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$BTC has always been a cyclical beast ๐ 2013: -87.06% 2017: -83.46% 2021: -78.57% 2025: people see one tiny bounce and immediately scream โTO THE MOON!โ โ then call me stupid for staying cautious. $ETH
Every cycle, I used to respond:
โSure, maybe Iโm dumb.โ
But hereโs the truth: When the market pumps, nobody sends me their profits. When it crashes, nobody apologizes.
So in 2025, my answer is simple:
Trade your conviction. If you win โ you keep it. If you lose โ you own it.
$SUI The price is accumulating around the equilibrium zone of the previous phase, the level 1.4139 is an important support. The short timeframe shows a fairly good price reaction at this zone, if the support holds then there is a high possibility of a rebound towards the upper imbalance zone. Priority to long when the price stays above 1.4139 and momentum improves ๐
The price around 0.483 is facing pressure from the sellers, and the short-term upward momentum has weakened. The upcoming decline could be quick, look for a short scalp to take advantage of this drop ๐
The area 0.54 is facing strong selling pressure, LTF shows that the upward momentum has weakened. There is a possibility of a quick drop to the next support, look for short scalps to take advantage of this move ๐
๐ LONG $SOL โ SCALP PLAY โ 4h TIMEFRAME ๐ฅ๐
Entry: Now
TP: 124 โ 126
SL: close below 118
Price is holding well around 120, the short time frame has buying reaction and the short-term recovery is quite stable โ look for a quick long scalp ๐
The EMA weave & compression structure on $ZEC is not only used for catching peaks but also signals preparation for a bullish reversal phase when reset correctly.
After the price is swept down to low support areas and completely exits the EMA stack, the market is doing one very important thing: ๐ releasing all weak selling pressure + resetting momentum.
In previous instances, this type of flush has laid the foundation for a strong rebound, especially when: โข Selling pressure is gradually diminishing โข Price starts to hold low support โข Short-term EMA stops declining and prepares to converge again $ZEC
The strength of this EMA model is capturing the exhaustion phase of the trend, often ahead of traditional technical confirmations (break structure, MA crossโฆ).
The EMA stack being monitored on the 1H timeframe: โขEMA 12 โขEMA 21 โขEMA 50 โขEMA 100 โขEMA 200
๐ When $ZEC regains the short-term EMA and EMAs start to stack upwards, it is often a signal for a quality upward move, not a weak bounce.
In summary: The recent decline isn't bad โ it's paving the way for the next upward phase, as long as the price holds the current support area and EMAs begin to restructure in a bullish direction.
Mike On The Move
--
Bullish
THE MARKET IS CONSOLIDATING โ $ZEC PREPARING TO MAKE A DECISION
๐ Trading Plan โ LONG $ZEC Entry: 408 โ 415 SL: 392 TP1: 435 TP2: 456 TP3: 476
๐ Technical Analysis
$ZEC is moving in a triangle/sideway consolidation structure, with price rotating instead of creating a clear trend โ typical of a market that is โaccumulating strengthโ before breaking out. The range 408โ415 is the demand zone + equilibrium, where prices have reacted multiple times and absorbed selling pressure. The downward momentum has slowed, with deep shakeouts not following through strongly โ the probability of a squeeze up is higher than breaking down โก The ideal scenario is to slightly sweep down to the entry zone and then bounce back, confirmed by a hammer candle / engulfing on LTF.
๐จ Invalidate: If the price closes a candle clearly below 392 and does not reclaim โ long trade is invalid, stand aside to preserve capital.
