CryptoRon

Bull market’s here? I don’t believe it

Short $ETH at @HertzFlow —if you’ve got the nerve, blow me out!

#HertzflowPNL

The other day, I placed a bunch of empty orders on @HertzFlow —if they all got filled, I’d be rich today. What a pity.
Today, I’m going to continue placing orders: #HertzflowPNL

Shorted 1000U on @HertzFlow for $BTC

This wave definitely still has another leg down—waiting to cash out

#HertzflowPNL

Closed the short position opened at @HertzFlow too early; the short position will be placed again to wait for the fill.

#HertzflowPNL

The $BTC short position has been unclosed at @HertzFlow for a while, waiting for a big drop

In the past month, there will definitely be another big drop—it's just a matter of when it happens #HertzflowPNL

Continue shorting on @HertzFlow and $BTC , making 10 points of profit every day, so satisfying

#HertzflowPNL

Short $BTC , there will be another wave of decline next. My idea has been validated at @HertzFlow

#HertzflowPNL

Shorting $BTC on @HertzFlow today, made or lost a lot of money.

#HertzflowPNL

A bull market comes as soon as it does—on @HertzFlow , the trading return is 11.33%, and you’re ranked 9th. Feeling great ❤️

Bullish: $BTC

#HertzflowPNL

When will the bull market come? I opened a long position at @HertzFlow with $BTC . In just 1 day, I’m already down 9%.

A 14-day trading competition—I already lost confidence after the first day.

#HertzflowPNL

Brothers, these two months of DCA and building positions has been super satisfying! Two months return is 18%—isn’t that nice? 🔥

At the beginning of June, I shared my strategy with friends around me👇

👉 PURR $CRCL started accumulating positions in batches—buy more when it dips
👉 $BTC started building a position; for OKB $BNB , add a bit depending on the situation
👉 HYPE, you can consider taking a look

If you had listened to me, and bought 1wu each on June 24—based on my current holdings, here’s the result now👇

👉 OKB: +4075U (+40.7%)
👉 PURR: +1886U (+18.9%)
👉 CRCL: +1169U (+11.7%)
👉 BNB: +1087U (+10.9%)
👉 HYPE: +855U (+8.6%)

Total of the five combined: +9072U, overall about +18.1% 💰

And the two-month period isn’t even over yet—profit is already 18%. If the bull market comes, the returns should only get higher.

Honestly, I feel like my judgment and eyesight on this one are very on point—not some random call. I laid out the main theme in advance, and the rest is just execution.

Some brothers around me also played along a bit. We chatted today, and the results are pretty good.

Even though it’s gone up a lot, my position is still there—I’m not planning to sell for now.

I’m making money from the trend, not just grabbing 10% and running. See you in the next bull market.

The above is only my personal position record and does not constitute investment advice. Don’t ask me if I can still buy—if you ask, the answer is no.

I originally thought that $TUT was already unbeatable, but I didn’t expect someone even more fearless than him. Whose subordinate is this?

How are the brothers of 空 $BTW doing? 😢

Brothers, on TermMax’s Aug 25 TGE, some people in the community are calculating the price based on a pre-market FDV of 182 million. Total supply is 1 billion tokens, so roughly one token is about 0.182 U. This isn’t an official valuation—on launch day it can go up or get cut, so treat it only as a reference.

I’m breaking down how many each person can get based on the official allocation👇

👉 Lottery: 1.7 million tokens, with a maximum of 80,000 winners. If you win, it’s 21.25 tokens. Using 0.182 for a rough estimate, that’s about 3.87 U. Don’t assume the winners are evenly split by the completion count—officially it’s hard-coded at 21.25 per person.

👉 Plaza: 300,000 tokens. The Chinese leaderboard and the global leaderboard each split the Top 500. That means you’d be in the range of about 300 tokens. Again, rough price estimate is about 54.6 U. To claim via the leaderboard, you also need to verify it by checking back on Aug 24 at the Booster point—otherwise it’s 0.

👉 Hit both sides: 321.25 tokens, roughly about 58.5 U. Lottery depends on luck, Plaza depends on content and verification. If the price in U changes, this U changes too—nothing is guaranteed.

