Mimo币驰

Binance has launched US stocks; did you really buy the right ones?

You can now buy US stocks on Binance, but many folks are confused about what they're actually buying.

Though they all go by "US stocks," there are actually three completely different products on Binance —

Pre-IPO perpetual contracts ($SPCX, $OPENAI, $ANTHROPIC) — Your funds stay on Binance, and you're buying contracts, not actual equity. The price tracks company valuations, and if the company issues more shares, the contract dips — it’s not that your asset shrinks, but the reference price changes.

Ondo tokenized stocks ($NFLXon, $JPMon, etc.) — Ondo Finance uses your funds to purchase real US stocks and then issues on-chain tokens as proof. There’s real asset backing, but you hold tokens, not stocks; if Ondo hits a snag, the tokens could go to zero.

Binance Stocks (the in-app stock section) — This is the closest to real US stocks. Orders are routed through Nest Trading to Alpaca Securities (a licensed broker by the US SEC/FINRA), executed on NYSE/Nasdaq, and you’re the beneficial owner, eligible for dividends. It also offers bStocks on-chain versions, allowing for 24/7 trading and self-custody.

Risk Control:
Pre-IPO contracts → purely synthetic, no assets, highest risk

Ondo RWA → backed by real assets, reliant on intermediaries

Binance Stocks → closest to real US stocks, assets held with Alpaca

Same platform, three products, completely different risk structures.
Make sure you know which entry point you’re clicking on before buying.
#bStocks officially launched

Token2049 will be held in Singapore on October 7–8, and Predict will meet with everyone in person again this time.

There will be relevant exhibits and discussion sessions at both the main venue and the BNB Chain Super Meetup.

For friends who are interested in prediction markets, on-chain trading, and community development, this will be a good opportunity to connect face-to-face.

After the Hong Kong stop, Predict will once again come to the scene of an in-person event in the Asia-Pacific region.

Compared with only viewing information online, many things are still better suited for face-to-face conversation:

product experience, market strategies and gameplay, community feedback, and everyone’s real thoughts on prediction markets.

On the evening of October 7, there will also be a small community get-together jointly organized by NeoSoul and Bagel. Friends who are interested in the Predict ecosystem and prediction markets are welcome to exchange ideas.

If you happen to be in Singapore, you can come by and take a look, chat, and meet on the 7th and 8th.

Whether it’s your first time learning about Predict, or you’ve been following the order book and market mechanisms for a long time, you’re welcome to join the in-person discussion.

The White House red carpet is just wrapping up, and Predict’s midterm election odds have already tallied the books.

“Democrats sweep” is now 64%, with the Senate staying in Republican hands, and the House giving Democrats 30%.

A Republican sweep is down to just 6%. This position has traded about 10.9 million USD.

Almost nobody is betting on the House anymore—Kalshi and Polymarket are both above 92%.

The only thing still being priced is the Senate. The meeting on September 24 was more dramatic than the results.

Trump made an exception to go to the airport to receive the guests. A B-2 and an F-22 formation flew overhead, there was a state banquet, and even the giant panda—he said their relationship has never been this good.

But the odds aren’t factoring that in. The trade truce is only extended by another two months, through January 10, 2027—right to cover the November 3 voting day.

The list of tariff reductions is $30 billion each; AI will be discussed first, and the hard disagreements are still ahead.

So that 64% isn’t trading friendship.

It’s trading a political reality: midterm elections for the governing party usually mean losses—and this summit pushed the trade conflict beyond election day.

The Green Dragon series was won, but before the match, that pick—the first map—got completely broken.

ESL Pro League, Round 1: the world #1 Team Spirit vs world #77 ShindeN.

Before the match, the bookmakers had the Green Dragon at 1.26 to 1.40, the other side at 2.7 to 3.5—implied win probability about 75% to 80%.

The Green Dragon also came in on an 11-game win streak, and mainstream predictions went straight with 2:0.

In the end, the Green Dragon chose their strong map Dust2—11:13 first, then they lost. Nuke 13:11 to level it up, Mirage 13:4 to close it out—series 2:1.

The series odds didn’t flip, but the single-map odds did.

