Core Trading Philosophy: Do not predict rises and falls, short on resistance, long on support, only engage in high risk-reward ratio speculation within the system.
The market is unpredictable and may experience "sharp rises and falls" at any time, so the only thing that can be done is to manage risk well:
Before placing an order, think carefully about stop-loss and take-profit levels, and determine position size based on risk.
1. US-China meeting: The core issue is tariff friction, and if negotiations go smoothly, it could be a positive outcome. 2. Federal Reserve interest rate decision: The market is paying attention to policy trends. (It can be basically determined to lower by 0.25 basis points)
Even if the meeting does not meet expectations, the previously announced 150% tariff, effective from the 1st, may be difficult to truly implement in terms of actual impact. $BTC $ETH #加密市场反弹
Ethereum has tested the support near 3700 multiple times and rebounded quickly. The buying pressure below is strong, and we are optimistic about Ethereum's upward movement in the near term. However, we need to pay attention to the volatility of tonight's CPI data. If it pulls back below 3800, we can gradually position for spot and low-leverage contracts; Support (Long): 3820 (aggressive), 3750-3700 Pressure (Short): 3920 (aggressive), 4010, 4220 $BTC $ETH #加密市场反弹
Btc fell below 107.2K, quickly rebounded, with strong buying pressure below, and attention can be paid to the peak trading volume pressure around 111K above, simultaneously also the 0.618 position for the rebound, strong pressure again around 116K, the CPI data will be released at 8:30 PM, caution is needed for large fluctuations; Support (Long): 107.2K, 106.2K Resistance (Short): 111K (aggressive), 113.5K, 116K $BTC $ETH #美国政府停摆
The long-term trend of Bitcoin and the key level of the 50-week moving average
1. Since the reversal of the bear market in 2023, Bitcoin has consistently remained above the 50-week moving average, with each pullback finding support at this level. 2. The current 50-week moving average is around 102,000, which is the core defense area for long-term bulls. 3. Even if there is a short-term spike below, as long as it can close back above the moving average, the bull market structure has not been damaged. $BTC $ETH #加密市场回调
Btc continues to decline, the rebound is weak, the small level touches 106.6K again, and has not broken below the strong support. The small level resistance to watch for the rebound is 109.5K and the key resistance at 110K. The large level resistance for the rebound is at 116K. In the medium to long term, it is still mainly bullish. Currently, it seems that there was some wash trading and accumulation during yesterday's decline. Support (long): 107.2K, 106K. Resistance (short): 109.2K (aggressive), 111.2K, 113.5K, 116K $BTC $ETH #加密市场回调
Eth gave a low position near 3700 yesterday for buying, which was also precisely hit. The strategy is to mainly buy on pullbacks during the day; At the bottom near 3700, there are 3 long lower shadow candles in 4 hours, with strong buying interest near 3700. If there is spot demand, you can buy in batches below 3700; Support (Buy) 3760, 3700 Resistance (Sell): 3950 (aggressive), 4010, 4220 $BTC $ETH #加密市场回调
ETH is currently still in a wide range of fluctuations, strictly low long high short, take good stop losses, prioritize going long; Support: (long) 3829, 3700 Resistance: (short) 4090, 4222 $BTC $ETH #加密市场回调
Btc has been oscillating back and forth, and frequent occurrences of this opportunity indicate that a trend reversal is not far away. If there is no good rise this week, we will welcome a good stretch next week. Pay attention to around 107.4K and 106.1K; the bull market is not over yet, and the bull tail will also come. Support: (long) 107.4K, 106.1K Pressure: (short) 111.6K, 113.5K, 115.8K $BTC $ETH #加密市场回调