瞌睡虫丫

🩸The Bloody Lesson If you want to score points, find a stable way to score points. Don't think you can score points and participate in trading competitions at the same time. Either gamble, and the profit and loss don't matter!

I used to think that brushing MERL was pretty good, thinking I had a good eye for it; I could earn without losing on each MERL transaction, gaining points and also participating in trading competitions. Until there was that one time I misjudged, and it kept dropping. When you can't wait anymore, you realize it's just gambling. Take it as a warning; from now on, score points honestly, and don't let trading competitions affect you! The last time I brushed MERL, I lost 450u, and I stopped! It’s been half a month without airdrops! I admit I lost this bet 😆 Self-inflicted misfortune, haha.

A knockoff is still a knockoff; when it falls, it has no bottom line. MERL was really good before, but ever since it went on contract, it has been ruined; I give up!

$BNB Still cheering for my BNB, keep it up! This time it was just a bit short of reaching 700, next time, keep it up!

Next, the pause in tariffs has stabilized market sentiment. Not to mention that the situation at Dongda hasn't been resolved yet, but it actually doesn't have much impact, at least on the cryptocurrency circle.

If you are still thinking about shorting at a high, you might encounter a situation like tonight's. Trump hasn't mentioned the cryptocurrency circle for a long time, remember the last time he called for buying? The price went up by ten thousand in one day?

Also, the probability of interest rate cuts in May may be low, but now with the tariff pause, inflation might be delayed, and employment has been quite strong, enough for Powell to justify starting rate cuts in June.

As long as Putin isn't causing any trouble, in the next few months, at least within the 90 days he mentioned, it’s very likely that the price will break the previous high. Let's wait and see!

$BTC

Additionally, I still have a good outlook on BNB. The current price is really not high! Let's allocate some as well. $BNB

$BTC

Air Force, hurry up and run! The biggest hidden danger has been eliminated, and there are future interest rate cuts to support. The situation will reverse in the next 90 days, welcoming the final bull market.

I think we can no longer define bull and bear markets with the old mindset.

The current weekly pullback is what you call a bear market, and after it pulls back, if it returns to break new highs, that's the so-called bull market. Then we wait for the next pullback, with cycles that are not fixed. It cannot keep rising to extremes, nor can it keep falling indefinitely.

The overall trend is that the market will continue to break new highs. I believe that one day BTC will reach 1 million dollars as CZ said 😆.

What we need to do is to have a good outlook on the weekly and monthly trends and manage our positions well. Buy the dip when necessary, sell when needed, and avoid being over-leveraged and facing liquidation. Even if you have little capital, with each low leverage, your assets will accumulate over time. High leverage can yield high profits, but the risk of losing everything is also significant. Even if you don't get liquidated, if you are wrong about the direction and stop-loss multiple times, your capital will diminish, and in the end, you will lose confidence and your mindset. You will still try high leverage again, and eventually, it will go to zero. This is human nature 😆.

Don't trust yourself too much, restrain yourself, don't be greedy, take it slow and steady! Try not to touch altcoins; it's unrealistic to expect to rely on them for dozens or hundreds of times in gains now!

Tonight, let's watch the US stock market opening and wait for the right opportunity. The lowest price has adjusted to the critical point of 80,000; they really know how to play! Just like the last peak of 109,588 and the recent high of 95,000, it feels like these round numbers are the peaks or troughs of stages 😆😆😆. If it doesn't break 8 tonight but gets close, I'll buy a little more. Otherwise, it would be a shame for these main forces 😆. Let's see if the number 80,000 holds firm. Ideally, it would break and come down to around 75 or 76. My Bollinger Bands are set to 20, 2, with the lower band around 74~

$BTC

Remember the day of the DS incident when Bitcoin dropped to 91 and BNB had no one to support it, directly dropping to 500. Now Bitcoin has reached 80,000 again, and it's obvious that someone is supporting BNB around 550. Actually, it can be allocated now. Don't forget BNB's golden shovel attribute; there were many airdrops in February. Unfortunately, at that time, I also converted everything to BTC and didn't leave any funds for BNB. Now it's good to gradually allocate some funds to BNB.