In the end, whoever bought the Green Dragon to win the series was right. But anyone who bought the idea that “the strong map won’t be dropped” got educated on the very first map.

The one sponsored by Binance is that ShindeN roster.

They didn’t sponsor the world #1 team’s jerseys—they sponsored the other side. Whenever they run into the Green Dragon, attention will come to them on its own.

This Dust2 already settled the account.

The esports market is most likely to die in places like this: the series favorite holds, but the map order gets blown up for the first round.

On Predict too, CS2 bets like this are separated—win/loss, maps, and handicaps aren’t the same bet. If you only place orders based on the team names, this match is just the sample.

@predictdotfun-华语

After Binance “tumbled,” many people ended up blaming Binance.

The projects Binance and YZi invested in have indeed profited more than they’ve lost.

The logic is simple: traffic, listings, and a niche/ecosystem position—these are real money.

That was what Aster did. But investing isn’t a guarantee.

When a project catches a tailwind, changes course, has its valuation pushed to a billion first, and then leaves right after the airdrop ends, in the end it still depends on whether it can stay and generate revenue.

Opinion dying here doesn’t mean that endorsing it was inherently false.

I personally didn’t go heavy on it back then.

Last year there were lots of projects that required invitations; from what I remember, few of them ended well.

A good project should want people to come in and play—not turn the tickets into scarce items.

The scheme is crystal clear: users buy expectations, and the project sells expectations.

If invitations keep people out and the experience is hard to use, then this deal was wrong from the start.

Predict early on wasn’t this kind of approach.

Polymarket lets users come in and do a trade, then directly gives them 200 points.

Low threshold, clear actions—people are brought in, not begged for invitation codes.

When Opinion cooled off, the token-launch expectations for Polymarket also basically disappeared.

As long as the prediction market is still there and token-launch expectations still exist, only Predict remains in that category.

People who were “farming” move battlefields not because they suddenly fell in love with it, but because other traps have already been filled.

It’s still not as good as Polymarket now, for two reasons:

One is inertia—nobody will move just because of a post, when you’re already using a familiar, convenient dApp.

One is that this track has hurt people: the one with the strongest token-launch expectations stopped, and then the next few ended up cutting people like dead dogs.

As a later entrant, people will be far more cautious about Predict.

I still see Predict as an epic-level project.

Not because it’s perfect—there are plenty of reasons to say it’s good, and just as many reasons to say it’s not. Those are all just excuses people place to justify their orders.

What I’m looking at is the track. Prediction markets are one of the few places that can still grow into a platform. The real chance to “get the meat” always comes down to one or two names in a great track.

If new prediction markets come later, I’ll join too—adding based on my understanding, not based on hype.

@predictdotfun

Discover a project, earn BNCB by posting

Some requirements, but not too strict

Make posting more meaningful

Chinese community-backed—enter cautiously!

I’ll try the waters first

$CASH

SR-CA6E6E881A98DAA39922C178

The 19th Ambassador Points Leaderboard is out.​​

This week’s top three are:

🥇 Monkey @web3houzi
🥈 The Disappointed Queen @love_doge123
🥉 Lion @lionman888888

Looking through it, there’s one common thread:

They don’t just generate presence by reposting official press releases—they really spend every day in the markets, watching matches, discussing prices, and writing post-mortems.

As for ambassador points, it’s not that complicated.

Only people who can consistently produce content can keep receiving points from the weekly pool.

Miss filling it in once, or go a few days without updates, and your ranking can drop out immediately.

Also, these points aren’t handed out out of thin air—at their core, they come from real trading. The community pool then takes another layer of distribution, and over the long run, the value will only keep increasing.

The official team is also still onboarding new people. The goal is to keep around 50 ambassadors who deliver stable weekly submissions.​​

With 3,000 followers, or your own community, plus 20,000 PP, you can try applying.

The prediction market has never lacked spectators.

What’s truly scarce is people who can explain the market depth, odds, and match logic clearly.

@Predictdotfun

A FOMO-like project on the BNB Chain—you can try it

0xb13003bf44de426dd2a3aae3df9c3400de0a7777

It’s weekend again, and Predict’s Football Match Weekend is back.