The threshold is a non-custodial (no-keys) wallet. Registration deducts 2 Alpha points. Personally, for that 3.87 U tier, whether it’s “worth it” depends on how you value those 2 points. The Plaza’s ~300-token feel is a notch worse, but that’s only the number you get for making Top 500—don’t treat the estimate as already credited.

Are you just doing the lottery, or are you also targeting the Plaza section together?

#termmax @TermMax

Brothers, #TermMax ’s $TMX TGE on August 25. Someone in the community is calculating the price based on a pre-market FDV of 182 million. Total supply is 1 billion tokens, so roughly each token is about 0.182 U. This isn’t an official price—on launch it could go up or be cut down. Just use it as a reference.

I’ll break down how many each person can get based on the official allocation 👇

👉 Lottery: 1.7 million tokens. At most 80,000 people can win; if you win you get 21.25 tokens. Using the rough 0.182 estimate, that’s about 3.87 U. Don’t assume it’s split evenly among the number of completed users—the official hard-codes 21.25 per person.

👉 Plaza: 300,000 tokens. The Chinese leaderboard and the global leaderboard each have Top 500 split evenly. If you make the leaderboard, you get about 300 tokens. Using the same rough unit price, that’s about 54.6 U. To confirm, you still need to validate by going back on August 24 to the Booster point; otherwise it’s 0.

👉 Win both sides: 321.25 tokens, roughly about 58.5 U. Lottery depends on luck; the plaza depends on content and validation. If the price/unit changes, this U amount changes too—nothing is guaranteed in your hands.

The requirement is a no-key wallet. Registering deducts 2 Alpha points. Personally, I think at the 3.87 U tier, whether it’s worth it depends on how you value these 2 points; the plaza’s ~300 tokens feels a lot lower, but that’s only the number you get for making the Top 500—don’t treat the estimated math as already credited.

Are you only doing the lottery, or are you also tackling the plaza post?

#TermMax $TMX @TermMax @TermMaxFi

This post is for information sharing to non-U.S. audiences only, not investment advice. DYOR

0 Hooking Binance 5️⃣：TermMax Booster, Gaining a share of 2 million $TMX

80,000 slots first come, first served—if you’ve seen it, go do it. Don’t be lazy! Keep up the execution; you can finish in three to five minutes.

Details below⬇️

Event time⏰：The Booster tasks have already started. Post on the Binance Square: from Aug 17, 07:00 to Aug 21, 23:59

Estimated cost🪙：2 Alpha points (participating will deduct 2 points; requires a Binance wallet with no private key sharing)

Event rewards💰：Total prize pool of 2 million $TMX (Social: 170 million with 80,000 slots; Binance Square top 1000 users get an additional 200,000)

Quiz answers👇
👉 Q1：Decentralized fixed-rate lending + options protocol
👉 Q2：Lend/borrow crypto assets and trade options
👉 Q3：Fixed rate + fixed term
👉 Q4：TMX
👉 Q5：Governance + ecosystem utility

Brothers making content, take an extra look
👉 On Binance Square: the first 1000 posters can share 200,000 $TMX
👉 Posting window: Aug 17, 07:00 ～ Aug 21, 23:59 UTC

My thoughts👇
Short, quick project—no reason not to do it; once you see it, you feel like going for it.

Hope the brothers who hook TermMaxFi this time can please 🙏

#termmax @TermMax #binance

I’m curious—what are the retail investors in the crypto world doing these days? 👀

Today I chatted with an older guy who does wealth management. He’s planning to go to work after the summer break. The reason is that the crypto market is doing poorly and it’s not making money...

Then in the afternoon, I saw another project: The_Beacon_GG (Lighthouse) rug pulled. I had also followed this project before. Back then, in the on-chain gaming circle, their reputation was pretty good—lots of people were spending money to buy their NFTs. Now it’s dead too.

A few days ago, the GeniusTerminal I participated in was also really inhumane. On the day of the airdrop, they only announced that the airdrop would be postponed—坑了一大波人 (they screwed over a huge number of people).

Besides that, there are Grvt, EdgeX, Backpack, and others—everything is one big anti-extraction setup. This year, retail investors and “毛” hunters really have it rough.

So I can’t help but wonder: what are the retail investors in the crypto world doing now?