$BTC
$BNB

It's okay to check the posts in the square. Seeing those who say the bear is here, seeing 7, even 6, or 5, makes me want to argue a bit. Currently, it's just a pullback in the bull market. If this can reach the lower weekly trend line, it would be perfect, then we can wait for a doubling market. There are still some self-righteous bloggers who look all pretentious saying we won't reach 10 this year. I just want to slap them in the face. They don't even understand the big trend and are spreading alarmist views. They probably just missed the big bull. I'm not stuck. I previously said 78 was about right. Did going in eat up enough of a 10,000-point gain? But the short-term trend is a pullback, so it's best to take profits when you can. Currently, we are waiting to see if there will be another big drop on Monday. Ideally around 75, that would be an excellent entry opportunity. I don't know if it will be given though. Let's wait and see. But 82 won't be broken, and it's making people anxious... Think with your brain. Don't blindly follow the crowd. In the short term, it looks like a downward trend. Once the situation reverses, there won't even be a chance to hop on. It doesn't support 50 or 100 times leverage. This is about wealth management, not high-leverage gambling. If you gamble with high leverage contracts, you're bound to lose everything eventually.

If you don't gamble with high leverage and control your position well, what is there to fear from various pullbacks? The square is full of pessimism, saying that the bull is gone during pullbacks, and that a big rise means the bull is coming. My opinion is to start with spot trading, use low leverage during big drops; the current decline is just an opportunity for you to double your investment later. Change your mindset and don't let panic make you miss the opportunity.

Think about the last time it dropped to 49,000. How many people panicked, saying they couldn't see the bottom? Some even predicted it would drop to 30,000 or 20,000. Don't you think it's those hesitant people who clearly see the bottom but are too afraid to enter that are feeling unbalanced and hoping for another chance to enter? Just like this time, there are still people predicting 6, predicting 5, mostly those who want to accumulate at a low price.

It's not impossible to test 7 again because the lower weekly trend needs to complete perfectly. This week is 74, and next week it will rise again. Think about it, if you're not using high leverage, even if it drops from the current high, there’s no need to panic.

The long-term bull market is not over. Regardless of whether it drops first or how it behaves, this year's bull peak will definitely be around 140,000. Just hold on with low leverage! It took three months to go from 49,000 to 7 and then to nearly 11. All the news is just used by the big players to manipulate the market; trust your own judgment and control your position! Just gamble with your vehicle!

Keep it up! The bull will be back soon, stay firm!

#白宫首届加密货币峰会

This has opened up a lonely space again, and it hasn't even been useful for Old Bao to speak 😂

Truly, it’s a success for Trump and a failure for Trump, oh

It feels like the current market will just keep bouncing around until there are signals for interest rate cuts

Risk aversion is still serious, US Treasury yields are still rising, shorts are currently dominant, and if there’s any bad news, they will take the opportunity to hammer it down

Even if there’s good news, it won’t rise much, it's tough

But please don't say the bull is gone and it's a bear market; these are just the scare tactics of short sellers. Every bull market will have weekly level corrections, we’re just waiting for that bottom to be tested

Waiting for the bull to return, even the bulls are tired and need to rest to recuperate before they can fly higher... only referring to the crypto bull 🐮

$BTC

#比特币政策转变
Did some analysis with DS 🧐 but it seems like it didn't say much! 😂

Today's Bitcoin trend is influenced by both Trump's crypto summit and non-farm payroll data. Need to consider both fundamentals and technicals for a comprehensive forecast:

1. Short-term effects of the crypto summit
Trump has recently been actively courting the crypto community (such as accepting donations and promising to relax regulations). The summit is likely to release favorable policies, which may stimulate market sentiment. However, statements about 'illegal income reserves' have caused a brief panic (90,000 → 84,000), and the current rebound to 88,000 shows that bearish sentiment has somewhat digested. If the summit does not mention specific regulatory details and only provides slogan-like support, it may create a 'buy the expectation, sell the fact' scenario, with a resistance level to watch at the psychological barrier of 90,000.