From the five major leagues, pick 5 matches—each locks 10 entries. The cutoff is before 9:30 PM on Saturday, and the prize pool for this week is still 10,000 U.

But it’s not just “guess who wins.”

Before kickoff, the lower the result price, the higher the multiplier is usually after you hit:

If the popular team wins, the match you guess might only be a safe way to secure points;

If you really want to climb the leaderboard, you often have to look at the draws and upsets that nobody dares to touch.

Last week made it pretty clear:

The more draws there were, the more the teams at the top of the leaderboard were basically people who had already tucked away low-priced outcomes.

So going all-in on strong teams is certainly steadier, but it’s not always easy to break into the front ranks.

What really creates the gap is often whether you dare to choose one or two outcomes that the market doesn’t seem to believe in.

During the World Cup, it was a burst of matchups; now there are fixed brackets every week. You can watch games and join in on the weekend—right on the pace.

These 5 tickets for this week aren’t locked yet, so remember to go to Match Weekend first and select your matches.

Don’t forget to confirm before the deadline—if you miss it, you’ll have to wait until next week.

Predict has opened maker rebate storefronts for itself—this is more important than it looks.

Now it’s not just rebates—you can also earn points.

The prediction market is still an excellent target. Yesterday, Poly Market’s share on it disappeared in 1 minute.

The contract market is currently valued at around 30 billion.

Predict is a project that has already been clearly defined as a coin—unlike Poly Market, it doesn’t keep circling around issues.

Even though the pre-market valuation is only 4 billion right now, I think there’s huge room.

And its integration with Binance isn’t just once or twice—basically it lives on Binance.

Previously, only crypto over/under markets got a 25% rebate. Now it also covers markets like politics, finance, the economy, and even weather, and it’s directly 30%.

This isn’t “free money again”—it’s solving a real problem.

Crypto over/under markets have high traffic and good depth, so market makers are willing to go in. The 25% is just icing on the cake.

But in politics, weather, culture, and similar markets, it’s often just you on the other side.

The spread is wide, there are few trades, cancellations are slow—inventory risk is all on you.

A 30% rebate, at its core, is compensating you for that risk premium.

In plain language: the official side doesn’t want all liquidity stacked on the $BTC 5-minute market. They’re using real money to pull you toward other markets.

Going forward, when you enter a market, first look for the “Maker Rebates” tag.

For markets with the tag, the cost of placing orders is a whole step lower than before. For ones without tags, it’ll still be thin.

What the rebate changes is whether you’re willing to place orders—it doesn’t change whether the market will hit you.

@predictdotfun

Opening Twitter is nothing but the same message—Binance Wallet Pre-Access, sold out in under a minute.

Here are the confirmed parameters:

$pPOLY unit price is $15.5, corresponding to an implied valuation of $15.5B?—155 亿 on Polymarket.

Actual sales are about 310,000 tokens, raising 4.8 million U.

Maximum capital to participate is 50 million; distributed pro-rata, the winning rate is roughly 9.6%.

Meanwhile, the wallet also listed POLYMARKET/USD1 perpetuals—pushing the price straight to $28, an 81% premium over the subscription price, implying a valuation of nearly 28B.

But both the trades and depth aren’t high—price comes first, liquidity hasn’t caught up yet.

You have to clearly separate three things here:

$pPOLY is an SPV equity certificate, not an official token.

The perpetual trade is for the “packaged” price. On Predict, people are betting on whether the official token’s FDV can clear $10B after one day of listing—right now it’s only given a 30% chance.

The three pricing tracks are clearly tiered:

Equity subscription: 15.5B (155 亿)
Perpetual order book: 28B
Official token FDV clearing $10B: 30%

These three prices are not looking at the same thing.

What you got is exposure. If you didn’t get in, don’t mix $pPOLY and $POLY into the same asset.

I want to place a bet on Predict and see whether this king/royalty-level project—does $500B really have a chance?

@Predictdotfun @predictdotfun-华语

I have a feeling that some妖币 will be coming out soon

Polymarket is coming—but not the one you think.

Binance Wallet is about to launch Pre-Access, and the first listing points to Polymarket. A contract called $pPOLY on BSC was deployed 11 days ago.

