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U.S. CORE CPI COULD COOL TO 2.4% Markets are watching Fridayโs U.S. CPI report closely. ๐ Core CPI forecast: 2.4% YoY vs 2.5% prior ๐ Core CPI MoM: ~0.2% ๐ฅ Headline CPI MoM: ~0.4%, driven largely by energy ๐ฏ A softer core reading could ease inflation concerns. The key question: Will cooler core inflation reduce pressure on the Fed? For crypto, a softer-than-expected CPI could support BTC and risk assets, while a hotter print could strengthen the USD and pressure crypto. โ ๏ธ Watch the ACTUAL vs FORECAST reaction โ not just the headline number. $BTC #cpi #bitcoin #BTC #FederalReserve
$ETH is sitting in a zone where Iโm interested. My focus is the $2,410โ$2,424 Daily POI. If ETH trades into this area, I want to see 5M or 15M MSS/CISD confirmation before considering an entry. No confirmation = no trade. The setup Iโm watching: โ Daily POI: $2,410โ$2,424 โ Entry: Only after 5M/15M MSS or CISD โ Target: $2,610 โ Key idea: Let price reach the POI first, then prove the reversal on the lower timeframe. I wouldnโt blindly buy the zone just because itโs a Daily POI. The reaction + confirmation is what matters. If ETH gives the confirmation, the $2,610 area becomes the main upside objective. Would you wait for the 5M/15M confirmation, or take the Daily POI blindly? $ETH #ETH #Ethereum #ict #smartmoney #cryptotrading
$BTC is sitting at a 4H POI. The next move may be decided by the liquidity below it. ๐ Price is approaching the 4H Order Block, and this is the area I'm watching for a potential reaction. But Iโm not entering just because price reaches the OB. My confirmation model: 4H OB โ liquidity interaction โ 5M/15M MSS or CISD โ entry If BTC taps the zone and gives the required lower-timeframe confirmation, Iโll be watching for a move toward the weekly liquidity above. If there is no MSS/CISD confirmation? No trade. Simple. The interesting part is that the setup is already mapped out โ now we wait for price to confirm it. Would you take the 4H OB reaction, or wait for the 5M/15M confirmation? ๐ $BTC #BTC #Bitcoin #ICT #SmartMoney #cryptotrading
CPI is on Friday. But the number itself isn't the only thing I'm watching. The real question is: where does $BTC take liquidity when volatility hits? High-impact news can create fast moves, sweep obvious highs/lows, and then reveal the actual direction. So instead of predicting โCPI bullishโ or โCPI bearishโ, I'm watching the reaction: โข Which side of liquidity gets swept first? โข Does price show real displacement? โข Do we get a clean MSS after the sweep? โข Is there an FVG retracement for confirmation? My approach is simple: Liquidity sweep โ Displacement โ MSS โ FVG retracement โ Target opposing liquidity If Friday creates volatility but there's no confirmation, I wouldn't chase the first move. The first candle after CPI can trap both bulls and bears. The reaction around key liquidity is what matters more to me. No confirmation = no trade. Which gets taken first on Friday: buy-side or sell-side liquidity? ๐ $BTC #cpi #bitcoin #cryptotrading #ICTTradingStrategy #TrueICT
XAU โ 4H Smart Money Breakdown ๐ฅ๐๐ Price swept the daily OB, respected the weekly liquidity level, and is now reacting from the Daily POI. Classic ICT rotation: liquidity grab โ OB reaction โ POI rejection โ continuation toward the next draw on liquidity. Watch how price respects these zones โ this is the market showing its hand. Smart money doesn't chase price, it waits for price to come to it. ๐ Key zones: ๐น Weekly Liquidity โ the magnet ๐น Daily POI โ reaction zone ๐น Daily OB โ support/demand ๐น Weekly OB โ higher timeframe base $XAU
$BTC 2H โ Short Setup ๐ $BTC has formed a clear bearish structure with multiple Lower Highs (LH) and Breaks of Structure (BOS). Price then pushed back into the previous liquidity area and took the buy-side liquidity above the recent LH. Setup: โข Bias: Bearish โข Entry: ~63,365 โข Liquidity Sweep: ~63,600 โข Stop Loss: ~63,740 โข Take Profit: ~62,525 โข R:R: ~1:3.5 The idea: Liquidity sweep โ rejection โ continuation lower. Wait for confirmation. Don't chase the move. Short : $BTC #BTC #Bitcoin #ict #SmartMoneyConcepts #SMC #CryptoTrading #BitcoinTechnicalAnalysis