bullornothing
Beginner Trader | Technical Analysis Enthusiastš | Only Bull Attacksš ā Join me on the bull ride to the top!š¹šÆš„
20 Following
77 Followers
111 Liked
8 Shared
All
Quotes
PINNED
Hello guys! š
My account just hit the first TP1 ā 50 followers! š
I really appreciate all the support š Iām still learning every day, so my signals wonāt always be perfect ā but together we can grow stronger šŖ
Itās not only about profits, but also about building knowledge and community.
One more time ā thank you for being here! Letās keep growing! š±š„
#bullornothing #GROW #crypto
My account just hit the first TP1 ā 50 followers! š
I really appreciate all the support š Iām still learning every day, so my signals wonāt always be perfect ā but together we can grow stronger šŖ
Itās not only about profits, but also about building knowledge and community.
One more time ā thank you for being here! Letās keep growing! š±š„
#bullornothing #GROW #crypto
š” Does Solana really have a shot at $300?
The debate around SOL is heating up as price levels get bigger. Some see it as the ānext big thingā after BTC and ETH, others as a project that could easily lose to competition
š Arguments in favor
ETFs & institutional entry (Franklin Templeton already filed for a SOL-related ETF)
Technical setups pointing to a potential breakout above $250
An ecosystem thatās starting to actually live ā NFT, DeFi, apps
Market cycle ā in bull runs, altcoins tend to outperform
ā ļø Arguments against
Regulations ā ETF approval is still uncertain
Strong competition (ETH, L2, new chains)
Valuation ā the higher it goes, the harder it gets to sustain growth
Macro & global risks
In my view, $300 is not science fiction. A strong bull run (possibly this quarter) could push SOL toward a new ATH
š What do you think? Will the next bull cycle drive 1 SOL to $300?
#sol #crypto #altcoins #MarketUptober #solana
The debate around SOL is heating up as price levels get bigger. Some see it as the ānext big thingā after BTC and ETH, others as a project that could easily lose to competition
š Arguments in favor
ETFs & institutional entry (Franklin Templeton already filed for a SOL-related ETF)
Technical setups pointing to a potential breakout above $250
An ecosystem thatās starting to actually live ā NFT, DeFi, apps
Market cycle ā in bull runs, altcoins tend to outperform
ā ļø Arguments against
Regulations ā ETF approval is still uncertain
Strong competition (ETH, L2, new chains)
Valuation ā the higher it goes, the harder it gets to sustain growth
Macro & global risks
In my view, $300 is not science fiction. A strong bull run (possibly this quarter) could push SOL toward a new ATH
š What do you think? Will the next bull cycle drive 1 SOL to $300?
#sol #crypto #altcoins #MarketUptober #solana
š„ October kicks off strong for Bitcoin
Chart of BTC/USD shows big buying pressure as price makes another attempt to break 118,950 resistance (Fib 0.786).
š Key technicals:
Price: 117,255 USD (+2.8%)
Bounce from 111ā112k zone (Fib 0.5 + trendline support)
Broke above 114,550 (Fib 0.618) ā bullish momentum
SMA50 reclaimed (~113.6k) ā selling pressure fading
RSI at ~60 ā still room before overbought
š Fibonacci levels (98,281 ā 124,607):
0.5 ā 111,444 (held strongly)
0.618 ā 114,550 (now support)
0.786 ā 118,973 (next test)
1.0 ā 124,607 (bullsā main target)
š¦ Outlook:
Short-term trend = bullish (bounce + SMA50 reclaim)
Mid-term = neutral-to-bullish (as long as 111k & 104k hold)
Targets: 118,973 ā 124,607
Must-hold supports: 114,550 ā 111,444 ā 104,934 (SMA200)
š Classic 0.5 Fib bounce setup: bulls are back in control.
If 118,950 breaks, eyes move to 124,600 ā only above that we unlock new upside momentum.
#BTC #bitcoin #crypto #priceaction #MarketUptober
Chart of BTC/USD shows big buying pressure as price makes another attempt to break 118,950 resistance (Fib 0.786).
š Key technicals:
Price: 117,255 USD (+2.8%)
Bounce from 111ā112k zone (Fib 0.5 + trendline support)
Broke above 114,550 (Fib 0.618) ā bullish momentum
SMA50 reclaimed (~113.6k) ā selling pressure fading
RSI at ~60 ā still room before overbought
š Fibonacci levels (98,281 ā 124,607):
0.5 ā 111,444 (held strongly)
0.618 ā 114,550 (now support)
0.786 ā 118,973 (next test)
1.0 ā 124,607 (bullsā main target)
š¦ Outlook:
Short-term trend = bullish (bounce + SMA50 reclaim)
Mid-term = neutral-to-bullish (as long as 111k & 104k hold)
Targets: 118,973 ā 124,607
Must-hold supports: 114,550 ā 111,444 ā 104,934 (SMA200)
š Classic 0.5 Fib bounce setup: bulls are back in control.
If 118,950 breaks, eyes move to 124,600 ā only above that we unlock new upside momentum.
#BTC #bitcoin #crypto #priceaction #MarketUptober
š Data from ISM Manufacturing ā Rate Cuts or Nothing?
Todayās ISM data gave us a mixed picture of the US economy:
ā Headline: ISM Manufacturing PMI rose to 49.1 (Sept), slightly above forecast (49.0) and Augustās 48.7.
Still below 50 ā 7th consecutive month of contraction, but showing the āleast badā reading of this downturn.
š¹ Whatās driving it?
Production: 51.0 vs. 47.8 ā back in expansion zone
New Orders: 48.9 vs. 51.4 ā slipping back into contraction
Employment: 45.3 vs. 43.8 ā still falling, but less sharply
Prices: 61.9 vs. 63.7 ā easing a bit, but still high (cost pressures remain)
š Interpretation:
Manufacturing is stabilizing but demand signals (new orders, backlogs) are weak.