But first, let’s make this clear—this is not POLY the stock, and it’s not an official token.

It’s an indirect pre-IPO exposure made by Paimon: no voting rights, no dividend rights, and no direct claim against Polymarket.

Binance Wallet is just the entry point; it doesn’t issue or manage the asset.

A few key numbers:

Total supply: ~320,000 tokens. Subscription price: $15.5. Fundraising cap: 5 million U. Implied valuation: ~15.5 billion USD

It’s almost the same as the valuation implied by Polymarket’s funding round in April this year.

But the IPO order book on Predict tells a different story:

Listing in 2026: ~3%—almost nobody believes it

Listed by the end of 2027: ~50%—50/50

The market is willing to price in another round of funding, but it doesn’t think it will truly list anytime soon.

One side is “trade tickets” packaged as a pre-IPO product; the other side is the prediction market pricing in “whether it will list or not.”

The two order books are looking at different things. If you want to participate, first figure out whether you’re buying exposure—or betting on timing.

@predictdotfun-华语 @predictdotfun-华语

Will Polymarket actually issue tokens? This question has been asked for a year.

In October 2025, the founder hinted at a Solana address. The CMO said on a podcast, "There will be tokens, and there will be airdrops"—and then nothing happened.

This year in February, the parent company filed a POLY trademark. In July, they hired people to work on tokenomics models. Later, the负责人 was reportedly leaving the company.

The direction is actually not hard to read: Polymarket is now moving toward building compliant financial infrastructure—acquiring licensed markets, entering the ICE strategic investment, and strengthening compliance and risk control.

Compared with issuing a governance token, partnering for an IPO and with traditional finance is clearly higher priority.

Tokens would make the structure more complicated, so they’ve been pushed further back.

But there’s also no evidence that they’ve completely abandoned it. The trademark is still there, and early-funding token warrant options are still there too.

On Predict, the market odds are more direct than any analysis:

Token issuance by the end of 2026: about 6%—almost nobody believes it

By the end of June 2027: about 30%—a few people are still betting

One more thing to clarify: the $pPOLY on Binance Wallet and PancakeSwap recently is not an official Polymarket token.

That is Paimon’s pre-IPO indirect exposure. It has no voting rights and no dividend rights—don’t mix them up.

Do you think Polymarket will issue tokens?

@Predictdotfun

PONS is finally starting to dip.

But the core issue isn’t that the story has gone wrong—it’s that the books are starting to be balanced.

It’s a launcher on the Robinhood chain. Over the past 30 days, the fee revenue has reached the hundred-million scale. Daily revenue has been seen ranging from several hundred thousand to one or two million.

A portion of it goes straight to buybacks and burns—this is real money backing it up.

If you’ve played on-chain for long enough, you’ll develop a certain judgment: the ones that can make it through this cycle—$HYPE, Lighter, and $UNI—share one common trait: high revenue.

Who can keep making money is the one who has the right to be repeatedly repriced.

Pure narrative trading is lively for a while and then disperses; only the cash-cow plays get slammed and then taken up again.

So the focus isn’t on any single red candle.

Check whether the fees are still there, whether buybacks are still there, and whether the supply/share has fallen.

If those things drop, no matter how loud the narrative gets, it won’t matter. If they’re still there, selling pressure is often just switching hands.

On Predict, some people are already setting the FDV for PONS before November. The 700 million tier is currently the most hotly disputed spot.

Spot trading reflects current sentiment, while the prediction market trades whether it can continue to be treated as a cash cow.

The two are not looking at the same thing.

Prophet Challenge Day 4: out of 100 people, only 98 are still on the field.

Only 25 people are making money, while 73 are losing. There are already 36 accounts below 10 U—nearly 40%, and they’ve basically been eliminated in advance.

#1 @Franky7 with 455 U: starting from 100 U, they’ve grown to 4.5x, and their win rate is so ridiculously high that it’s basically built on trading the event bracket.

#2 @oooodjdjd with 282 U.

#3 @GuHype fell from 411 down to 250 U.

The most real conclusion for Day 4 is:
The people who died in the bracket’s $BTC five-minute up/down trade on Day 1 were already carried out long ago.

