken, and upward movement requires stimulation, with 116500 becoming key; on the 4-hour chart, the emergence of central K-line and pattern breakdown indicates a downward expansion, pointing towards 113000; MACD shows a second death cross below the slow and fast zero axis, with no downward demand unfolding. The momentum bar has broken below the zero axis, indicating a struggle between bulls and bears.
Bitcoin analysis: Today's strategy has a somewhat structural trend, with bears holding the advantage. Current focus is on the key levels of 116500-115500, which will experience fluctuations.
Buy at 113000, stop loss at 112500, direct: 114700-115500
Sell at 117700, stop loss at 118150, direct: 113000-115500-116600.
Ethereum:
Technically, a downward structure is forming, coinciding with a renewed failure at 4580, reflecting not only the market's attention to this week's events but also the key trends. A downward central structure is forming, and market reactions must be noted. Areas: 4450-4575. On the 4-hour chart, the appearance of a narrowed downward K-line indicates that the support at 4330 is playing its role, while 4517 becomes the current key for a rebound, potentially signaling a downward movement. MACD shows a golden cross near the zero axis being damaged, with signs of crossing below the zero axis. The momentum bar has already broken below the zero axis and is increasing in volume.
Ethereum analysis: Maintain a high short position during the day, and watch for fluctuations in long positions.
Long position near 4350, stop loss: 4330, direct 4430-4470.
Sell at 4500, stop loss 4540, direct 4375-4400, look for a breakdown to 4150-4330.

Daily Reminder: Always use a stop loss when opening a position; do not open a position without a stop loss.

August 16th Bitcoin Market Analysis
BTC bull market correction迎来117000-116000生死决战！ If this week's weekly closing falls below this support, it will trigger a 10%-15% deep correction (targeting the 105000-110000 range); conversely, if it holds steady, it will maintain the momentum to attack the 130,000 USD mark. The current priority is to strictly control leverage exposure to prevent chain liquidations caused by extreme volatility. Special attention should be paid to the guiding role of ETH capital flow—as a market barometer, its whale movements often lead the market's turning points, and recently there have been signs of institutions continuously accumulating. It is recommended to incorporate Ethereum strength monitoring into the core trading system; in key moments of long and short battles, ETH may become the key to breaking the deadlock.

Operational Suggestion: 120000-120500 Short

August 15th Bitcoin Market Analysis
BTC plummeted 7K points last night, dragging down the market, with total market value shrinking by 4%. Panic selling is escaping, but there is no need to be overly pessimistic—expectations for interest rate cuts next month still exist, and the negative news is being digested more quickly. ETH has shown resilience against declines, with deep V-shaped reversals confirming the determination of funds to protect the market, and the pullback is indeed a healthy deleveraging.

The SEC has postponed the decision on the Solana ETF until October (Bitwise/21Shares proposal), facing short-term pressure. Key indicators are showing abnormal movements: the altcoin index has rebounded against the trend to 44, revealing that in this round of declines, BTC's drop is greater than that of altcoins, indicating the initial signs of fund rotation.

Operation Suggestions:
Intraday support level: 117000-117500 Go long
Intraday resistance level: 121500-122000 Go short

