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Bitcoin Price Prediction for 2026: Divergence and Opportunities Under Institutional Leadership

In 2026, Bitcoin is transitioning from a speculative asset to a mainstream macro asset, with both market divergence and opportunities. The range of institutional predictions is significantly varied, with optimists projecting prices between $150,000 and $250,000, betting on ETF fund inflows and institutional allocation expansion; the cautious side warns of pullback risks, with support levels dipping to $65,000-$75,000.

Currently, the crypto market has entered the 'institutional era', with clear regulations, loose liquidity, and the implementation of RWA becoming core driving forces. The traditional halving cycle effect has weakened, Bitcoin's volatility has decreased, gradually approaching gold-like characteristics. Most institutional consensus shows that the year-end price is likely to fall within the $110,000-$150,000 range, with a turbulent bottoming phase in the first half of the year and a rebound in the second half driven by policies and liquidity being the mainstream scenario.

It is necessary to be vigilant about the risk of shifts in macro policies and profit-taking pressures; 2026 is the 'confirmation year' for Bitcoin's integration into the global financial system, rather than a one-sided bull market cycle.
$BTC

Cryptocurrency Market Observation: Bitcoin Experiences Volatility, Institutional Accumulation Provides Support
On December 30, 2025, the Bitcoin to USD exchange rate is approximately $87,200, fluctuating within a narrow range, with a slight decrease of 0.8% over 24 hours, and the price range locked at $86,800 to $88,000. From a technical perspective, the price is below the 20-day moving average, with short-term resistance at $88,700 and strong resistance between $89,000 and $90,000, while support is around $86,000 and $85,000.
After the Christmas holiday, the market shows characteristics of low trading volume and low volatility, while institutional accumulation becomes an important support for the market. The crypto giant Strategy spent $108.8 million to purchase 1,229 Bitcoins from December 22 to 28, bringing the total holdings to 672,497 Bitcoins, with a cumulative investment exceeding $50.4 billion. Combined with the supply contraction after Bitcoin's halving and the miner holding rate rising to 78%, this firmly establishes a price bottom. The current market shows significant differentiation, with Bitcoin's "institutional" characteristics becoming prominent, and ETF funds continuing to flow in, laying the groundwork for trends in 2026.
#Strategy增持比特币 #加密市场观察 #比特币流动性

Cryptocurrency Market Observation: The Federal Reserve's Repo Agreement Plan and Liquidity Ripple
By the end of 2025, the Federal Reserve's repo agreement plan has become a core variable in the cryptocurrency market. Its Standing Repo Operations (SRP) introduced $6.8 billion in short-term liquidity and removed the daily $500 billion operation limit, enhancing liquidity management flexibility.
However, this easing measure did not boost Bitcoin, which is currently hovering around $87,000 to $89,000, resulting in a failed 'Christmas rally.' Coupled with the expiration of $24 billion in options, the long-short battle has intensified, with nearly $250 million in liquidations over a 24-hour period. Current market sentiment is in the 'extreme fear' range, with continuous outflows from ETFs and a large amount of Bitcoin leaving exchanges, creating support at the $85,000 level. In the short term, Bitcoin may fluctuate between $85,000 and $90,000, and subsequent movements will depend on the breakout situation at the $90,000 resistance and the effect of liquidity transmission.


#加密市场观察 #美联储回购协议计划

❗Trading is a process of giving and taking, the truth in four pictures!
Bitcoin (BTC): approximately $87,800, peaked at $89,000 during the day before falling back, with support at $87,000 and clear resistance at $89,000, short-term consolidation.
Ethereum (ETH): approximately $2,980, failed to challenge $3,000, fluctuating narrowly around $2,950-$3,000, with bulls and bears in a stalemate.
Solana (SOL): approximately $123, down 0.37% in 24 hours, range of $121-$125, trading volume decreased, weak rebound momentum.