If they can’t survive, then what keeps them in the crypto space?

Are they still able to make it on Binance Alpha airdrops and boosts from some platform?

Don’t Be a “Diamond Hands” Holder Easily in the Crypto Market

Late at night, when I saw $SLX —at the peak it was 0.696, but now it’s 0.076—I realized it has already fallen by nearly 90%. The airdrop value, from the highest 4000U to now only being able to sell for less than 200U, makes me only able to sigh: Don’t be a “diamond hands” holder easily in the crypto market

Besides SLX, I also have $SIGN $JUP SOL MF HSK ......

One is worse than the next. Even adding all these coins together, my cost is about 30–40k U. Now, being able to sell for 3–4k U is already pretty good 😮‍💨

So, the real data tells you: don’t be a “diamond hands” holder easily in the crypto market

My Predict now gets squeezed every day 😮‍💨

Today the market said: “Will CASHCAT reach a $1B FDV before September?” and it trapped 1887U for me.

Whether I should set it or not—I used a 98.5 limit price for 1,887 units. As soon as the funds got locked in, I was trapped.

At the very beginning, the order book was almost pinned around 98.3. I wanted to get out with a small loss, and honestly it wasn’t hard to do—but I just couldn’t bear to lose those 5U, so I kept holding and waited.

It dragged on and ground back and forth for hours. In the end, I finally dumped at 98.6. My gross profit was about less than 2U; after deducting fees and friction, it was basically a wasted effort.

Personally, I think these kinds of high-probability “yes/no” bets are like this: you make only a fingernail of profit, but you bear a black swan risk.

But I’m the stubborn type—fully aware it’s wrong, yet I still went ahead. I even planned to hold until the end of August for settlement. Luckily the project gave me a chance to escape, so I didn’t have to take on the risk—so I guess it’s still okay.

Hope predictdotfun can improve market liquidity a bit more, so users get a better experience with placing orders and holding positions.

Now getting trapped every day—I’ve started to become immune.

Brothers, have you ever been trapped like this? When you encounter events like this, how did you handle it?

My Predict now gets trapped at least once every day 😮‍💨

Today the market: “Will CASHCAT hit a FDV of 1 billion before September?”—and trapped me for 1,887U

I set the order—when I bought at 98.5 for 1,887 shares. The moment I deployed the funds, I got stuck

At the start, the order book was almost locked around 98.3. It wouldn’t be that hard to get out with a small loss, but I couldn’t bear losing those 5U, so I just held on and waited

I ground through it for several hours, and finally sold at 98.6. My gross profit was about less than 2U; after deducting trading fees and friction, it was basically a wasted effort

Personally, I think for this kind of high-probability “no” trade, you make only a sliver of profit with the risk of a black swan

But I’m the stubborn type. Even though I know better, I still went ahead—I even planned to hold until the end of August for settlement. Luckily the project gave me a chance to exit, so I didn’t have to take the risk, and I guess it’s still okay

Hope predictdotfun can strengthen market liquidity so users get a better experience when placing orders and holding positions

I’m trapped at least once a day now—I’ve started to be immune to it

Brothers, has anyone else been trapped? How do you handle events like this?

Brothers, I just cut and closed my Predict positions yesterday, and today the Week 32 points came out 😭

When I roughly calculated yesterday, I assumed the 31st week’s 2888 points, and estimated an points cost of 0.035U.
But this week actually gave 3747.67 points—slightly more intense than what I estimated.

If I roughly figure a loss of about 100U, the real points cost is around 0.027U (not counting trading fees).
0.027 isn’t actually high, but I’m still upset.
After all, in predictdotfun I was playing at zero cost 😮‍💨

Based on the off-exchange 0.07 and principal of 2000U, for Week 32 👇
👉 Points value is about 262U
👉 Gross week return is about 13.1%
👉 After deducting that 100U, the net week return is about 8.1%
Annualized, that comes out to a bit over four hundred 💰
But this is an off-exchange estimated calculation—if the price changes, the numbers change too, so it can only be used as a reference.

Honestly, the points are getting more and more. This 100U loss is also diluting things.
But once the zero-cost breaks, the experience is totally different.

How many points did you get in Week 32? If you’re in the middle of it, go check 👀