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August 14 Analysis
Overnight, the market had no news stimulus. Trump quickly appointed a new Federal Reserve Chairman, implying that if he can dismiss a director, he can also dismiss the chairman. On the other hand, Bessent's strong rate cut remarks reflected the unity of Trump's team, believing that the rate cut could be 150-175 basis points lower than the current level. However, Bessent's subsequent remarks completely activated the market, Bitcoin rose from its slump, showing strong momentum, aiming for 125,000, while Ether remains under pressure above 4,800. Gold continued to oscillate below 3,400.
Technically, breaking new highs, extending the upward structure of 117,000 to achieve the first target of 125,000. The upward structure indicates that long positions will continue to rise, with 130,000 soon to be achieved; on the 4-hour chart, the candlestick structure is clear, and the moving average system supports the upward trend. MACD shows a golden cross above the zero axis. The momentum bar has not expanded, still supporting the upward movement.
Bitcoin Strategy: Short positions are brewing long positions.
Long position at 122,900, stop loss at 122,500, direct: 123,600-124,300, break above to look at 126,000.
Short position at 124,300, stop loss at 124,600, direct: 123,000, break below to look at 120,000.
Ether:
Technically, the structure shows a strong upward momentum, but caution is needed for counter-trend operations. Pay attention to the emergence of divergence in the short term. The 4-hour candlestick shows platform support still in the 4,605-4,620 area, with the moving average system showing pressure. MACD's fast and slow lines are expected to form a death cross above the zero axis, indicating that it still needs to operate; the momentum bar shows signs of divergence.
Ethereum Market:
Long position at 4,615-4,630, stop loss: 4,593, direct 4,750-4,800.
Short position at 4,765, stop loss at 4,787, direct 4,615-4,670-4,710.
Short positions should be taken at a profit, do not go against the trend, follow the trend, and you can add more to long positions at lower levels.

Daily Reminder: Always use stop losses when opening positions, do not open positions without stop losses.

August 11 Analysis
Last week, the market continued to speculate around tariff and interest rate cut events. Some government-like actions by Trump indicate an urgent need for interest rate cuts; once the interest rate cut cycle begins, a loose environment is bound to impact the global economy; the United States is the market nerve center, with global economic policies on one side and the advantages of Russia-Ukraine negotiations on the other. To be honest, the U.S. interference will only make things worse. Bitcoin breaks free from its weak confinement, achieving a high of 119,000; Ethereum continues to rise. Gold, affected by the gold tax, fluctuates around 3,400.
Technically, the downward structure remains intact. Attention should be paid to the breakout central levels: 115,500-119,900, and the main trend central levels: 100,000-110,900. The structural point at 111,700 indicates that the upward structure from the north is likely to expand this time, aiming for 120,000; on the 4-hour chart, the sequential formation of the K-line central and platform shows that the market is set to attack 120,500. The MACD shows a golden cross forming above the zero line, continuing the upward movement. The momentum bars show signs of weakening.
Bitcoin Assessment:
Long position at 119,200, stop loss at 118,700, direct line: 119,800-122,100-123,300
Ethereum:
Technically, the structure indicates that 4,144 provides upward support. In the short term, there is still a testing demand at 4,330, maintaining yesterday's structural analysis and presentation. The 4-hour K-line drop at 4,184 indicates an opportunity for upward movement, but from this upward trend, 4,352-4,486; the MACD shows a death cross above the zero line, indicating divergence; the momentum bars show a divergence.
Ethereum Assessment: Pay attention to the 4,240-4,260 area, which is quite critical; a breakdown will lead to a decline. If it does not break, then we will continue to look for upward trends.
Long position at 4,160, stop loss at 4,133, direct line 4,320-4,350-4,450
Every drop is an opportunity to go long; only take low longs, try not to short, and if shorting, it should be for a brief period to profit and exit.

Daily Reminder: Opening a position must involve a stop loss; do not open a position without a stop loss.