The Federal Reserve's Repo Options: A New Variable in the Bitcoin and Gold War
Last week, the Federal Reserve expanded its repo agreement plan and injected liquidity into the market. This response to the economic slowdown unexpectedly became a new variable in the game between cryptocurrencies and precious metals.
In the past, liquidity injections would boost gold's safe-haven status, but this time, data from the New York Mercantile Exchange shows that gold only rose slightly by 0.8%, while Bitcoin's weekly increase exceeded 12%. Crypto analyst Michael Chen believes this reflects a new generation of investors' preference for digital assets and trust in Bitcoin's scarcity.
The recognition of blockchain technology by mainstream financial institutions, combined with the uncertainty of Sino-U.S. trade negotiations, is driving the elevation of Bitcoin's value storage status. However, gold supporters emphasize that gold's thousands of years of safe-haven history, physical properties, and central bank reserve status are advantages that Bitcoin finds hard to reach.
Market divergences reflect transformations in the global financial system. Gold and Bitcoin are not simply replacements; each will have its positioning in a diversified asset allocation. Future progress in Sino-U.S. trade negotiations and the direction of Federal Reserve policies will continue to affect the balance between the two, and investors should also be wary of the volatility and regulatory risks of both asset types.

#美联储回购协议计划 #比特币与黄金战争 #加密市场观察 #中美贸易谈判

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Binance Coin Core Market Trends and Judgments:
BTC (approximately $87,500, 24h -0.5%): Weak fluctuations after Christmas, support around $87,000 - $89,000 is weak, $28.5 billion options expire on the 26th adding volatility. The "flash crash" in the Binance USD1 trading pair is a liquidity issue, not a real crash. Fear and Greed Index at 24, slight outflow of ETF funds, short-term wait-and-see, support at $85,000, resistance at $90,000.
ETH (approximately $2,940, 24h -0.2%): Linked to BTC, trading range between $2,910 - $2,970. Layer2 ecosystem is active but on-chain TVL is stable, staking returns are stable, lacking independent catalysts. Key to watch is whether it can hold above $2,950; breaking below $2,900 or testing $2,850.
BNB (approximately $845, 24h +0.3%): Platform ecosystem and new coin boosts provide support, volatility is less than the previous two. On-chain activities are stable. Support at $830, resistance at $860, strong correlation with platform operations and regulatory expectations.
Overall: Liquidity is tight + sentiment is fearful, focusing on fluctuations in the short term, controlling leverage, and watching the flow of funds post-option expiration.
Crypto Circle King Baidong's Quote: "Short-term wealth can ruin three generations, contracts can destroy a lifetime, holding coins makes descendants rich."

Bitcoin and Ethereum Christmas Silent Fluctuation Awaiting Directional Choice

During the Christmas holiday of 2025, the cryptocurrency market is caught in a stalemate, with Bitcoin and Ethereum displaying a highly correlated weak fluctuation trend. After testing a recent low of $86,375, Bitcoin rebounded, fluctuating narrowly around the $87,600 midpoint, with a daily amplitude of only 1.61% and trading volume shrinking over 45% compared to usual, highlighting the characteristics of holiday liquidity exhaustion. Ethereum mirrored the fluctuating market, rebounding to $2,976 before retreating near $2,940, consistently failing to break through the resistance at the $3,000 integer mark.

The current core contradiction in the market lies in the intertwining of three pressures: the macro suppression of a globally high interest rate environment, the liquidity trap of the Christmas holiday, and the technical disturbances from the expiration of $23.7 billion Bitcoin options on December 26. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is under pressure from a descending trend line, forming a bearish rising wedge pattern, with the $86,000-$86,500 area becoming a short-term lifeline; Ethereum is contending in the $2,880-$3,000 range, with significant short-term moving average pressure.

Market sentiment remains gloomy, with the Fear and Greed Index maintaining at 24 in the "Extreme Fear" range, and institutional funds are in a strong wait-and-see atmosphere. However, from a long-term perspective, the wave of tokenization and clearer regulations still provide support for the industry. Institutional figures like Tom Lee maintain a bullish outlook, believing that Ethereum will become the infrastructure of the global financial system.

In the short term, low liquidity during the holiday may amplify fluctuations, and the true directional choice may need to wait until early 2026 when institutional funds return. Investors should adhere to a range trading strategy and strictly control positions to manage potential risks.
$BTC

$TRB $MYX $COAI The current Pipp specializes in big players. I have also suffered losses in TRB, and there will be many more wealthy individuals who do not believe in evil who will stumble here, as well as many similar coins.
If you play contracts and do not short, you will win 70% of contract players.
Best contract strategy: Farmers’ planting method, spring planting, summer sowing, autumn harvest, winter storage, maintaining, growing, and emptying.