2. Pathways of non-farm data impact

• Data exceeds expectations (>185,000): Strengthens Federal Reserve rate hike expectations, stronger USD suppresses risk assets, Bitcoin may drop toward the support level of 84,000, or even test the integer level of 80,000.

• Data below expectations (<170,000): Increased expectations for rate cuts, capital may flow back to cryptocurrencies, combined with the favorable policies from the summit to create bullish resonance, targeting the range of 93,000-95,000.

• Data meets expectations (170,000-190,000): Market reaction is muted, maintaining a fluctuation range of 84,000-90,000, waiting for next week's CPI data guidance.

3. Linked risks and strategy recommendations
The two events form a 'policy + macro' overlapping volatility. If the summit releases substantial regulatory frameworks (such as clarifying post-election policies), it may reverse the impact of non-farm data. The technical 4-hour chart shows a neutral RSI, MACD decreasing, with a short-term bias toward consolidation. Recommendations:

• Aggressive strategy: Light positioning before data release, chase long if it breaks 89,000 (target 92,000), follow short if it breaks 86,000 (target 82,000).

• Conservative strategy: Confirm the trend 30 minutes after data release, keep stop-loss within 5%, to guard against spike scenarios.

Conclusion: Non-farm data has a higher weight than summit statements. If the data is bearish (>190,000), it may trigger a plunge below 80,000; if the data is bullish + the summit supports, there is hope to break previous highs. Volatility may exceed 10%, and caution is needed for accelerated movements triggered by leveraged liquidations. $BTC

Can you tell me the reason for the drop tonight? It looks like I can enter around 73. Previously I entered early at 78 and took profit, can I still hold some low-priced shares? I didn't expect the dog owner to be so nice? Is it true $BTC

Yesterday took off near 85🛫 but as a strategic reserve, they should have bought a lot early around 78. Once it hit 85, it went straight up. 78 or lower should not be given again. So for those who missed out, I think if it goes back to 85, go in decisively. Don't leverage too much, leave some room for adjustments; otherwise, you may have to cut losses and reduce forced liquidation. Personal guess🧐$BTC

Starting in mid-February, the market as a whole began to exhibit risk-averse sentiment. As of today, all three major potential market crash factors have been eliminated. If any one of these three data points falters, the crypto market could face significant pullbacks, such as Bitcoin dropping to the lower weekly boundary of 69x.

However:
1. Nvidia's earnings report exceeded expectations.
2. U.S. GDP data met expectations.
3. PCE data met expectations, leading to bets on a Fed rate cut in June.

Due to panic and risk aversion, Bitcoin dropped to around 78 today, but the gloom should be lifted, and the market in March is worth looking forward to! Once again, I advise everyone to be cautious when shorting! Bulls can start entering in batches.

Don't panic and think the bull is gone just because there's a small pullback. Hasn't there been significant pullbacks in previous bull markets? Didn't they ultimately end up doubling? I disdain those who say the bull is here when prices rise and the bear is here when prices fall.

$BTC

Originally expected to enter at 78-80 by the end of January, it has been delayed for a month. However, that's fine; we are all waiting for the weekly pullback. The market manipulators just won't give it to you. Spot price at 78 can be entered now; look at so many people waiting for the ultimate needle to hit 73, or even 69? Last time at 67, the crazy bull market started, and if you didn't catch the bottom, do you still fantasize about getting another chance? What are you thinking? Now entering in batches, I don't want to miss out. The loss will only be temporary; don't use high leverage!