Companies report tariffs, high costs, and uncertainty holding back investments.
Inflationary pressures persist ā prices remain far above neutral despite some cooling.
š” Takeaway:
Markets may price in the idea that Fridayās NFP could disappoint (under forecast), reinforcing Fedās case for gradual cuts.
ISM confirms a fragile recovery: enough weakness to keep cuts on the table, but not enough collapse for emergency easing.
š All eyes now on NFP for the stronger signal.
#MarketUptober #NFP #ISM $BTC $ETH $SOL
Todayās ISM data gave us a mixed picture of the US economy:
ā Headline: ISM Manufacturing PMI rose to 49.1 (Sept), slightly above forecast (49.0) and Augustās 48.7.
Still below 50 ā 7th consecutive month of contraction, but showing the āleast badā reading of this downturn.
š¹ Whatās driving it?
Production: 51.0 vs. 47.8 ā back in expansion zone
New Orders: 48.9 vs. 51.4 ā slipping back into contraction
Employment: 45.3 vs. 43.8 ā still falling, but less sharply
Prices: 61.9 vs. 63.7 ā easing a bit, but still high (cost pressures remain)
š Interpretation:
Manufacturing is stabilizing but demand signals (new orders, backlogs) are weak.
Companies report tariffs, high costs, and uncertainty holding back investments.
Inflationary pressures persist ā prices remain far above neutral despite some cooling.
š” Takeaway:
Markets may price in the idea that Fridayās NFP could disappoint (under forecast), reinforcing Fedās case for gradual cuts.
ISM confirms a fragile recovery: enough weakness to keep cuts on the table, but not enough collapse for emergency easing.
š All eyes now on NFP for the stronger signal.
#MarketUptober #NFP #ISM $BTC $ETH $SOL
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing clear rejection at resistance and holding strong support levels.
Despite September being full of corrections, the setup for October looks promising ā momentum is building, and the chart suggests potential strength ahead.
A weaker dollar could open the door for assets like #GOLD and #BTC to shine. October might surprise on the upside. š
#DXY #usd #crypto
Despite September being full of corrections, the setup for October looks promising ā momentum is building, and the chart suggests potential strength ahead.
A weaker dollar could open the door for assets like #GOLD and #BTC to shine. October might surprise on the upside. š
#DXY #usd #crypto
Gold doesnāt wait for new highs ā slowly itās time for $4K!
Everything is showing great opportunities for a move to $4K this month. September is closing today, and despite being one of the worst months due to correction and pullbacks, we are still holding strong.
Do you see any reasons that could change your point of view?
#GOLD #GoldHitsRecordHigh #XAUUSD #MarketRebound
Everything is showing great opportunities for a move to $4K this month. September is closing today, and despite being one of the worst months due to correction and pullbacks, we are still holding strong.
Do you see any reasons that could change your point of view?
#GOLD #GoldHitsRecordHigh #XAUUSD #MarketRebound
š Octoberās Door is Opening ā Hereās What to Watch Until Oct 3
š Key Events Coming Up
October 3 (Fri): US Nonfarm Payrolls ā consensus ~ +50,000 (after +22,000 in August)
All week: Fed speeches & appearances ā tone matters more than cut itself
All week: Macro releases ā retail sales, durable goods, consumer / business sentiment
š What to Keep an Eye On
Labor market data (NFP, JOLTS): If soft ā more room for Fed cuts. If strong ā tightening risk.
Fed rhetoric: Watch for caution vs hawkish pivots in their speeches.
Rotation signals:
āā¢ BTC dominance (BTC.D) trend
āā¢ ETH volume surges as BTC stalls
Inflation & consumption data: If spending holds = economic resilience; if falling = downside risk.
š® Weāre in a moment of fragility ā data, not narratives, will set the direction.
For now, things look solid: BTC at $114,500 and Gold at $3,850 hitting fresh ATHs almost daily. But upcoming data can quickly change market behavior.
#Macro #Crypto #OctoberOutlook #Fed #NFP
š Key Events Coming Up
October 3 (Fri): US Nonfarm Payrolls ā consensus ~ +50,000 (after +22,000 in August)
All week: Fed speeches & appearances ā tone matters more than cut itself
All week: Macro releases ā retail sales, durable goods, consumer / business sentiment
š What to Keep an Eye On
Labor market data (NFP, JOLTS): If soft ā more room for Fed cuts. If strong ā tightening risk.
Fed rhetoric: Watch for caution vs hawkish pivots in their speeches.
Rotation signals:
āā¢ BTC dominance (BTC.D) trend
āā¢ ETH volume surges as BTC stalls
Inflation & consumption data: If spending holds = economic resilience; if falling = downside risk.
š® Weāre in a moment of fragility ā data, not narratives, will set the direction.
For now, things look solid: BTC at $114,500 and Gold at $3,850 hitting fresh ATHs almost daily. But upcoming data can quickly change market behavior.
#Macro #Crypto #OctoberOutlook #Fed #NFP
š„ Just learned something game-changing about how crypto markets actually move:
#ļøā£ Capital Rotation: BTC ā ETH ā Altcoins
One of the key dynamics in crypto is that liquidity doesnāt flow everywhere at once ā it rotates in waves. Hereās the cycle:
š„ Phase 1: Bitcoin (BTC)
The first stop for fresh capital
Investors seek the safest, most liquid asset
Macro narratives (Fed policy, rates, inflation) ā moves start here
BTC dominance usually rises
š„ Phase 2: Ethereum (ETH)
Once BTC stabilizes, money rotates to ETH
Ethereum = infrastructure play (DeFi, NFTs, stablecoins)
BTC.D starts dropping as ETH gains market share
š„ Phase 3: Altcoins
Profits from BTC & ETH rotate into larger alts (SOL, ADA, XRP)
Then into smaller caps & memecoins
Fueled by FOMO and search for the next ā10xā
š What drives rotation?
