It's now 2026.05.16 at 10:06 AM. Long position shorts were increased at 81888 based on the 14-day market analysis, and I'm currently trimming the position near the market price around 80388. I'm holding 2.5 BTC, and the short-term strategy from the 14-day analysis has failed. $BTC The price surged over 3% within three hours on the evening of the 14th due to the impact of the U.S. crypto bill. The highest price on Binance futures was 81999, but it didn't break the previous high. On the 15th, the day session saw a decline and consolidation. Before the U.S. stock market opened, the price broke below the 80588 support, and after the market opened, it accelerated its drop following the U.S. stocks, falling 1500 points within half an hour, hitting a low of 78610, which is about the same as the previous low. The price around 79100 from yesterday's close at 8 AM adds to the uncertainty in the daily candlestick patterns. Currently, BTC is oscillating around the 79288 level without touching the important support at 77888 or the short-term resistance at 80588. I won't make any moves here, waiting for a breakout at either of these levels to engage in right-side short trading (it's been a while since I've done short trades; I'll take a few light positions to regain confidence. For long trades, I'm still using USDT pairs; for short trades, I might go with USDC or wait for the upcoming USD1). The long trading perspective remains the same as yesterday, focusing on whether the resistance at 81888 will be breached again and the new high point. Here, I'll consider adding to my position again, but I recommend cutting the additional position size in half compared to yesterday, or scaling in between 80888 and 81888 to prevent missing out if the price drops again. I can also set a price alert above 80888 to monitor and decide on adding to my position based on volume and price relations. In the contract data, we've noticed that the long-to-short ratio has risen back above 1.0; however, the reference value of this data needs further observation. Both net longs and net shorts have decreased after yesterday's price drop, indicating that the confidence of long-term traders is waning again with the market's cleanup by the whales, who are nearing their psychological expectations for the next move.
$BTC Following yesterday's strategy, I re-entered the short position around 67200, adding to my stack while keeping the stop loss relatively tight. Currently, I've averaged down my entry price to around 73600, and next time I'll switch to a USDC trading pair.
AI hasn’t figured it out yet. Brain-computer interfaces need standards too, which means we’ll have to spend time poking around the A-share market. I’ll start work again when I get home the day after tomorrow.
If $BTC dips below that, I’ll have to switch to a USD1 pair. What was supposed to be a short-term play has turned into a long-term hold. If you’re just taking profits after a few hundred points and bragging about having a tiny position left, how are you even making money? If you’re bailing after a few hundred points, don’t call yourself a long-term trader. If your position is down to 30% and you’re claiming to be making bank, that’s just a scam.
每天賺百分之六
·
--
I also took a short position with USDC above $BTC 67000, planning to close near 64900. For my long-term short at 64900, I'll add to my position to defend my cost, keeping the base position intact. As long as the defense of my long-term short base position holds, I'll be trading with USDC for now. Given the spread, I'll keep a 50% buffer.
The long position $BTC is still open, so let's make some short-term longs. It's been over a month since I opened this long, and I'm taking profits a bit too quickly. The third big A I've recommended this year is also starting to gain traction; it suddenly hit a circuit breaker, making it not ideal for holding long. Even playing around can make you some gains; let's keep heading north.
每天賺百分之六
·
--
I also took a short position with USDC above $BTC 67000, planning to close near 64900. For my long-term short at 64900, I'll add to my position to defend my cost, keeping the base position intact. As long as the defense of my long-term short base position holds, I'll be trading with USDC for now. Given the spread, I'll keep a 50% buffer.
I've shifted my defense for the $BTC usdc pair from a short to a long play at 65188. The defense for the usdt pair's added positions has also been adjusted down to 65188. I'm just waiting for that price action to come after the previous lows below 60000.
每天賺百分之六
·
--
I also took a short position with USDC above $BTC 67000, planning to close near 64900. For my long-term short at 64900, I'll add to my position to defend my cost, keeping the base position intact. As long as the defense of my long-term short base position holds, I'll be trading with USDC for now. Given the spread, I'll keep a 50% buffer.
The personal impact on the Fed's interest rates is minimal, even the chair can't do much. We'll see how Kashkari's debut will play out. Based on the price of $BTC , a lot of folks are betting on a rate cut and going long, but they should first get the scoop on how the Fed's meetings work.