This trade requires patience + discipline, no FOMO, let the market confirm itself. {future}(ZECUSDT)
REALITY CHECK โ $XRP STUCK IN A VOLATILE ZONE, NOT YET TIME FOR FOMO
๐ Trading Plan Prioritizing Short $XRP Entry: around 1.86โ1.88 SL: above 1.90 TP1: 1.873 TP2: 1.833 mTP3: 1.826
๐ Technical analysis
The market structure on the 1H timeframe still leans bearish, the price has not reclaimed the important resistance zone above, so the main trend has not changed. The area around 1.89โ1.90 is acting as a โceiling,โ continuously creating lower highs and rejecting prices. In this context, it is highly likely that XRP will continue to be pushed down to the liquidity zones below before showing a clear reaction. โ ๏ธ
๐จ Reversal conditions (Invalidate) $XRP โข Only if the price closes strongly and stays above 1.89โ1.90, along with a clear reversal signal (bullish engulfing / structure shift), then consider Long with targets near 1.906 โ 1.947. โข If there is no clear reclaim โ prioritize Short according to the main trend.
๐ The market is in a phase of โfiltering players,โ be patient and wait for confirmation. No confirmation = no entry.
Instead of talking about a Santa Rally, perhaps we should prepare for a true 'Grinch Rally'.
The price behavior data of Bitcoin over the last 4 years shows a highly probable repeating scenario: ๐ A strong sell-off occurs between 12/25 and the end of the year.$ETH
The period from 12/25 to 12/31 is almost a 'kill zone' for late long orders. As institutional liquidity thins out due to the holiday season, the market often shifts to a distribution phase, followed by a sharp flush before the year closes.$SOL
The history of the last 4 years: โข2021 (-10.11%): Strong rejection at the peak, the holiday turned into a major liquidation event. โข2022 (-1.87%): Slow decline, low volatility, completing the bear market bottom. โข2023 (-3.47%): Even distribution, ending precisely on 12/31. โข2024 (-8.32%): Strong reversal from around ~$100k, wiping out long breakout orders using leverage.
Currently, BTC is around ~$87k, and there are only ~48 hours left before entering this familiar risk framework.
If history continues to repeat, the probability leans heavily towards an additional drop of ~5โ10% before the new year. ๐ This is not the time for FOMO, but a time for risk management and keeping a cool head.
CAUTION โ $SOL IS ACCUMULATING BEFORE A BIG PUSH
Trading Plan Long $SOL Entry: 120 โ 125 SL: 118 TP1: 138 TP2: 152 TP3: 168
๐ Technical Analysis
$SOL is maintaining an accumulation structure after a strong correction, the lower boundary is clearly protected in the range of 120โ125. Selling pressure is gradually weakening, and the price is no longer making new lower lows, indicating that the sellers are running out of strength โก On the lower timeframe, momentum is starting to reverse, and there is a fairly high probability of a liquidity grab occurring before a bounce. As long as the 118 level does not close decisively below, the squeeze scenario to the upside remains dominant ๐ฅ
Invalidate: Strong close below 118 โ long position is no longer valid.
THE MARKET IS CONSOLIDATING โ $ZEC PREPARING TO MAKE A DECISION
๐ Trading Plan โ LONG $ZEC Entry: 408 โ 415 SL: 392 TP1: 435 TP2: 456 TP3: 476
๐ Technical Analysis
$ZEC is moving in a triangle/sideway consolidation structure, with price rotating instead of creating a clear trend โ typical of a market that is โaccumulating strengthโ before breaking out. The range 408โ415 is the demand zone + equilibrium, where prices have reacted multiple times and absorbed selling pressure. The downward momentum has slowed, with deep shakeouts not following through strongly โ the probability of a squeeze up is higher than breaking down โก The ideal scenario is to slightly sweep down to the entry zone and then bounce back, confirmed by a hammer candle / engulfing on LTF.
๐จ Invalidate: If the price closes a candle clearly below 392 and does not reclaim โ long trade is invalid, stand aside to preserve capital.
This trade requires patience + discipline, no FOMO, let the market confirm itself.
Preparing for the uptrend: Turning time into an advantage
The market really only runs about 15% of the time, while the remaining 85% is for preparation. The issue is not whether to wait or not, but during the waiting, whether you let time erode your mindset or work in your favor.