Market confidence after BTCās big move
Strong narratives (AI, DeFi, L2, memecoins)
BTC Dominance (BTC.D) ā the key metric:
Rising BTC.D ā money parked in BTC
Falling BTC.D ā capital flowing into ETH & alts
š How to spot it early?
Track BTC.D on TradingView
Watch ETH volume when BTC stalls at highs
Sentiment shift ā when media starts shouting āaltseason,ā itās often just the beginning
ā Takeaway
The natural flow is:
BTC ā ETH ā Alts ā Microcaps/Memecoins
If you understand this rotation, you donāt just chase the trend ā you can actually front-run the market š
#altcoins #ETH #BTC $BTC $ETH $XRP #altcoinseason #NFPWatch
#ļøā£ Capital Rotation: BTC ā ETH ā Altcoins
One of the key dynamics in crypto is that liquidity doesnāt flow everywhere at once ā it rotates in waves. Hereās the cycle:
š„ Phase 1: Bitcoin (BTC)
The first stop for fresh capital
Investors seek the safest, most liquid asset
Macro narratives (Fed policy, rates, inflation) ā moves start here
BTC dominance usually rises
š„ Phase 2: Ethereum (ETH)
Once BTC stabilizes, money rotates to ETH
Ethereum = infrastructure play (DeFi, NFTs, stablecoins)
BTC.D starts dropping as ETH gains market share
š„ Phase 3: Altcoins
Profits from BTC & ETH rotate into larger alts (SOL, ADA, XRP)
Then into smaller caps & memecoins
Fueled by FOMO and search for the next ā10xā
š What drives rotation?
Market confidence after BTCās big move
Strong narratives (AI, DeFi, L2, memecoins)
BTC Dominance (BTC.D) ā the key metric:
Rising BTC.D ā money parked in BTC
Falling BTC.D ā capital flowing into ETH & alts
š How to spot it early?
Track BTC.D on TradingView
Watch ETH volume when BTC stalls at highs
Sentiment shift ā when media starts shouting āaltseason,ā itās often just the beginning
ā Takeaway
The natural flow is:
BTC ā ETH ā Alts ā Microcaps/Memecoins
If you understand this rotation, you donāt just chase the trend ā you can actually front-run the market š
#altcoins #ETH #BTC $BTC $ETH $XRP #altcoinseason #NFPWatch
š
Macro Preview: Sept 29 ā Oct 3
š Key Events to Watch
Sep 30 (Tue) ā JOLTS Job Openings (US):
Markets expect stabilization in vacancies. A drop would confirm further labor market weakness.
Oct 3 (Fri) ā Nonfarm Payrolls (US):
Forecast: +50k jobs (after +22k in August). A key test of whether the US job market is sliding into weakness or holding steady.
Fed Speeches (all week):
Tone of Fed officials will show if the central bank leans toward more cuts or stays cautious.
Other Data (all week):
Consumer sentiment, factory orders, retail sales, new home sales ā fresh signals on US consumption and production.
š This week will be critical for markets.
Weak labor data = more cuts ahead.
Resilient economy = Fed may slow down easing.
#Fed #Macro #crypto #markets
š Key Events to Watch
Sep 30 (Tue) ā JOLTS Job Openings (US):
Markets expect stabilization in vacancies. A drop would confirm further labor market weakness.
Oct 3 (Fri) ā Nonfarm Payrolls (US):
Forecast: +50k jobs (after +22k in August). A key test of whether the US job market is sliding into weakness or holding steady.
Fed Speeches (all week):
Tone of Fed officials will show if the central bank leans toward more cuts or stays cautious.
Other Data (all week):
Consumer sentiment, factory orders, retail sales, new home sales ā fresh signals on US consumption and production.
š This week will be critical for markets.
Weak labor data = more cuts ahead.
Resilient economy = Fed may slow down easing.
#Fed #Macro #crypto #markets
BTC Daily Chart: Double Bottom or Fakeout Before a Breakdown?
š Current price: ~$109,200
Key levels:
ā¼ Support: $108k (2nd test ā possible double bottom)
ā¼ SMA200: ~$104k ā strong long-term support
ā¼ Fibonacci (98,261 ā 124,607):
āā¢ 0.382 ā $108,837 (current test)
āā¢ 0.5 ā $111,444
āā¢ 0.618 ā $114,550
āā¢ 0.786 ā $118,973
ā¼ RSI (14): ~37 ā near oversold, could fuel a bounce
ā¼ Trendline from April: broken yesterday ā bearish signal
š Scenarios:
1ļøā£ Bullish (bounce):
If daily close holds above $108k, BTC could retest:
$111.4k (0.5 fibo)
$114.5k (0.618 fibo + SMA50)
$118.9k (0.786 fibo ā heavy resistance)
2ļøā£ Bearish (breakdown):
If $108k fails on volume, next supports:
$104k (SMA200 + fibo 0.236)
$98.2k (previous swing low)
ā ļø Macro watch:
FEDās hawkish stance keeps pressure on risk assets ā could be the trigger breaking $108k.
šÆļø Todayās daily close will define the tone for next week.
#BTC #crypto #markets #Fed $BTC
š Current price: ~$109,200
Key levels:
ā¼ Support: $108k (2nd test ā possible double bottom)
ā¼ SMA200: ~$104k ā strong long-term support
ā¼ Fibonacci (98,261 ā 124,607):
āā¢ 0.382 ā $108,837 (current test)
āā¢ 0.5 ā $111,444
āā¢ 0.618 ā $114,550
āā¢ 0.786 ā $118,973
ā¼ RSI (14): ~37 ā near oversold, could fuel a bounce
ā¼ Trendline from April: broken yesterday ā bearish signal
š Scenarios:
1ļøā£ Bullish (bounce):
If daily close holds above $108k, BTC could retest:
$111.4k (0.5 fibo)
$114.5k (0.618 fibo + SMA50)
$118.9k (0.786 fibo ā heavy resistance)
2ļøā£ Bearish (breakdown):
If $108k fails on volume, next supports:
$104k (SMA200 + fibo 0.236)
$98.2k (previous swing low)
ā ļø Macro watch:
FEDās hawkish stance keeps pressure on risk assets ā could be the trigger breaking $108k.