It's now 20:53 on June 17, 2026. I re-entered 50% of my long-term short position at market price near 63500 after closing at 67200 yesterday. The added position is set with a cost defense strategy. For the USDC trading pair, I switched my short-term strategy to long-term yesterday, temporarily eyeing support around 60000. Of course, those who can't hold should remember to close around 64900. BTC price has continued to rebound since my last exit, peaking near 67200 and pulling back to around 64500. The current market price is 65000, which is 300 points off the previously analyzed high of 67588. I'm glad I chose to re-enter at market price yesterday. The reason for entering near 67588 was the natural rebound high point on the left side; anyone who understands the charts would test this area or close their longs. I won’t elaborate further, but regarding the recent bullish trend, I personally think it’s just a rebound from 82000+ to below 60000. Even with news about the US and Iran halting conflicts, this rally seems insignificant compared to the previous drop, let alone a reversal. In the contract data, the long-to-short ratio has dropped to around 1.3 following the price movements, so when adding to long positions, I remind everyone to keep stop losses close. The short-term strategy for the USDC trading pair will proceed normally. The switch from short to long yesterday was purely driven by my own greed and intuition, so don’t follow that! The net long and short data only showed significant fluctuations after the news about the US and Iran conflict resolution came out on the 15th, otherwise, it's been stagnant. After nearly a 30% drop, the big players need a break; after all, even the 'wheat' needs time to grow.
If you can't hold for the long haul, you can bail now. The initial target for the short trade was 64900, and the current price is 64900. I've also switched this USDC position to a long hold. The original USDT trading pair remains a long-term short position; let it ride.
每天賺百分之六
·
--
I also took a short position with USDC above $BTC 67000, planning to close near 64900. For my long-term short at 64900, I'll add to my position to defend my cost, keeping the base position intact. As long as the defense of my long-term short base position holds, I'll be trading with USDC for now. Given the spread, I'll keep a 50% buffer.
Can't hold onto short positions, I've trimmed my stack by 20%, shifting to long-term defense on my cost.
每天賺百分之六
·
--
I also took a short position with USDC above $BTC 67000, planning to close near 64900. For my long-term short at 64900, I'll add to my position to defend my cost, keeping the base position intact. As long as the defense of my long-term short base position holds, I'll be trading with USDC for now. Given the spread, I'll keep a 50% buffer.
I also took a short position with USDC above $BTC 67000, planning to close near 64900. For my long-term short at 64900, I'll add to my position to defend my cost, keeping the base position intact. As long as the defense of my long-term short base position holds, I'll be trading with USDC for now. Given the spread, I'll keep a 50% buffer.
We won, but it feels like I didn't score a good deal. If this is the outcome, are they just playing out the script I wrote back in March and April?
每天賺百分之六
·
--
Market Analysis on April 9, 2026
It is now 00:03 on April 9, 2026. The short positions established a few days ago were stopped out at 70588, and I currently hold a market short position at 72400, having taken a profit of 50% near 71000, with a stop at 71888. I bought a put option expiring on the 9th at a market price of 65 for 69500 and closed 50% at a price of 135, leaving the remaining position at zero cost. The BTC price began to rebound near 67700 above the support of 67588 mentioned in our analysis on the evening of the 6th, and started to rise rapidly at 4 AM on the 8th, catalyzed by positive news regarding a ceasefire in the Middle East. It touched the high point near 72800 twice before retracing, and the current price is 71300. Today's short position has been arranged for friends in the group to reduce their holdings, and I personally have not made any trades. Options have been closed at 50% with a zero-cost structure according to the strategy. The long-to-short position ratio has dropped below 1.0, with a minimum of 0.89, which is also the best entry point for most short positions in the past. Coupled with the fact that we are still in a bear market, if the BTC price rises again, I still recommend opening short positions, such as entering again at the upper resistance levels of 73888/76000. As for whether to re-establish the long-term short positions at 78588/80588 that were canceled a few days ago, we need to wait for two days for the market to become clearer before making a decision.
2026.01.29行情分析 said they have sold gold to buy bank stocks. Following a chill, hands-off trading style, the funds from selling 1000 grams of gold could now fully buy 1600 grams.
每天賺百分之六
·
--
If you can make money yourself, why bother trading in the market?