The simplest way is to let money work for itself: deposit stablecoins, auto earnโฆ the profits are not high but help keep the capital from 'dying' and avoid hasty decisions. A more advanced approach is to optimize capital with discipline (for example, mortgaging $BTC to borrow stablecoins to buy $ETH ) โ only do this when the trend is favorable and the health ratio is truly safe. This is a tool, not an all-in game.
For most people, stable income + DCA BTC/ETH is still the most sustainable path. A downtrend is the time to build a foundation, not to quit your job to gamble.$SOL
At the same time, invest in your own advantages: technical analysis, fundamentals, narratives, or follow a long-term strategy to reduce mistakes. And most importantly: have a checklist to avoid FOMO.
Sitting still 85% of the time is not a waste. If done correctly, it is a time to accumulate capital, knowledge, and advantages โ so when the remaining 15% comes, you are ready for the game.
STRUCTURE IS BEING TESTED โ $BTC PREPARING TO CHOOSE DIRECTION
Trading Plan $BTC Entry: around 87,500 โ 88,000 SL: below 84,450 TP1: 90,365 TP2: 94,589 TP3: 95,925
Technical analysis
$BTC is trading below EMA 20 and EMA 200 on the daily chart, indicating that the overall trend is still weak, but selling pressure has clearly slowed down. The support cluster at 86,865 is playing an important role as a โliquidity cushionโ; if there is a sweep below this area and then a quick reclaim, that's a typical signal for a liquidity grab before a rebound.
Momentum indicators are no longer in bearish consensus: MACD, Stochastic, RSI, and ADX are signaling short-term recovery, while high ATR indicates that the range is about to expand. The area of 94,589โ95,925 is a price magnet (FVG + equilibrium), likely to be tested if the long side regains control of the structure.
Invalidation conditions Closing the daily candle below 84,450 and no clear rebound reaction โ long scenario is invalidated, risk of returning to the area of 80,600.
Current expectation: prioritize long reactions from support, do not FOMO chase the price. Wait for a sweep โ reclaim โ confirmation before entering the order. Good trades often come after the market โhurtsโ the majority.
$BEAT has reached TP2 as planned, the downtrend is very neat, the momentum is in line with expectations from the beginning. The short trade is running smoothly, there's nothing more to worry about.
At this price level, I will close all orders to secure profits. $BEAT Congratulations to those who followed the trade and maintained discipline โ money coming in is a win. ๐ฐ๐ฅ
Mike On The Move
--
SHORT-TERM VIEW โ $BEAT PRIORITY SHORT IMMEDIATELY IN THE CURRENT ZONE
Short trading plan $BEAT Entry: 2.85โ2.92 SL: 3.02 TP1: 2.63 TP2: 2.31 TP3: 2.05
Analysis $BEAT is moving sideways weakly after the sell-off, the rebound lacks strength and cannot reclaim the lost structure. The price is currently hovering around the short-term supply zone, making it easy to experience a bull trap before continuing to decline โก
The preferred scenario is to short directly at the current zone, taking advantage of good RR with a short SL. Invalidate: Closing a candle above 3.02 and holding โ exit the position, do not be stubborn ๐จ {future}(BEATUSDT)
PRESSURE NOT REDUCED โ $PIPPIN WEAK RECOVERY, PRIORITY TO SELL ON RALLY
Short trading plan $PIPPIN Entry: 0.420โ0.432 SL: 0.448 TP1: 0.368 TP2: 0.336 TP3: 0.299
Analysis $PIPPIN is still below the equilibrium zone of the most recent swing, overall bearish structure and the price is moving near the bottom of the range, indicating very weak recovery โก The upward movements are mainly pullbacks to sell, with no signs of reclaiming the structure or reliable reversal.