šÆļø Todayās daily close will define the tone for next week.
#BTC #crypto #markets #Fed $BTC
š° Weekly Macro Recap 22 - 26 September
š Key Events
āŖĀ Ā Michelle Bowman (Fed) called for stronger cuts ā urging the FOMC to act more aggressively to counter labor market weakness. (Reuters)
āŖĀ Ā PCE & Core PCE Inflation remain above 2% ā PCE ~2.7% YoY, Core PCE ~2.9% YoY, limiting Fedās room for large cuts. (Politico)
āŖĀ Ā Markets rebound ā S&P 500, Nasdaq and other US indexes gained after inflation came in line with expectations. (AP News)
āŖĀ Ā Hawkish dissent inside the Fed ā Stephen Miran pushed for a 50bp cut instead of 25bp, showing clear divisions. (WSJ, Barronās)
āŖĀ Ā Mixed Fed signals ā Musalem & Bostic warn against too many cuts, stressing inflation risks. (Reuters)
āŖĀ Ā Macro data ā Consumption (retail sales) still resilient, GDP growth solid but with signs of slowing. (IBKR, CSP)
š What it means for markets
āŖĀ Ā Fed delivered a 25bp cut as expected, but future cuts will depend on data ā not automatic.
āŖĀ Ā Markets price in more cuts than the Fedās dot plot suggests ā risk of disappointment (āsell the newsā).
āŖĀ Ā Sticky core inflation >2% remains a barrier for aggressive easing.
āŖĀ Ā Miranās hawkish dissent adds uncertainty & volatility to Fed expectations.
āŖĀ Ā Risk assets (stocks, crypto) rallied, but remain vulnerable to negative surprises.
š Bottom line
The Fed is easing, but not as fast as markets want.
Crypto & equities may benefit in the short term, but September volatility isnāt over yet.
#Fed #bitcoin #Macro #PCE #crypto
š Key Events
āŖĀ Ā Michelle Bowman (Fed) called for stronger cuts ā urging the FOMC to act more aggressively to counter labor market weakness. (Reuters)
āŖĀ Ā PCE & Core PCE Inflation remain above 2% ā PCE ~2.7% YoY, Core PCE ~2.9% YoY, limiting Fedās room for large cuts. (Politico)
āŖĀ Ā Markets rebound ā S&P 500, Nasdaq and other US indexes gained after inflation came in line with expectations. (AP News)
āŖĀ Ā Hawkish dissent inside the Fed ā Stephen Miran pushed for a 50bp cut instead of 25bp, showing clear divisions. (WSJ, Barronās)
āŖĀ Ā Mixed Fed signals ā Musalem & Bostic warn against too many cuts, stressing inflation risks. (Reuters)
āŖĀ Ā Macro data ā Consumption (retail sales) still resilient, GDP growth solid but with signs of slowing. (IBKR, CSP)
š What it means for markets
āŖĀ Ā Fed delivered a 25bp cut as expected, but future cuts will depend on data ā not automatic.
āŖĀ Ā Markets price in more cuts than the Fedās dot plot suggests ā risk of disappointment (āsell the newsā).
āŖĀ Ā Sticky core inflation >2% remains a barrier for aggressive easing.
āŖĀ Ā Miranās hawkish dissent adds uncertainty & volatility to Fed expectations.
āŖĀ Ā Risk assets (stocks, crypto) rallied, but remain vulnerable to negative surprises.
š Bottom line
The Fed is easing, but not as fast as markets want.
Crypto & equities may benefit in the short term, but September volatility isnāt over yet.
#Fed #bitcoin #Macro #PCE #crypto
Fed showing us thereās no more rate cuts needed?
Todayās data came stronger than expected:
š Existing Home Sales, Durable Goods Orders MoM, and GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final all beat forecasts.
This trend signals a stronger US economy ā not the best setup for crypto in the short term.
Tomorrow weāre waiting for:
š Personal Income MoM
š Core PCE Price Index MoM
š Personal Spending MoM
The end of September is near ā do we stay in #RedSeptember mode, or will something change like it did mid-month?
#Fed #PCE #Macro #crypto
Todayās data came stronger than expected:
š Existing Home Sales, Durable Goods Orders MoM, and GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final all beat forecasts.
This trend signals a stronger US economy ā not the best setup for crypto in the short term.
Tomorrow weāre waiting for:
š Personal Income MoM
š Core PCE Price Index MoM
š Personal Spending MoM
The end of September is near ā do we stay in #RedSeptember mode, or will something change like it did mid-month?
#Fed #PCE #Macro #crypto
Today's info Shocking, Euro is waiting for fall down?
Today's PMI from German indicator HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash was released. It's not enough, two releases approaching, which will show how economy sector looks like in German in this month. Let's personate to Powell and analyze data.
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash (Sept 2025)
Today: 48.5, market expected: 50.0 ā stabilization signal for euro.
Fall down from 49.8 in August shows strong pressure and weakness in German economy.
Main points:
New orders fall for the first time in 4 months, strongest drop since January.Export orders down second month in a row ā weak global demand.Companies reduce backlog of work at fastest pace in 9 months.Employment falling, strongest decline in 3 months.Input costs and output prices are falling ā disinflationary signal.Business expectations weaker for the 2nd month in a row.
š Conclusion: German industry is under pressure again. Demand is soft, exports weak, companies cutting jobs. Negative signal for euro.
Tomorrow 24.09.2025 ā Ifo Business Climate
Survey of 9,000 firms. It reflects current situation + expectations for the next 6 months.
Since PMI already dropped, Ifo will probably also weaken.
If expectations fall ā market will read it as confirmation that German slowdown is not temporary.
