While many think this conflict will drag on for months, I don't think it's the case.
Let me explain why👇
Both sides have finally identified each other's biggest weaknesses and are moving toward the finish.
Iran knows the US economy will fold if oil prices stay above $100.
Because of this, they have effectively blocked the Strait of Hormuz.
They are primarily targeting energy infrastructure as their main focus remains on oil.
The US knows Iran’s only leverage is the Strait. If the US establishes total dominance there, Iran loses its only card and China loses its main reason to support the regime, as they still need that oil.
Here is why the next two weeks are the deadline:
Trump is already sending US warships to the Strait of Hormuz and has called on other countries to do the same.
The goal is to secure the passage and force the global oil flow to continue by any means necessary.
If the US successfully secures this area, the war is effectively over because Iran will have no leverage left to fight with.
Iran is already moving to a defensive tone.
Their foreign minister stated today that they would welcome negotiations and want the US and Israel to stop attacks.
He also said that Iran is open to nations wanting to discuss a safe Hormuz passage.
They even hinted at reopening the Strait if a deal is reached. The biggest factor is that Trump is scheduled to meet Xi Jinping in Beijing in just two weeks.
Since Iran is a major ally of China, this meeting could likely serve as the final negotiation. China has a massive incentive to act as a mediator to stop the energy chaos.
On the market side, the US stock market has started to feel some pain.
Trump can't allow this to continue for long, as Republicans are already expected to lose both the House and Senate.
This means Trump wants this to finish soon and start focusing more on the US economy before things go completely out of control.