Currently, although BTC has plummeted nearly 35% from its high of $126,000, the overall trend should still be viewed as bullish. The short-term adjustment has fully absorbed the "five-fold impact," and selling pressure is nearing its end, with the long-term upward logic unchanged.

Core support comes from valuation reconstruction and institutional allocation dividends. JPMorgan estimates its reasonable valuation at $170,000, significantly undervaluing the current price. On-chain data shows that whales and long-term holders continue to accumulate at low levels, with mining costs forming a solid bottom support at $90,000. A new round of increases is brewing.

Although there is short-term uncertainty from regulatory aspects, the acceptance of traditional finance continues to deepen, with Bitcoin being recognized as collateral by mainstream institutions, gradually reinforcing its "digital gold" attribute. Current leverage levels have retreated, and volatility has converged, leading the market into a phase of consolidation. Short-term fluctuations do not alter the structural upward trend, and medium to long-term allocation value is becoming prominent.
$BTC

Play a game for honest people:
I tell everyone:
Do you all know why the country is cracking down on virtual currencies?
Let me share some data:
Over 90% of those trading contracts have lost money this year.
Over 80% of those playing with coins are losing money.
More than 75% only recharge without withdrawing, basically losing everything, with nothing left.

❗If everyone could be a bit more responsible, 80% to 90% could be making money, earning globally, and after making money, they could stimulate domestic consumption and the economy. It's very likely that the crackdown wouldn't be so severe.

After everyone loses money, online loans, credit cards, relatives, and friends will be affected. One person loses money, the whole family suffers, relatives and friends, online loans, and credit cards will also be affected.

❗If you were given another chance, would you be willing to listen to the elders and return to your financial situation before playing with coins? Would you be willing to refund minors?

$BTC $ETH $SOL

I keep advising everyone not to short, losing money is secondary, and the mental torture is something most people simply cannot endure.
Long-term short sellers will lose everything.
Instead of shorting, wait for opportunities; just look at how painful it is for those who shorted this wave.
If you can quit contracts, then do so; if you can't, then don't short.
There is no ceiling for rises🔝, and there is a floor for falls.
Before, there were $TRB
$MYX
Today, there are
$PIPPIN
How much have you made on your longs?
Shorting is nerve-wracking; the key is that when shorting, your heart is in suspense, just like being at an altitude of ten thousand meters; only liquidation can bring relief; otherwise, you can't eat or sleep.
If you can quit shorting while trading contracts, you will have beaten 70% of the people.
In fact, people should adapt to change: spring sowing, summer planting, autumn harvesting, and winter storage. The sky should not always open orders; wait until spring for major movements to go long.

❗The Game of the Honest:
The year 2025 is coming to an end.
This year, did everyone make money or lose money in the virtual currency market?
Here is a reference for all new coin friends!
$BTC $ETH $SOL

❗The Game of the Honest:
How many times do you withdraw from the exchange in a month?
According to the law of attraction, the more times you withdraw, the more you will earn.
Cultivate the habit of withdrawing three times a day, and you will earn more and more, becoming wealthier!
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB

The Truth of Metaphysics: How many times have you withdrawn from the exchange this month?
Let me tell you a metaphysical truth, you should withdraw many times every month, preferably once a day, recharge once, and withdraw from the exchange every day.
Only withdraw, do not recharge.
As shown: Look, I withdraw many times every month, and I'm planning to do it three times a day. I've noticed the results are getting better and better!
Slowly, you'll develop this habit, and you'll become richer and richer.
The main reason everyone loses money: only recharging without withdrawing will lead to more and more losses.
Are you only recharging and not withdrawing, losing more and more?
This is the law of attraction; the creator will only say yes. If you only recharge and keep blowing up contracts, the creator thinks you like to blow up and like to recharge. It will make you recharge more and blow up more.
The returner moves by the way, the weak use the way.
Conversely, if you don't blow up and only withdraw, you'll earn more and more.
$ETH $BTC $SOL

Again remind newcomers, when playing contracts, definitely do not short.
If you can't play, you should get rid of contracts; the lowest point to the highest point of myx is 400 times. This year, over 90% of those who play contracts are losing.
Most people, regardless of whether they are newcomers or veterans, end up losing everything by shorting contracts. Many people have never made a tenfold or hundredfold profit from contracts.
This is the main reason for losing money: when you make money, you can't hold onto it; when you lose, you increase your position aggressively, frequent trading, technical analysis, and none are good.