25.09.2025 ā GfK Consumer Confidence (October)
Previous: -23.6. Forecast: -23.0.
If it comes lower ā signal that even consumers are not ready to spend. That means German GDP gets hit from both sides: exports + domestic demand.
Impact on Euro
PMI already put EUR under pressure today.
If Ifo confirms weakness tomorrow ā EUR could stay under pressure.
If GfK also disappoints ā double hit from industry and consumer side ā more downside risk for euro.
Only positive surprises could give EUR a short-term bounce, but trend stays weak.
How will look EUR/USD?
Bad news from Germany is a signal for EUR/USD to fall. We are in a situation where the euro keeps getting weaker while the dollar is regaining strength. If German data continues to disappoint and DXY holds above 98, pressure on EUR/USD could extend, with downside scenarios dominating in the short term.
#EUR #EURUSD #Europe #PMI #Europe
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash (Sept 2025)
Today: 48.5, market expected: 50.0 ā stabilization signal for euro.
Fall down from 49.8 in August shows strong pressure and weakness in German economy.
Main points:
New orders fall for the first time in 4 months, strongest drop since January.Export orders down second month in a row ā weak global demand.Companies reduce backlog of work at fastest pace in 9 months.Employment falling, strongest decline in 3 months.Input costs and output prices are falling ā disinflationary signal.Business expectations weaker for the 2nd month in a row.
š Conclusion: German industry is under pressure again. Demand is soft, exports weak, companies cutting jobs. Negative signal for euro.
Tomorrow 24.09.2025 ā Ifo Business Climate
Survey of 9,000 firms. It reflects current situation + expectations for the next 6 months.
Since PMI already dropped, Ifo will probably also weaken.
If expectations fall ā market will read it as confirmation that German slowdown is not temporary.
25.09.2025 ā GfK Consumer Confidence (October)
Previous: -23.6. Forecast: -23.0.
If it comes lower ā signal that even consumers are not ready to spend. That means German GDP gets hit from both sides: exports + domestic demand.
Impact on Euro
PMI already put EUR under pressure today.
If Ifo confirms weakness tomorrow ā EUR could stay under pressure.
If GfK also disappoints ā double hit from industry and consumer side ā more downside risk for euro.
Only positive surprises could give EUR a short-term bounce, but trend stays weak.
How will look EUR/USD?
Bad news from Germany is a signal for EUR/USD to fall. We are in a situation where the euro keeps getting weaker while the dollar is regaining strength. If German data continues to disappoint and DXY holds above 98, pressure on EUR/USD could extend, with downside scenarios dominating in the short term.
#EUR #EURUSD #Europe #PMI #Europe
š 0G (ĆG.ai) ā The AI x Blockchain Layer 1 You Shouldnāt Ignore
What is it?
Zero Gravity (0G) is a Layer 1 blockchain & AI Operating System designed for fully on-chain AI.
It aims to provide decentralized compute, storage, and data availability for transparent AI infrastructure.
š Architecture
1ļøā£ 0G Chain (base L1)
2ļøā£ 0G Compute
3ļøā£ 0G Storage
4ļøā£ 0G Data Availability
5ļøā£ AI Alignment Nodes
š Tokenomics
š¢ Total supply: 1B $0G
š¢ Circulating at TGE: ~21%
Allocation:
ā¢ 28% ecosystem growth
ā¢ 15% AI Alignment Nodes
ā¢ 13% community rewards (airdrops, quests)
ā¢ 22% team/advisors
ā¢ 22% early backers
ā Airdrops have been distributed to active community members (Discord roles, quests, campaigns).
š° Market Stats (Sept 2025)
ā½ Price: ~$4.60ā$4.70
ā½ CMC Rank: #79
ā½ Market cap: ~$1B+
ā½ Backed by Hack VC, Delphi, OKX Ventures, Animoca, Samsung Next and more.
ā½ Flora Growth (NASDAQ-listed) pledged ~$401M to support the 0G treasury.
ā ļø Risks / Challenges
š¹ Token unlocks ā potential sell pressure.
š¹ Market expectations are already high.
š¹ Strong competition in AI + blockchain (e.g. DeAI, compute networks).
š¹ Execution risk: can they deliver real AI apps on-chain at scale?
š® My Take
0G is one of the most ambitious AI x blockchain projects.
If the team keeps shipping, developers adopt the infra, and AI hype continues ā x3āx5 upside looks possible.
But itās unlikely to be an overnight moonshot ā patience and adoption are key.
š What do you guys think: is $0G the real AI-chain, or just another overhyped narrative?
#0G #AÄ° #blockchain #crypto #altcoins
What is it?
Zero Gravity (0G) is a Layer 1 blockchain & AI Operating System designed for fully on-chain AI.
It aims to provide decentralized compute, storage, and data availability for transparent AI infrastructure.
š Architecture
1ļøā£ 0G Chain (base L1)
2ļøā£ 0G Compute
3ļøā£ 0G Storage
4ļøā£ 0G Data Availability
5ļøā£ AI Alignment Nodes
š Tokenomics
š¢ Total supply: 1B $0G
š¢ Circulating at TGE: ~21%
Allocation:
ā¢ 28% ecosystem growth
ā¢ 15% AI Alignment Nodes
ā¢ 13% community rewards (airdrops, quests)
ā¢ 22% team/advisors
ā¢ 22% early backers
ā Airdrops have been distributed to active community members (Discord roles, quests, campaigns).
š° Market Stats (Sept 2025)
ā½ Price: ~$4.60ā$4.70
ā½ CMC Rank: #79
ā½ Market cap: ~$1B+
ā½ Backed by Hack VC, Delphi, OKX Ventures, Animoca, Samsung Next and more.
ā½ Flora Growth (NASDAQ-listed) pledged ~$401M to support the 0G treasury.
ā ļø Risks / Challenges
š¹ Token unlocks ā potential sell pressure.
š¹ Market expectations are already high.