August 10 Analysis
Over the night, it was expected that Trump's series of actions would take a breather over the weekend, but unexpectedly, Bowman’s speech once again hit the market's soft spot: Bowman stated that there would be three interest rate cuts this year and expressed optimism about the current economic environment. Subsequently, Bitcoin continued to fluctuate, with Ethereum hitting 4331.
Technically, the downward structure has not been damaged. Attention needs to be paid to the broken central range: 115500-119900, main trend central range: 100000-110900. The structure point at 111700 shows that the upward movement of the northern structure is expected to expand this time, aiming for 120000; on the 4-hour chart, the formation of the K-line platform indicates a demand for long positions. The MACD shows a death cross above the zero axis for the fast and slow lines. The momentum bars are weakening.
Bitcoin Analysis:
Long position at 116500, stop loss at 115900, direct operation: 117500-118650.
Short position at 119700, stop loss: 120200, direct operation: 117500-118500.
Ethereum:
Technically, after the structure broke upwards, the market quickly surged, and it still hasn't reached the target, but the structural segment is expected to appear, which needs attention. The 4-hour K-line is showing a rising trend, with 4376 becoming the previous high resistance; however, from this upward movement, it looks like 4352-4486, actively take opportunities, with support at 4200; the MACD fast and slow lines show signs of topping above the zero axis, but still have momentum; momentum bars show divergence.
Ethereum Analysis: Pay attention to the 4240-4260 area, which is quite critical; a breakdown will lead to a decline.
Long position at 4200, stop loss: 4150, direct operation 4260-4350-4450.
Short position at 4450, stop loss 4473, direct operation 4345-4375-4400.

Daily Reminder: Opening a position must involve a stop loss; do not open a position without a stop loss.

August 9 Analysis
Overnight, the market continuously discussed news regarding Trump's personnel appointments, deeply analyzing the attitudes of related individuals towards current policies, which are quite in line with the present policies. After a bold analysis of the structural personnel interpretations regarding the reasons for a rate cut in September; at the same time, geopolitical factors have surfaced, with Trump once again playing the Russia-Ukraine war card; another piece of news involved the U.S. regarding trade with Switzerland, where comments regarding gold taxation briefly stimulated the market, later clarified to indicate that the U.S. government indeed entertained this idea, but it might still be immature or require a specific timeline to materialize. Bitcoin weakly impacted around 117,500, Ethereum approaching 4,100; gold hovering around 3,400.
Technically, the southward structure remains intact. Attention should be paid to the breakout midpoint: 115,500-119,900, main trend midpoint: 100,000-110,900. The structural point at 111,700 indicates that the northward structure is likely to expand this upward move, aiming for 120,000; on the 4-hour chart, the K-line trend aligns with technical analysis logic. From this overall perspective, the 115,500-114,500 area remains critical for operation. MACD shows the fast and slow lines are under pressure above the zero axis, indicating a potential death cross; attention should be paid to this operation. The momentum bar is operating in a narrow range.
Bitcoin's testing: Short positions create opportunities for long positions, short-term opportunities.
Long position at 115,950, stop loss at 115,500, direct operation: 116,700-117,500-118,650.
Short position at 118,150, stop loss: 118,510, direct operation: 116,360
Second Bitcoin:
Technically, the structural breakout has already commenced. Short-term benefits will appear, but the main structure's upward movement is still not in place. The appearance of a volume-expanding K-line platform on the 4-hour chart indicates that the opportunity for a northward move is brewing again, targeting 4,380; MACD indicates signs of pressure above the zero axis; the momentum bar shows signs of contraction.
Second Bitcoin's testing: Short positions need to pay attention to the trend, focusing on platform effects; another viewpoint for long positions is support around 3,880.
Long position at 4,000-4,010, stop loss: 3,983, direct operation 4,020-4,050, breaking above looks to 4,195-4,220.
Short position at 4,230, stop loss 4,275, direct operation 4,157-4,110-4,034.

Daily Reminder: Opening a position must come with a stop loss; no loss, no opening.
If encountering other trading issues, such as holding positions or struggling with positions and cannot resolve them on your own, please contact the trading department through your assistant; the club is here to support you.

