杀破狼 WolfyXBT

The bull market for Bitcoin has ended, and we have now entered a bear market.

The peak of this bull market occurred on 2025/10/06, with the price of Bitcoin at 126,000. I also do not wish to speak negatively about my career, but according to the "four-year cycle theory," the price of Bitcoin has indeed peaked. I just want to convey this fact to more newcomers who have entered this cycle.

In my opinion, the "Bitcoin halving" has the greatest impact on the price of Bitcoin; it is much larger than any other event (macroeconomics, regulatory policies, geopolitical issues, wars, pandemics, etc.). The four-year cycle theory is a cyclical theory that revolves around Bitcoin halving, and it is currently the most reliable cyclical theory in the cryptocurrency space, without exception.

The core of the four-year cycle theory is: "Bitcoin halving" dominates the rhythm of Bitcoin's bull and bear transitions, dividing the fluctuations of a Bitcoin bull and bear cycle into 4 parts, which are:

Bull Beginning >> Halving >> Bull End >> Bear Market

Before the "halving," there will be a "Bull Beginning,"
After the "halving," there will be a "Bull End,"
The "halving day" will be interspersed in the "middle region" of the entire bull market,
The duration of the "Bull Beginning" and "Bull End" is basically similar,

After the "Bull End," there will be a bear market lasting 1 year, and then we will wait for the next "halving day" to drive the next "Bull Beginning" market, and so on, ad infinitum.

From the diagram below, we can see that the "Bull End" of this round has already concluded, and we have officially entered the "Bear Market" zone. Even if the date I mentioned may not be absolutely accurate, there is no need for us to continue betting in this zone.

This is a bull-market battle plan I wrote in 2024

The last one—"Exit the market and fully liquidate before October 2025"—I followed it.

The bull market’s bull top this round is 126,000, and the date is 2025/10/06

Now open the search box on 𝕏, copy this text 「from:wolfyxbt until_time:1759680000 "2025/10/06"」, and then click search. Thank you everyone.

$BTC is about to collapse!

Crypto fam, don’t sweat it,

if we dip to 35,000, I’ll be here to CTO Bitcoin.

Wishing you prosperous trading!

Yay!

Bitcoin can't perform anymore

Waa waa waa

Hang in there!

Whoa, Elon is about to flip Bitcoin!

This is Musk's current balance

Wow, Binance is awesome! Full refunds, no fees.

Then all participants split a whopping $1 million. You can always trust Binance 😂

SpaceX has officially gone public, and Musk's net worth has just officially surpassed $1 trillion.

It's quite the historical moment, witnessing the first person in history to hit a trillion-dollar net worth. Back when Tesla went public 16 years ago, Musk's net worth was around $670 million. In just 16 years, he's managed to pump it up by 1493 times.

The crypto scene has totally exploded, and everyone got wiped out.

A bunch of exchanges took the SpaceX IPO quota intending to sell it to the crypto folks. Half the crypto community forked over cash to participate in the new offering, and now that it's done, they’re being told there’s no quota, and refunds come with a few hundred bucks in fees.

The worst part is, some traders saw that $SPCX 's pre-market contracts shot up a lot, so they went short to hedge and lock in profits. But the hedge positions are now in the red, and they still can't get their hands on the IPO stocks.

After years of hype around RWA tokens, who’s gonna dare to play after this?

Lately, more and more exchanges are starting to support trading US stocks.

It's getting a bit confusing for me; some aren't real US stocks but tokenized versions or US stock contracts. Currently, the main players that allow you to buy real US stocks are: MEXC, Backpack, BIT, Binance, Gate, Kraken, and Coinbase—those 7.

The fee structures are also quite a mess, each one is different. Some charge by %, some charge per share, and some have discounts during certain periods. Here’s a simple comparison table I’ve put together to share with you all.

Heard someone scored on Binance Square, that's awesome! Binance Square is about to see the biggest user growth ever, that's the real deal for a social platform.

Trust yourself!

I predict that the bull market peak in 2029 will only hit $170,000, with the date being 2029/09/03.

So, in my view, a dip in Bitcoin right now would be a massive win for the crypto space. We should all pray together for it to drop to $35,000, that's the way to go. If this bear market doesn't drop enough, the profit potential in the next bull run will be severely limited.

Assuming $60,000 is the bear market bottom and $170,000 is the top, the bull market would only have +183% profit potential; assuming $35,000 is the bear market bottom and $170,000 is the top, the bull market still has +385% left to play with.

Bitcoin's wild volatility is what makes it so attractive to outsiders and speculative traders. If this bear market doesn't correct enough, the imagination space for the next bull market will shrink too, and Bitcoin's price might start stabilizing. Speculative traders may lose interest, and at that point, Bitcoin could really become yesterday's news.

MicroStrategy is buying crypto again! Buying high, selling low! They’re like top-tier traders!

Now things are super awkward!

MicroStrategy announced they bought 1550 coins $BTC , and the market is totally flat!
MicroStrategy announced they sold 32 coins $BTC , and panic caused a massive dip!