波段王-图灵

The market retraced as expected, Bitcoin has dropped below 113,000, and Ethereum is about to break 4,100. Pay attention to the support levels we mentioned yesterday at 111,000 and 4,050. If they break, we will begin a 4-hour level decline; if they hold, we will still see a rebound.
Currently, we are mainly focused on shorting during the rebound, and we will adjust our strategy only if there are clear reversal signals.
Short Bitcoin near 114,000-113,300, targeting around 112,000-111,500.
Short Ethereum near 4,190-4,130, targeting around 4,050-4,000. $BTC $ETH #加密市场回调

Returning old students bring good news, evening reminder of a drop to watch for support at 4150, currently at a low of 4168, prediction accurate! $BTC $ETH #加密市场回调

The big pie is in a callback, and it is an opportunity to layout the year-end market

The big pie is generally showing a downward fluctuation. We have mentioned many times in previous posts that this round of callback is a retracement from the rise of 74500 to 124500. From the weekly perspective, the decline is to build up strength for the next wave of rise, and it is also a good opportunity to layout the year-end market.

Short-term trend of the big pie

The 1-hour level is currently undergoing the third wave of decline, with support looking at 110,000, and there may be a rebound before another decline. Attention should be paid to the 110,000 support; if it breaks, then look at 105,000.
The 15-minute level is in the third wave of decline. If it breaks below 113,000, it may undergo a five-wave decline; if it does not break, we need to observe whether the 1-hour decline has ended. The short position taken at the rebound of 117,000 indicated this morning has already gained 2700 points in the afternoon for the brothers trading in real accounts.

Ethereum trend to be observed

The 1-hour level is currently undergoing the third wave of decline in the 4-hour decline. Watch the support at 4150; there may be a rebound in the next couple of days, followed by another drop. Overall, the 4-hour decline is initially looking at around 4050. If it does not break below 4050, there is still a chance to break 4800; if it breaks, it may lead to a daily line correction.

Not all altcoins decline; they may follow the decline in the first wave of the big pie's 4-hour decline, and during the second wave rebound, they may surge to new highs, with different rhythms. $BTC $ETH #加密市场回调

It has been a while since I remained active. Starting this week, I will become active again and prepare to build a community of ten thousand people, recruiting like-minded individuals to advance together.
How do we view the current market situation? When Bitcoin first surged to around 123260 and pulled back, we mentioned that it would impact again to form a new high or a new high. For Ethereum, we have been bullish since it was over 2700, reaching around 4800. However, 4800 has not been broken, and the highest it reached was only around 4790. Currently, it still seems like the market is mainly declining. The talk of Bitcoin reaching 150,000 and Ethereum 5000 is not very hopeful at the moment, but we continue to do what we do, and we must maintain our faith. 🐮 does not come by waiting, it is reflected in our daily operations.
Currently, Bitcoin's short-term resistance is around 117500-117000, while Ethereum's short-term resistance is around 4470-4400. If it rebounds to this range during the day, we can short. The target for Bitcoin is around 115500-114700, and for Ethereum, it is around 4250-4210. $BTC $ETH #加密市场回调

Bitcoin starts a major decline, Ethereum falls in sync

The Bitcoin trend is in line with expectations. After the second wave's 1-hour rebound ends, it is entering the third wave's 1-hour decline, which could be the main downward segment. If there is an accelerated drop, 110,000 may not hold, with support seen around 107,500, or even near 105,000. There will be rebounds followed by further declines to complete the entire 4-hour level decline.

Currently, the 4-hour decline has not shown a bottom signal, so it is recommended to avoid going long. One may short during rebounds to mitigate risks. While the long-term outlook is optimistic for year-end, caution is advised in the short term, and it is best to retain capital until after October.

Ethereum is showing weakness and has entered a 4-hour level decline, failing to reach new highs as expected.

Trends across all timeframes: the weekly is still upward; daily, 4-hour, and 1-hour levels are all downward, with Bitcoin's short-term decline possibly accelerating; the 15-minute level is temporarily upward. $BTC $ETH #加密市场回调

The big pancake's rebound in Ethereum is not over; there is still room for further highs.