August 7 Analysis
Overnight, the market continued to rally around the follow-up on tariffs and Trump's arrangements for interest rate cut candidates, overall having little impact on the market, with many market sectors experiencing fluctuations. Bitcoin surged to 11500, Ethereum was under pressure at 3700; gold fluctuated below 3400.
Technically, the downward structure has not been broken. Attention is needed for the breaking central area: 115600-119900, main trend central area: 100000-110900. On the 4-hour chart, the candlestick pattern has shown pressure, with a retest of 115600, and the structural demand has not ended. MACD shows the fast and slow lines running below the zero axis and then rising again, indicating weakness. The momentum bar's zero axis has shrunk before expanding, forming divergence.
Bitcoin measurement:
Long position at 113400, stop loss at 112700, direct operation: 114500-115500.
Short position at 115400, stop loss: 115900, direct operation: 113400-114400.
Ethereum:
Technically, the effect of the breaking area is released, a predetermined market correction unfolds, with 3730 still showing demand. The downward breaking central area is 3725-3888, structural support; 3440-3535. The 4-hour platform candlestick arrangement shows that near the 3700 line is still key; MACD fast and slow lines are above the zero axis showing signs of pressure and the trend is gentle; the operation of the momentum bar shows that the divergence has not yet been established.
Ethereum measurement:
Long position at 3640, stop loss: 3627 take profit at 3685-3725-3750, breaking up to enter the 3880 area.
Short position at 3685, stop loss 3697, direct operation 3650-3635, breaking down to look at 3575.

Daily reminder: Always set a stop loss when opening a position; do not open a position without a stop loss.

August 6th Bitcoin Market Analysis
Trump accelerates control over the Federal Reserve! Over the weekend, he nominated Kugler's successor (potential next chair), and the probability of a rate cut in September soared to 91%! Although the new voting committee may be absent from the September meeting, the expectation of a policy shift has been deeply priced in. The tariff game stabilizes, and the SEC facilitates the final link for ETH spot ETF pledging to boost the market. BTC is currently oscillating between 112,000-115,000 without breaking support, turnover rate rises but panic is limited to recent losses, early holders are as steady as a rock.
Pay close attention to BlackRock's capital movements and the implementation of U.S. tariff policies on August 7th.

Operation Suggestions:
Intraday Support Level: 111500-112000 Go Long
Intraday Resistance Level: 115500-116000 Go Short

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August 3 Market Analysis
Last night, the cryptocurrency market continued to decline, with Trump's removal operations ongoing, and the turmoil continues, having far-reaching effects. The self-proclaimed fairness and transparency of the United States since World War II is being undermined, raising dual doubts about the credibility of data and the independence of the Federal Reserve in the market. The loss of global credit will be terrifying, especially the destruction of government credibility, which has far-reaching implications. Remember that Wall Street was initially just a small town, and it was the integrity and spirit of contracts that developed financial securities and everything that followed. Thus, this change has far-reaching effects. On the other hand: Russia has repelled the attack of British mercenaries, and the complexity of geopolitics is unfolding! Bitcoin has dipped to 111,900, and Ethereum is turning south to test 3,366.

Technically, the structure of 123,290 remains under pressure without change, and the downward movement is relatively steady. The event-driven market should not be treated with conventional strategies. The structural downturn is not yet in place, and the confirmation of three sell signals is evidence of a central break. According to structural demand and logic, the support levels below are: 105,000-108,000-110,700, with the main trend central level at: 100,000-110,700. On the 4-hour chart, the price high is followed by a declining candlestick arrangement, indicating strong bearish momentum. The MACD shows a clear slowdown below the zero axis, indicating that a stop-loss correction is about to occur. The momentum bars have increased and then shrunk.
Bitcoin Strategy: Long positions create short positions, focusing on short-term and profit guarantees.
Long near 110,500, stop loss at 100,300, take profit at 114,000-115,000.
Short at 114,050-114,800, add position at 115,680, stop loss at 116,200, take profit at 110,500.

Ethereum:
Technically, the northern surge has failed, and the southern structure is unfolding. The break below 3,400 shows a significant bearish impact on the market. The main northern structure has formed a divergence, and the destruction of the main central level means that 3,000 is coming into view. The 4-hour candlestick logic arrangement is clear, and an inducement candlestick combination has appeared. The second phase is about to unfold; the MACD fast and slow lines have shown a clear slowdown below the zero axis; momentum bars are beginning to shrink.
Ethereum Strategy:
Long near 3,315, stop loss at 3,300, take profit at 3,480-3,500.
Short at 3,596, add position at 3,663, stop loss at 3,680, take profit at 3,141-3,040.