š¹ Strong competition in AI + blockchain (e.g. DeAI, compute networks).
š¹ Execution risk: can they deliver real AI apps on-chain at scale?
š® My Take
0G is one of the most ambitious AI x blockchain projects.
If the team keeps shipping, developers adopt the infra, and AI hype continues ā x3āx5 upside looks possible.
But itās unlikely to be an overnight moonshot ā patience and adoption are key.
š What do you guys think: is $0G the real AI-chain, or just another overhyped narrative?
#0G #AÄ° #blockchain #crypto #altcoins
š DXY at 97.65 ā What It Means for Crypto & Risk Assets
The US Dollar Index (DXY) just bounced from a local low and is now testing the 98.0 resistance (50-day MA).
RSI sits near 48 ā neutral zone, no clear dominance of bulls or bears yet.
š Why it matters:
DXY measures USD strength vs. major currencies (EUR ~57%, JPY ~13%, GBP ~12%).
Rising DXY = stronger USD ā capital flows into the āsafe haven.ā
This usually means less appetite for risk assets like crypto, equities, and even gold.
š For crypto:
Stronger dollar = harder environment for BTC & alts.
Investors shift back to USD and US assets instead of chasing speculative plays.
Historically, Bitcoin performs better when DXY weakens.
š® Scenarios ahead:
Break & hold above 98ā99 ā bearish signal for risk assets, more pressure on crypto.
Rejection below 97 ā bullish relief for BTC and altcoins (risk-on comeback).
š The DXY bounce is worth watching closely. It could set the tone for how crypto trades into next week.
š Hold strong, bulls ā September might be red, the Fed may resist cuts, but the cycle isnāt over. Our time will come. š
#DXY #crypto #Macro #bitcoin #markets
The US Dollar Index (DXY) just bounced from a local low and is now testing the 98.0 resistance (50-day MA).
RSI sits near 48 ā neutral zone, no clear dominance of bulls or bears yet.
š Why it matters:
DXY measures USD strength vs. major currencies (EUR ~57%, JPY ~13%, GBP ~12%).
Rising DXY = stronger USD ā capital flows into the āsafe haven.ā
This usually means less appetite for risk assets like crypto, equities, and even gold.
š For crypto:
Stronger dollar = harder environment for BTC & alts.
Investors shift back to USD and US assets instead of chasing speculative plays.
Historically, Bitcoin performs better when DXY weakens.
š® Scenarios ahead:
Break & hold above 98ā99 ā bearish signal for risk assets, more pressure on crypto.
Rejection below 97 ā bullish relief for BTC and altcoins (risk-on comeback).
š The DXY bounce is worth watching closely. It could set the tone for how crypto trades into next week.
š Hold strong, bulls ā September might be red, the Fed may resist cuts, but the cycle isnāt over. Our time will come. š
#DXY #crypto #Macro #bitcoin #markets
š
Macro Calendar (Sept 22ā27, 2025, UTC)
š¢ Monday, Sept 22
š¹ 14:00 ā Fed Gov. Stephen Miran: Non-Monetary Forces and Appropriate Monetary Policy
š¹ Sept 22ā26 (all week) ā CORE Week ā Richmond Fed conference on balance sheet & liquidity
š¢ Tuesday, Sept 23
š¹ 16:00 ā Jerome Powell ā Economic Outlook Luncheon (Greater Providence Chamber of Commerce) ā” key event of the week
š¹ 14:00 ā Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Sept)
š¢ Wednesday, Sept 24
š¹ 12:30 ā US Durable Goods Orders
š¹ 14:30 ā EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change
š¢ Thursday, Sept 25
š¹ 12:30 ā US Initial Jobless Claims (weekly)
š¹ 14:00 ā US Pending Home Sales
š¹ 16:00 ā Fed Vice Chair Michelle Bowman: Approach to Monetary Policy Decision-Making
š¢ Friday, Sept 26
š¹ 12:30 ā US Personal Income & Spending (Aug)
š¹ 12:30 ā US PCE Price Index ā” (most important report of the week ā Fedās key inflation gauge)
š¹ 14:00 ā University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (final, Sept)
š¢ Saturday, Sept 27
š¹ My Comment about this weekend makro releases š
š Market Movers
š¹ Powell (Sept 23, 16:00) ā his tone could set the mood for the whole week šš
š¹ Jobless Claims (Sept 25, 12:30) ā confirmation of labor market trend
š¹ PCE Inflation (Sept 26, 12:30) ā the main data point of the week, Fedās #1 inflation metric
What really matters this week is data š.
For Powellās decision this is crucial ā it could shift his stance on further rate cuts (so far, he insists they are not needed).
#Fed #Macro #Powell #PowellSpeech #PCE
š¢ Monday, Sept 22
š¹ 14:00 ā Fed Gov. Stephen Miran: Non-Monetary Forces and Appropriate Monetary Policy
š¹ Sept 22ā26 (all week) ā CORE Week ā Richmond Fed conference on balance sheet & liquidity
š¢ Tuesday, Sept 23
š¹ 16:00 ā Jerome Powell ā Economic Outlook Luncheon (Greater Providence Chamber of Commerce) ā” key event of the week
š¹ 14:00 ā Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Sept)
š¢ Wednesday, Sept 24
š¹ 12:30 ā US Durable Goods Orders
š¹ 14:30 ā EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change
š¢ Thursday, Sept 25
š¹ 12:30 ā US Initial Jobless Claims (weekly)
š¹ 14:00 ā US Pending Home Sales
š¹ 16:00 ā Fed Vice Chair Michelle Bowman: Approach to Monetary Policy Decision-Making
š¢ Friday, Sept 26
š¹ 12:30 ā US Personal Income & Spending (Aug)
š¹ 12:30 ā US PCE Price Index ā” (most important report of the week ā Fedās key inflation gauge)
š¹ 14:00 ā University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (final, Sept)
š¢ Saturday, Sept 27
š¹ My Comment about this weekend makro releases š
š Market Movers
š¹ Powell (Sept 23, 16:00) ā his tone could set the mood for the whole week šš
š¹ Jobless Claims (Sept 25, 12:30) ā confirmation of labor market trend
š¹ PCE Inflation (Sept 26, 12:30) ā the main data point of the week, Fedās #1 inflation metric
What really matters this week is data š.
