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Alex AfriDi

Open Trade
Frequent Trader
4.4 Years
Risk is not dangerous if you understand it.
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46 Followers
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#Bitcoin Stick to the plan 📈 Both the lower time pink boxes have been hit. Now its time for $BTC to muster that last leg up to close out the week. #crypto #BTC
#Bitcoin Stick to the plan 📈
Both the lower time pink boxes have been hit. Now its time for $BTC to muster that last leg up to close out the week.
#crypto #BTC
Alex AfriDi
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📈#Bitcoin LTF game plan 📈
Lower pink box target hit and we have seen a nice bounce so far for $BTC. I will be looking for a bounce higher, but I'm not ruling out another dip into the pink box before it does.
#crypto #BTC
Here.
Here.
Alex AfriDi
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📈#Bitcoin LTF game plan 📈
Lower pink box target hit and we have seen a nice bounce so far for $BTC. I will be looking for a bounce higher, but I'm not ruling out another dip into the pink box before it does.
#crypto #BTC
$EIGEN hold 0.53 and momentary bottom in
$EIGEN hold 0.53 and momentary bottom in
$ETH The best name to accumulate in moments of panic I've been telling you for months... and it's always the same. But here we are not talking about scalpling, leverage or intraday setup: Here we are talking about true positioning, about a mid/long term choice made with lucidity, not with the anxiety of the candle of the day. The ETHBTC chart says it alone: it is a market that is building slowly, absorbing, consolidating at the smartest point ever the one that everyone ignores because they only look at the price in USD.
$ETH The best name to accumulate in moments of panic I've been telling you for months... and it's always the same.

But here we are not talking about scalpling, leverage or intraday setup:

Here we are talking about true positioning, about a mid/long term choice made with lucidity, not with the anxiety of the candle of the day.

The ETHBTC chart says it alone: it is a market that is building slowly, absorbing, consolidating at the smartest point ever the one that everyone ignores because they only look at the price in USD.
$BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT) Even BTC hit eliz level . Thx for the play Day done
$BTC
Even BTC hit eliz level . Thx for the play
Day done
📈#Bitcoin LTF game plan 📈 Lower pink box target hit and we have seen a nice bounce so far for $BTC. I will be looking for a bounce higher, but I'm not ruling out another dip into the pink box before it does. #crypto #BTC
📈#Bitcoin LTF game plan 📈
Lower pink box target hit and we have seen a nice bounce so far for $BTC. I will be looking for a bounce higher, but I'm not ruling out another dip into the pink box before it does.
#crypto #BTC
Long or short is the sameSaying "long or short is the same" is the classic mistake of beginners. There is no symmetry In a long the price can rise "infinitely". In a short, however, the real margin is limited: the price cannot go below zero. So the potential of a long is always wider, cleaner and more linear. The short has a more compressed and often unpredictable reward. Now you can understand why I mainly look for the long ones and in the downtrend or choppy phases I just stay to watch (or at most a coverage potion on ETH or BTC)

Long or short is the same

Saying "long or short is the same" is the classic mistake of beginners.
There is no symmetry
In a long the price can rise "infinitely".
In a short, however, the real margin is limited: the price cannot go below zero.
So the potential of a long is always wider, cleaner and more linear.
The short has a more compressed and often unpredictable reward.
Now you can understand why I mainly look for the long ones and in the downtrend or choppy phases I just stay to watch (or at most a coverage potion on ETH or BTC)
$ZEC Why not ? Give me the trigger and I’m a buyer otherwise I'll stay out
$ZEC
Why not ?
Give me the trigger and I’m a buyer
otherwise I'll stay out
When people talk about the 'end of QT'When people talk about the "end of QT", many automatically think of a market that takes off like a rocket. In reality, looking at what actually happened in the past, especially in 2019, we realise it's not that simple. When the Federal Reserve concluded QT in 2019, Bitcoin did not experience an immediate price explosion. In fact, in the following month a phase of weakness and consolidation began, with prices even falling by around 30-35%. Not because the end of QT was negative, but because that change doesn't immediately bring in new liquidity: it simply stops draining it. And for the markets, it takes time to 'feel' the difference. It's an important point: the end of QT doesn't mean QE. It doesn't mean fresh money is coming in. It simply means the central bank stops removing liquidity from the system. And indeed, the market often needs a few weeks, if not months, to understand whether that new stability will truly translate into a risk-on environment. In the case of Bitcoin, history tells us that the real bullish movement does not start immediately, but when other factors align: rates that begin to fall, confidence that returns, flows that move towards the most volatile assets. That's where BTC reacts strongly. Not "the next day". So the message for those who follow you is simple but fundamental: Don't expect an immediate pump just because the QT ends. Much more often, the first reaction is a flat, slow phase or even a small retraction. The market needs time to digest the change of pace, and only then… if the macro conditions improve comes the powerful movement.It's a useful lesson because it helps to avoid that impulsive mentality that so many in your audience have: to believe that every macro event immediately creates a trend.The truth is that trends are born from the combination of multiple factors, not from a single ad.And you, who work with a complete macro vision, know this well: the end of QT is a catalyst, not a trigger. It is the first step towards a softer environment, but not the immediate ignition of the bull market.You need patience, you need context, and you need to be able to read the real liquidity - not the emotional reactions of the mass.