Those who are still here and continuing upward are all people who’ve been deeply working the event bracket, with consistently stable win rates.

The most reliable approach is actually the least human: do nothing.

If you’re given 100 U and you do nothing at all, chances are you’ll still be in the top 50.

But people have two hearts: one is greed, and one is unwillingness.

So nobody can truly just sit still.

Going all-in on the short-term can get you to the top overnight, but it can also wipe you out overnight.

If someone can take 100 U and grow it and still be alive, it’s because of their choices and rhythm—not because of one single all-in.

There are 10 more days, and the leaderboard will keep changing. What do you think the account of the final #1 will be?

You can still make money watching games on the weekend—Predict has launched a football event again.
A 10,000 USDT prize pool. The gameplay is the same as the World Cup setup: lock in 5 match tickets—place your bet on which game you think will go your way in advance. Weekend games are settled by final standings, and the prize is split based on results.
There are two days left until the matches. The market is already open, and the earlier you lock your position, the better the locking price.
If you don’t want to watch a 5-minute short-term trade, this match-by-match locking format is much steadier—place your bet and then go watch the games. Come back on Monday to check the results.
You can find it in the Predict “Match Weekend” page.
Which match are you betting on this weekend?

Predict Oracle Challenge Day 1: Out of 100 people, 15 have already been eliminated.

With 100 USDT principal, on Day 1 some people managed to reach 172%, while others went straight to zero.

Almost all of the ones who went to zero did the same kind of move—going all-in on the $BTC 5-minute trading range.

That 5-minute range is just like this: it can double instantly, or wipe you out instantly.

The winners think they’re geniuses; the losers don’t even get time to react.

Day 1 settlement: 35 people made money, 48 lost money, and 15 people’s principal was wiped out immediately.

The remaining 85 continue.

The top spots on the leaderboard change very quickly—those who go all-in come in hard and leave just as fast.

The best part of this competition is this—not who can turn the most in a single day, but who can survive through the first week.

Those who can stay steady are likely the ones who diversify their positions and don’t all-in on a single market.

Just check the leaderboard every day: who enters the top ten, who gets washed out by the 5-minute range— the leaderboard won’t lie.

So what do you think the final first-place return rate will be?

Predict to give you money to play, and you don’t even play?

This time it’s different

It’s not asking you to top up—it’s giving you money.

For 100 people, each starts with 100 USDT. See who can earn the most over 14 days.

No adding to the position—only use the 100 U provided by the official.

The only thing you can rely on is your judgment.

The prizes are straightforward:
1st place: 1000 U,
2nd place: 800 U,
3rd place: 500 U,
4th–10th places: 200 U each

Even if you don’t win, this 100 U is still yours to use as principal after it’s used up.

There’s one tough rule: you must trade every day + post your trading performance once on X or Binance Square.

If you miss updates continuously for more than the allowed protection times, you’ll be eliminated immediately.

This effectively turns your “private play” into a “public competition”—every step of your actions will be watched.

In prediction markets, position sizing is an opinion. This time, it’s making those opinions public and comparing who can truly turn judgment into money.

Registration closes on September 16. There are 100 spots—apply early if you want to go.

How much do you think you can turn 100 U into in 14 days?

$MARSCOIN The FDV is now a little over 200 million, but on Predict people are already betting whether it can reach 1 billion.

What makes this coin interesting has never been the fundamentals, but how high the narrative can stack.

It started as a Mars meme, then got listed on Binance Alpha,

then CZ publicly ranked its wallet as the number one "most likely to buy" probability,

and then holding it could also earn tokenized SpaceX stock.

Layer after layer, every narrative upgrade brings in another wave of people.

The current pricing on Predict is:

300 million: 59%, more than half think it can get there, only 50% away from the current price

400 million: 34%, one-third are betting on a double

500 million: 20%, a minority are betting on continued hype

1 billion: 8%, purely betting on conviction

Total volume is 2.3 million U, with settlement on October 1.

Buying the coin and buying the prediction market are two different plays.

Buying the coin means betting it will keep going up; buying the prediction means pricing where it can go. The odds are different, and so is the risk structure.

But underneath, it is the same question:

How far can this narrative still go?