Daily Reminder: Always set a stop loss when opening positions; do not open positions without a stop loss.

August 3 Market Analysis
Last night, the cryptocurrency market continued to decline, with Trump's dismissal operations ongoing, creating a turbulent situation with far-reaching implications. The self-proclaimed fairness and transparency of the United States since World War II is being undermined, leading to dual doubts in the market regarding the credibility of data and the independence of the Federal Reserve. The global loss of credit will be terrifying, especially the destruction of government credibility, which has far-reaching effects. Remember, Wall Street was initially just a small town, and it was built on integrity and the spirit of contracts, which led to the development of financial securities and everything that followed. Thus, this shift has profound implications. On another note: Russia has repelled the attack of British mercenaries, showcasing the complexity of geopolitics! Bitcoin has dipped to 111,900, while Ethereum has turned south to test 3,366.

Technically, the structure at 123,290 remains under pressure, and the southward movement is relatively steady. Events-driven trends should not be treated with conventional tactics. The structural southward movement has not been established, and the confirmation of three sales at the central position breaking indicates evidence. Based on structural demand and logic, the support below is: 105,000-108,000-110,700, with the main trend center being: 100,000-110,700. In the 4-hour timeframe, the price's high points are showing a bearish candlestick arrangement, indicating strong bearish momentum. The MACD shows that the fast and slow lines are obviously slowing down below the zero axis, suggesting that a correction is about to occur. The momentum bars are expanding and then shrinking.
Bitcoin Strategy: Long positions create short positions, focusing on short-term profit protection.
Long around 110,500, stop loss at 100,300, direct at 114,000-115,000.
Short at 114,050-114,800, add at 115,680, stop loss at 116,200, direct at 110,500.

Ethereum:
Technically, the northward surge has failed, and the southward structure is developing. The breakdown below 3,400 shows a clear bearish impact on the market. The main structure moving north is diverging, and the destruction of the main center indicates that 3,000 is in sight. The logical arrangement of the 4-hour candlestick is evident, with a bullish trap candlestick combination appearing. The second phase of the expansion is about to be realized; the MACD fast and slow lines show a clear slowing below the zero axis; the momentum bars are beginning to shrink.
Ethereum Strategy:
Long around 3,315, stop loss at 3,300, direct at 3,480-3,500.
Short at 3,596, add at 3,663, stop loss at 3,680, direct at 3,141-3,040.

Daily Reminder: Open positions must include a stop loss; do not open positions without a stop loss.

August 1st Bitcoin Market Analysis

The cryptocurrency market has recently experienced a widespread pullback, influenced by the decline in U.S. stocks and Trump's tariff policy, leading to a general market retreat. However, the two major cryptocurrencies still show significant resilience:

Bitcoin: Although it has broken below the support at $118,000, this is considered a normal pullback following the rise from $98,188, and the long-term upward trend remains unchanged. If it cannot quickly recover $118,000, further retracement should be taken into account.

Ethereum: Technical indicators show that ETH has strong support in the $3,600-$3,500 range, making it a good opportunity for gradual positioning. On-chain data suggests that it may attempt to reach $4,000 in the medium term, but it must first break through the key $3,900 line separating bulls and bears.

Altcoins: In this round of pullback, SOL, XRP, Doge, and others have generally fallen over 5%, confirming their high volatility characteristics. Although signs of capital rotation into altcoins are beginning to emerge (such as ETH trading volume surpassing BTC), it is far from a reversal opportunity.

Pay close attention to tonight's non-farm payroll data!