When people talk about the 'end of QT'

When people talk about the "end of QT", many automatically think of a market that takes off like a rocket. In reality, looking at what actually happened in the past, especially in 2019, we realise it's not that simple.
When the Federal Reserve concluded QT in 2019, Bitcoin did not experience an immediate price explosion. In fact, in the following month a phase of weakness and consolidation began, with prices even falling by around 30-35%. Not because the end of QT was negative, but because that change doesn't immediately bring in new liquidity: it simply stops draining it. And for the markets, it takes time to 'feel' the difference.
It's an important point: the end of QT doesn't mean QE.
It doesn't mean fresh money is coming in.
It simply means the central bank stops removing liquidity from the system.
And indeed, the market often needs a few weeks, if not months, to understand whether that new stability will truly translate into a risk-on environment. In the case of Bitcoin, history tells us that the real bullish movement does not start immediately, but when other factors align: rates that begin to fall, confidence that returns, flows that move towards the most volatile assets. That's where BTC reacts strongly. Not "the next day".
So the message for those who follow you is simple but fundamental:
Don't expect an immediate pump just because the QT ends.
Much more often, the first reaction is a flat, slow phase or even a small retraction. The market needs time to digest the change of pace, and only then… if the macro conditions improve comes the powerful movement.It's a useful lesson because it helps to avoid that impulsive mentality that so many in your audience have: to believe that every macro event immediately creates a trend.The truth is that trends are born from the combination of multiple factors, not from a single ad.And you, who work with a complete macro vision, know this well: the end of QT is a catalyst, not a trigger. It is the first step towards a softer environment, but not the immediate ignition of the bull market.You need patience, you need context, and you need to be able to read the real liquidity - not the emotional reactions of the mass.
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Bullish
$BTC WE’VE SEEN THIS PATTERN BEFORE BUT NOBODY IS PREPARED FOR THIS DO NOT GET SHAKEN OUT!
$BTC
WE’VE SEEN THIS PATTERN BEFORE
BUT NOBODY IS PREPARED FOR THIS
DO NOT GET SHAKEN OUT!
Really satisfying days for my trading. I'll be back tomorrow. GN and sleep peacefully
Really satisfying days for my trading.

I'll be back tomorrow.
GN and sleep peacefully
$BTC 🔻
$BTC 🔻
Should Trump receive the Nobel Peace Prize?
Should Trump receive the Nobel Peace Prize?
JUST IN: Axios claim ceasefire between Iran and Israel is confirmed After the attack on the American base, Iran conveyed a message to the White House via Qatar that it would not carry out further attacks and that its response was over. The White House responded to Iran with its own message, emphasizing that it would not respond militarily to the Iranian attack and that the United States was ready to resume negotiations on a nuclear agreement. Talks then continued between the US and Israel and between Qatar and Iran to agree on the terms of the ceasefire and the time at which it would begin. Source: Axios
JUST IN: Axios claim ceasefire between Iran and Israel is confirmed

After the attack on the American base, Iran conveyed a message to the White House via Qatar that it would not carry out further attacks and that its response was over.

The White House responded to Iran with its own message, emphasizing that it would not respond militarily to the Iranian attack and that the United States was ready to resume negotiations on a nuclear agreement.

Talks then continued between the US and Israel and between Qatar and Iran to agree on the terms of the ceasefire and the time at which it would begin.

Source: Axios
#Bitcoin: Huge liquidity cluster in the region of $113,000, a lot of short liquidations are sitting in this area. With the regain of the golden line and the end of the war, uncertainity is gone and we can move from protecting capital at all cost to back to bullish continuation! $BTC
#Bitcoin: Huge liquidity cluster in the region of $113,000, a lot of short liquidations are sitting in this area. With the regain of the golden line and the end of the war, uncertainity is gone and we can move from protecting capital at all cost to back to bullish continuation!
$BTC
BREAKING: Reuters claims, citing a senior Iranian source that Iran did in fact agree to the ceasefire.
BREAKING: Reuters claims, citing a senior Iranian source that Iran did in fact agree to the ceasefire.
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Bullish
*TRUMP: ISRAEL AND IRAN AGREE TO COMPLETE CEASEFIRE IN 6 HOURS.
*TRUMP: ISRAEL AND IRAN AGREE TO COMPLETE CEASEFIRE IN 6 HOURS.
See original
#Bitcoin This is the main resistance I'm seeing right now. If we beat that then we could run. My assumption would be at least initial rejection with more chop though because the market hasn't given us much sustained momentum lately. $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
#Bitcoin

This is the main resistance I'm seeing right now.

If we beat that then we could run. My assumption would be at least initial rejection with more chop though because the market hasn't given us much sustained momentum lately.
$BTC
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