For Powellās decision this is crucial ā it could shift his stance on further rate cuts (so far, he insists they are not needed).
#Fed #Macro #Powell #PowellSpeech #PCE
We had a 25 bp rate cut! Is this the end of the series, or just the beginning?
Emotions after the FOMC have cooled down, and markets still have fuel to continue bullish structures despite the #RedSeptember weāre in. The big question: will rate cuts continue? And how do charts look now for BTC, ETH, Gold, DXY, and the S&P500? Letās dive in š
š° The day before yesterdayās FOMC
The Fed announced a 25bp rate cut ā which triggered a quick sell-off (āsell the newsā).
Jerome Powell, however, didnāt sound eager to continue cutting rates right now ā a bit surprising given the latest weak U.S. economic data.
š Market reaction
š¹ BTC/USD
After FOMC release fall down to approximately 114 700 and nice bound with bullish structure
On 4h timeframe there is:
SMA200 is under price so it is strong support for further growingOn the chart is uptrend with LH (lower high) and HH (higher high)Trendline is at now good support for price pushesRSI is neutral
š¹ ETH/USD
Price after relase drop down to 4400 but bound and actual price is 4550 with bullish tendency
On 4h timeframe there is:
SMA200 is under a little under price which can be support for nowRSI is 45 which is neutral at nowTrendline support still intact
š¹ ETH/BTC
Chart looks neutral, no clear bullish or bearish trend.
SMA200 is very near price, so it can't be either resistance or supportRSI is neutralprice is ~0.0385 and bound from support
ā Question for you: ETH/BTC is often treated as a signal for altseason, but the Altcoin Season Index already shows weāre in one. Which one do you trust more ā or are both equally important?
š¹ DXY
Printed a new low, bounced could see a small growth before another fall (bullish for crypto).
š¹ Gold
Gold the day before yesterday was at 3700$ and now price is going to test first support at 3625$
If price don't want to hold then will be test next support on 3540$, at now its look like consolidation
š¹SP500
SP500 not looking for fundamentals, it only go up, yesterday new high at 6670$ but it can consolidate in sometime because of RSI which is a little above overbought zone, so there is possible consolidation
ā³ Whatās next?
Weāll have to wait for fresh data ā Powellās next moves will depend on that.
In the meantime, Iām watching BTC & ETH key levels closely and the potential rotation into alts ā possible Altseason š.
Iād love to hear your thoughts on the ETH/BTC vs Altseason Index question š
#fomc #FedRateCut25bps #GoldHitsRecordHigh #AltcoinSeasonComing?
š° The day before yesterdayās FOMC
The Fed announced a 25bp rate cut ā which triggered a quick sell-off (āsell the newsā).
Jerome Powell, however, didnāt sound eager to continue cutting rates right now ā a bit surprising given the latest weak U.S. economic data.
š Market reaction
š¹ BTC/USD
After FOMC release fall down to approximately 114 700 and nice bound with bullish structure
On 4h timeframe there is:
SMA200 is under price so it is strong support for further growingOn the chart is uptrend with LH (lower high) and HH (higher high)Trendline is at now good support for price pushesRSI is neutral
š¹ ETH/USD
Price after relase drop down to 4400 but bound and actual price is 4550 with bullish tendency
On 4h timeframe there is:
SMA200 is under a little under price which can be support for nowRSI is 45 which is neutral at nowTrendline support still intact
š¹ ETH/BTC
Chart looks neutral, no clear bullish or bearish trend.
SMA200 is very near price, so it can't be either resistance or supportRSI is neutralprice is ~0.0385 and bound from support
ā Question for you: ETH/BTC is often treated as a signal for altseason, but the Altcoin Season Index already shows weāre in one. Which one do you trust more ā or are both equally important?
š¹ DXY
Printed a new low, bounced could see a small growth before another fall (bullish for crypto).
š¹ Gold
Gold the day before yesterday was at 3700$ and now price is going to test first support at 3625$
If price don't want to hold then will be test next support on 3540$, at now its look like consolidation
š¹SP500
SP500 not looking for fundamentals, it only go up, yesterday new high at 6670$ but it can consolidate in sometime because of RSI which is a little above overbought zone, so there is possible consolidation
ā³ Whatās next?
Weāll have to wait for fresh data ā Powellās next moves will depend on that.
In the meantime, Iām watching BTC & ETH key levels closely and the potential rotation into alts ā possible Altseason š.
Iād love to hear your thoughts on the ETH/BTC vs Altseason Index question š
#fomc #FedRateCut25bps #GoldHitsRecordHigh #AltcoinSeasonComing?
BNB with new record!!! ššš„
All of us waiting for this final day!š
$BNB have reached 1000$!šš„š
Rate cuts makes wonders, thanks Powell! š„
#FedRateCut25bps #BNBChainEcosystemRally #BNB1000 #BNBATH1000
All of us waiting for this final day!š
$BNB have reached 1000$!šš„š
Rate cuts makes wonders, thanks Powell! š„
#FedRateCut25bps #BNBChainEcosystemRally #BNB1000 #BNBATH1000
š¢ SKY Protocol ā The New Era of MakerDAO Lands on Binance!
š Today 8:00 UTC, $SKY will be officially listed on Binance.
š¹ What is SKY?
SKY is the reborn version of MakerDAO ($MKR ), redesigned for scalability, utility, and accessibility.
1 MKR = 24,000 SKY (upgrade ratio).
Alongside SKY comes USDS, an upgraded stablecoin evolving from DAI.