Operating Suggestions:
Intraday support level: 114500-115000 Long
Intraday resistance level: 118500-119000 Short

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July 31 Bitcoin Market Analysis

Powell's dovish remarks severely undermined expectations for a September rate cut, triggering a sharp market drop. Bitcoin staged a "golden pit" washout overnight, instantly breaking through the consolidation low before a massive rebound. The main force may be using the news to execute a double kill on both long and short positions—first clearing leveraged long positions, then trapping short positions. In the backdrop of a bull market, the long lower shadow releases a key signal: bulls only need to focus on the "catch needle" strategy. If the key level of 118,000 is maintained, structural growth will continue, but caution is needed as the main force may use data for a second washout.

Pay close attention to tomorrow's non-farm payroll data!

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July 28 Bitcoin Market Analysis

Bitcoin is currently in a critical period of high-level volatility and institutional turnover, with strong selling pressure from whales being effectively absorbed and continuous inflow from ETFs confirming long-term confidence. However, the technical pullback pressure and environmental controversies cannot be ignored. The focus in the medium term is whether the altcoin market can start in August and the direction of regulatory policies.

Over the weekend, there was a strong rebound to $119,000, almost recovering the week's decline, but the resistance at $120,600 is significant. High points are gradually moving lower, and the rebound volume is insufficient. The hourly level maintains a thousand-point range volatility, and direction breakthroughs need to wait for guidance from the opening of the U.S. stock market.

Operation Suggestions:
Intraday Support Levels: 117000-117500 Long
Intraday Resistance Levels: 120500-121000 Short

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July 26th Bitcoin Market Analysis
The Bitcoin market experienced a whale sell-off yesterday: holders from the Satoshi era sold 80,000 BTC (worth over 9 billion USD) in a single day through Galaxy Digital, causing the price to briefly drop to 114,600 USD. However, the market quickly recovered above 117,000 USD, mainly due to favorable macro conditions:
1) Trump and Powell reached a rare policy consensus;
2) Progress in tariff negotiations between the US and Europe.
On-chain data shows that the panic selling pressure mainly came from holders in the 100,000-110,000 USD cost range, while the key gap at 114,000 USD has been filled, and the 112,000 USD gap still awaits repair. Weekend liquidity tests may become a new focus.

Operational Suggestions:
Intraday support level: 115500-116000 Long
Intraday resistance level: 119000-119500 Short

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July 25 Bitcoin Market Analysis

Bitcoin has broken below the key level of $116,000 during the day, mainly due to: unusual movements of institutional funds combined with rising risk aversion ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting. Previously, Bitcoin entered a consolidation phase after reaching a historical high of $123,000, coinciding with Galaxy Digital transferring $395 million in BTC to exchanges, which triggered market selling pressure.
The current market is focusing on the cryptocurrency policy report to be released on July 30, with investors preemptively reducing risk exposure. Although altcoins experienced significant pullbacks on Thursday, they stabilized towards the end of the trading session, and today the overall volatility has narrowed, showing a wait-and-see attitude. Short-term trends are constrained by the dual influences of macro policy expectations and institutional rebalancing actions.

【Buy and Sell Points】

- Buy Point One: 2770 USDT (Reason: EMA7 support level, short-term moving averages provide strong support, and the integer level nearby may attract bullish funds to intervene)

- Buy Point Two: 2735 USDT (Reason: Previous swing low area, combined with EMA30 support, represents a more robust pullback buying position)

- Long Stop Loss Point: 2715 USDT (Reason: Drops 20 USDT below Buy Point Two, confirming the breach of key support range and avoiding further downward risk)

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- Sell Point One: 2820 USDT (Reason: Recent high point resistance level, clear selling pressure above and shrinking trading volume, suitable for short-term profit taking)

- Sell Point Two: 2850 USDT (Reason: Integer level resistance point; if it breaks through the previous high, it is expected to test this area, but watch out for increasing upper shadow signals)

- Short Stop Loss Point: 2865 USDT (Reason: Exceeds Sell Point Two by 15 USDT, indicating the market has entered a new round of upward trend, should stop loss and exit in time)