As long as the price cannot hold above the 0.44 zone, the preferred scenario remains to continue declining towards lower demand areas. Invalidate: Closing a candle above 0.448 and holding โ the Short scenario is invalidated, avoid stubbornness ๐จ
๐ฅ $BEAT โ Short Bet Running ACCORDING to Plan! โก
$BEAT is decreasing exactly as the initial setup, momentum is clearly leaning towards the sellers, and the structure remains very nice. Prices react properly at each important level.
๐ Action: Guys move the SL to entry to preserve capital, then continue to hold the order until TP.$BEAT Maintain discipline, put emotions aside, and let the market run on its own โ this bet is looking very good! ๐๐
Mike On The Move
--
SHORT-TERM VIEW โ $BEAT PRIORITY SHORT IMMEDIATELY IN THE CURRENT ZONE
Short trading plan $BEAT Entry: 2.85โ2.92 SL: 3.02 TP1: 2.63 TP2: 2.31 TP3: 2.05
Analysis $BEAT is moving sideways weakly after the sell-off, the rebound lacks strength and cannot reclaim the lost structure. The price is currently hovering around the short-term supply zone, making it easy to experience a bull trap before continuing to decline โก
The preferred scenario is to short directly at the current zone, taking advantage of good RR with a short SL. Invalidate: Closing a candle above 3.02 and holding โ exit the position, do not be stubborn ๐จ {future}(BEATUSDT)
SHORT-TERM VIEW โ $BEAT PRIORITY SHORT IMMEDIATELY IN THE CURRENT ZONE
Short trading plan $BEAT Entry: 2.85โ2.92 SL: 3.02 TP1: 2.63 TP2: 2.31 TP3: 2.05
Analysis $BEAT is moving sideways weakly after the sell-off, the rebound lacks strength and cannot reclaim the lost structure. The price is currently hovering around the short-term supply zone, making it easy to experience a bull trap before continuing to decline โก
The preferred scenario is to short directly at the current zone, taking advantage of good RR with a short SL. Invalidate: Closing a candle above 3.02 and holding โ exit the position, do not be stubborn ๐จ
The Bitcoin dominance is steadily and persistently increasing. $SOL Unlike previous cycles, BTC's dominance no longer experiences sharp drops followed by rebounds; instead, there has been a consistent upward trend lasting nearly 3 years.$ETH
If $BTC is the foundation of your investment portfolio, then the current position is very safe โ while most altcoin investors have either missed significant upward movements or are currently facing losses.
IMPORTANT SUPPORT LEVEL โ $BTC IS CHALLENGING THE BUYING POWER, THE RESPONSE WILL DETERMINE THE TREND
Long trading plan $BTC Entry: 86.8kโ87.6k SL: 84.4k TP1: 90.3k TP2: 94.6k TP3: 102.0k
Analysis $BTC is moving around the short-term support zone after a strong decline, the D1 structure is still bearish, but the first rebound momentum has appeared โก Although the price is still below EMA20 and EMA200, indicators like MACD, RSI, Stochastic, Fisher, and ADX show that buying power is gradually increasing, in the context of high ATR signaling strong volatility.
If 86.8k is defended, the preferred scenario is a rebound to 90.3k, then testing the imbalance zone at 94.6k. Invalidate: Closing the candle below 84.4k โ the Long scenario is invalidated, risk of returning to 80.6k ๐จ
Long trading plan $GIGGLE Entry: 70.5โ71.5 SL: 68.9 TP1: 73.2 TP2: 75.6 TP3: 78.0
Analysis $GIGGLE is holding above the upper boundary of the old range, indicating that buying pressure has not been clearly rejected. Although the indicators remain mixed, downside momentum is not expanding, and the price is entering a consolidation phase โ accumulating at a high level โก
As long as the 70โ71 range is maintained, the preferred scenario remains to continue the upward bounce towards the supply zones above. Invalidate: Clearly losing 68.9 โ Long scenario is broken, exit the position decisively ๐จ
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