š§ Key Features:
Governance ā vote on protocol decisions.
Staking & delegation ā earn rewards, boost governance.
Sky Savings Rate (SSR): earn yield by holding USDS.
Sky Token Rewards (STR): extra incentives for ecosystem activity.
Seamless upgrade: MKR ā SKY, DAI ā USDS.
š Market Snapshot:
Price: ~$0.075
Circulating supply: ~23.4B SKY
Market cap: ~$1.7B
ā Why it matters?
Legacy of MakerDAO ā one of DeFiās pioneers.
New tools for users: savings, staking, delegation.
Strong tokenomics: most of supply already circulating.
ā ļø Risks:
Strong competition in DeFi governance & stablecoins.
Regulatory uncertainty in some regions.
Adoption speed depends on user trust in upgrading MKR/DAI.
š SKY could become one of the most important governance & stablecoin ecosystems in DeFi. But will the Binance listing at 8:00 UTC trigger a new wave of adoption?
#sky #USDS #BinanceListing #defi #MakerDAO
š Today 8:00 UTC, $SKY will be officially listed on Binance.
š¹ What is SKY?
SKY is the reborn version of MakerDAO ($MKR ), redesigned for scalability, utility, and accessibility.
1 MKR = 24,000 SKY (upgrade ratio).
Alongside SKY comes USDS, an upgraded stablecoin evolving from DAI.
š§ Key Features:
Governance ā vote on protocol decisions.
Staking & delegation ā earn rewards, boost governance.
Sky Savings Rate (SSR): earn yield by holding USDS.
Sky Token Rewards (STR): extra incentives for ecosystem activity.
Seamless upgrade: MKR ā SKY, DAI ā USDS.
š Market Snapshot:
Price: ~$0.075
Circulating supply: ~23.4B SKY
Market cap: ~$1.7B
ā Why it matters?
Legacy of MakerDAO ā one of DeFiās pioneers.
New tools for users: savings, staking, delegation.
Strong tokenomics: most of supply already circulating.
ā ļø Risks:
Strong competition in DeFi governance & stablecoins.
Regulatory uncertainty in some regions.
Adoption speed depends on user trust in upgrading MKR/DAI.
š SKY could become one of the most important governance & stablecoin ecosystems in DeFi. But will the Binance listing at 8:00 UTC trigger a new wave of adoption?
#sky #USDS #BinanceListing #defi #MakerDAO
Fedās Big Moment: First Rate Cut of 2025?
š September 17, 2 p.m. EST (20:00 CET) ā financial markets are holding their breath. Thatās when the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision. Itās widely expected to be the first rate cut of 2025, making it the most anticipated monetary policy event of the year.
š What the market expects
According to the CME FedWatch Tool:
ā 96% chance ā a 0.25 percentage point cut.ā ļø 4% chance ā a larger 0.50 cut.
Investors are almost certain of a āquarter-point cut.ā A bigger move would be seen as a strong signal that the Fed is worried about a deeper slowdown.
āļø The macro backdrop
The Fed is facing a mixed economic picture:
Labor market: job growth has essentially stalled. This strengthens the case for rate cuts to support businesses and households.Inflation: while well below the 2022 highs, it has ticked up again ā largely due to new tariffs introduced by the Trump administration. This argues against going too far with easing.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell must balance the Fedās dual mandate: maximum employment and price stability.
šļø Political pressure
This decision doesnāt happen in a vacuum:
President Donald Trump has openly pushed the Fed for faster and deeper cuts.Powell, however, insists the Fedās policy is data-driven, not political.
The tension is clear ā another test of the Fedās independence in the face of White House pressure.
š® What comes next?
Markets wonāt just react to the cut itself, but also to the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) and Powellās signals:
Will the Fed hint at more cuts later this year (October, December)?Or will this be a one-off, cautious move?
As one economist put it:
āMonetary policy is as much art as it is science ā itās all about balancing risks.ā
š Key takeaways
ā Very high probability of a 0.25 cut this week.ā Small chance (4%) of a larger 0.50 cut.š„ Fed caught between economic weakness and sticky inflation, while facing political pressure.š Inflation still above target vs. š labor market stagnation ā the Fed must strike a balance.
š Whatever the size, this decision will set the tone for markets through the end of 2025 ā from stocks and bonds to gold and crypto.
š What the market expects
According to the CME FedWatch Tool:
ā 96% chance ā a 0.25 percentage point cut.ā ļø 4% chance ā a larger 0.50 cut.
Investors are almost certain of a āquarter-point cut.ā A bigger move would be seen as a strong signal that the Fed is worried about a deeper slowdown.
āļø The macro backdrop
The Fed is facing a mixed economic picture:
Labor market: job growth has essentially stalled. This strengthens the case for rate cuts to support businesses and households.Inflation: while well below the 2022 highs, it has ticked up again ā largely due to new tariffs introduced by the Trump administration. This argues against going too far with easing.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell must balance the Fedās dual mandate: maximum employment and price stability.
šļø Political pressure
This decision doesnāt happen in a vacuum:
President Donald Trump has openly pushed the Fed for faster and deeper cuts.Powell, however, insists the Fedās policy is data-driven, not political.
The tension is clear ā another test of the Fedās independence in the face of White House pressure.
š® What comes next?
Markets wonāt just react to the cut itself, but also to the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) and Powellās signals:
Will the Fed hint at more cuts later this year (October, December)?Or will this be a one-off, cautious move?
As one economist put it:
āMonetary policy is as much art as it is science ā itās all about balancing risks.ā
š Key takeaways
ā Very high probability of a 0.25 cut this week.ā Small chance (4%) of a larger 0.50 cut.š„ Fed caught between economic weakness and sticky inflation, while facing political pressure.š Inflation still above target vs. š labor market stagnation ā the Fed must strike a balance.
š Whatever the size, this decision will set the tone for markets through the end of 2025 ā from stocks and bonds to gold and crypto.
Login to explore more contents