$BTC

The price of Bitcoin has dropped to 78, with the key support range at 77-78. This range coincides with the CME gap position. Currently, Bitcoin has entered the gap zone, and it may be considered to gradually buy in batches, unless there is an extreme black swan event that causes it to drop below 75. Large orders are mainly at 75 - 76, where 75 is an important support-resistance flip point. The probability of breaking below this level for the first time is low, so it is advisable to follow the large players and buy at this bottom. Currently, Bitcoin is not far from the buying zone, and the market may be experiencing the last drop. Be cautious when shorting; at this moment, it is best to gradually enter the market in batches.

#2025新年加密愿望清单

Happy New Year! Good health! All the best!

It's a new year again. Here are some cryptocurrency wish lists for 2025. I hope they can fulfill my expectations:

1. BNB: I hope BNB can continue to grow, break through the $2,000 mark, and become one of the mainstream cryptocurrencies.

2. Bitcoin (BTC): I hope the price of Bitcoin will hit a new high, break through $15, and consolidate its position as digital gold.

3. Ethereum (ETH): I hope Ethereum will complete a comprehensive upgrade and the price will break through $5,000.

4. Solana (SOL): I hope the Solana ecosystem will continue to prosper and the price of SOL will break through $500.

Of course, I hope I can buy BNB at a low point, because I just entered the circle not long ago, and I don't know how to hoard coins at a low point😑.

Happy New Year again and happy family! $BNB

#市场回暖新机遇

Historically, Bitcoin has usually performed strongly in February during the years following a halving.
Cycle Review and Predictions
1) Review of 2017 and 2021 Cycles
2017: Bitcoin experienced a pullback in January but resumed its upward trend in February.
2021: Similarly, BTC rebounded in February after a decline in January.

2) 2025 Prediction
If history repeats itself, February of this year may also see a similar upward trend.

3) Market Rumors and Potential Driving Factors
Recently, speculation regarding executive orders related to Bitcoin has intensified in the market.
Although not yet confirmed, historical experience suggests that such events usually have a significant impact on the market.

However, the last few days of January may continue to see declines, and there could be a sharp drop; we need to be patient and wait a few days to buy the dip! Will BTC reach 89 or 85? Let's wait and see! Start charging in early February!

#BTC再创新高

Already reached 109, hit a whole number, and next will definitely pull back. Before the end of the month, there might be a big influx of money; in this market, where it can easily rise by tens of thousands of points in a day, anything is possible 🤔…… Will there be another probe starting with 8? We will wait and see. There are a few days left. If you have spot assets in the vehicle, just leave them alone to avoid missing out. A big drop with leverage means if it's a contract, take the money to stop loss unless you have sufficient funds. It's best to be prepared to add positions and average out when there's a volatility of ten thousand points!

Let's see what happens from the 24th to the 28th. Looking forward to it.....

$PEPE

I accidentally saw this 1 million pepe from Binance in the reward center. I didn’t know why it was given, so I gladly accepted it. It was worth about 24u at the time, but it has been in a mess after going through the baptism back and forth. I didn’t pay much attention to the small amount, but suddenly Elon changed his avatar and hyped it up. My friend said to buy it quickly, Musk is here again, I smiled, even if it is pulled to 2037, the value is only 20u. I cleared the position. It is back to 1851 today😅

I am still optimistic about BNB, it is as stable as a mountain, $BNB come on👏

For entertainment only

$BNB

In November, I was worried that Chuan Jianguo wouldn't be able to take the stage, so I didn't dare to bottom out at 6:07. Then I just kept missing out and missing out because the last time I bottomed out at 6:07, I encountered the 805 black swan, and I even added leverage, losing quite a bit in the end. The memory still lingers. Everything that should have risen in a bull market has risen, but only BNB... I always believe BNB hasn't exploded!!! Allocated everything to BNB. It's fine to mine a bit or something. You short sellers can short other things, but don't short BNB. 😅
Go BNB～