The big pancake has performed a 1-hour level rebound as expected, rising above 118,000, and the rebound is not yet finished, with the possibility of further reaching above 120,000. If it falls below 117,500, the rebound may end prematurely. Overall, after the rise, there is a high probability of another wave of 1-hour level decline, which may be stronger.

In the short term, there is still room for an increase at the 15-minute level; after a pullback, there will be another rebound. As long as it stays above 117,500, it can continue to look upward.

Ethereum, after stabilizing in the 4,350~4,400 range, is also in a 1-hour level rebound, with the expectation of reaching 4,790. As long as the price remains above 4,430, the rebound has the potential to continue; if it falls below, it may trigger a new 1-hour decline. It is expected that after the rise, it will enter a 4-hour level decline.

Trends for each cycle: Weekly trend is upward; daily and 4-hour levels are downward; 1-hour and 15-minute levels for both the big pancake and Ethereum are showing an upward trend, with a focus on the strength of the rise going forward. $BTC $ETH #美联储取消创新活动监管计划

Bitcoin may rebound before falling again, Ethereum can try to go long.

On the 1-hour level, Bitcoin may continue to decline for a while, but if the pullback is not large, it is expected to see a 1-hour rebound in the next couple of days, likely resulting in a local high, after which it will decline again, with the next target at 111000.

From a short-term 15-minute level perspective, the previous decline has completed three waves, and the rebound during the day has been weak, currently still in decline. If it does not break below 116803, a buying point may appear, initiating a new 1-hour rebound; if it breaks below, the decline will continue. If it does not accelerate downwards, a rebound can be expected in the next couple of days. A prudent approach is to wait for the rebound before considering shorting.

On the 1-hour level, Ethereum's decline has completed and has retraced to the 4350~4400 range. If it can stabilize, it is expected to initiate a 1-hour rebound and may break through 4788 again. Trying to go long is possible, but a stop-loss should be in place to prevent continuation of the decline.

Trends across various timeframes: Weekly trend is upward; Daily and 4-hour levels are downward; 1-hour level for Ethereum is expected to rebound, Bitcoin may rebound before falling; 15-minute level for Bitcoin is still in decline, need to observe the strength. $BTC $ETH #美国7月PPI年率高于预期

Bitcoin opens a callback, Ethereum still has room to rise

Bitcoin fell below 120,000 last night, dipping to 117,200, signaling the end of the previous 4-hour increase that started from 112,000. It has now entered a new 4-hour decline, with an initial target of 110,000 to 111,000. If it breaks below 110,000, or if a second high appears in September, it may trigger a daily-level correction, targeting 90,000 to 98,000, with expectations of rising again in October towards 150,000 to 200,000 (targeting around 180,000 in January 2026).

In the short term, the 1-hour level is still declining, likely retracing to 116,000 to 117,000, with a rebound expected to 121,200 over the weekend or early next week (if it doesn't break 123,000, it will drop again). The 15-minute level shows a decline followed by consolidation, then a surge above 120,000.

Ethereum's performance is not synchronized; the 4-hour trend is still upward, targeting 5,000, with a possible correction to around 4,000 in the latter half of next week, and a potential surge above 6,500 by the end of August. In mid-September, it may undergo a daily correction to just over 3,000, with another rise in November, and there is hope for it to break 10,000 in February 2026 (needs to be assessed as it progresses).

Institutions are buying Ethereum heavily above 3,000 because they confirmed its value after the trend became clear, rather than missing opportunities at low levels. Investment requires a step-by-step approach; after a short-term correction, Ethereum is likely to surge again above 5,000, with the 15-minute level first retracing to around 4,400.

Trend across cycles: Weekly is upward; Daily shows signs of ending the increase; 4-hour, 1-hour, and 15-minute levels for Bitcoin are downward, while Ethereum remains relatively strong. #加密市场回调 $BTC $ETH $SOL

Bitcoin innovation high risk increases, Ethereum still bullish in the short term

Bitcoin broke through the July 14 high today, reaching a historical high, in line with recent expectations. The daily and 4-hour rising structures are already quite full, and the risk is increasing, so it's recommended to take profits in batches. As long as it does not fall below 120,000, it may push for a new high and can continue to be monitored.

Bitcoin short-term trend

The 1-hour level is currently in the fifth wave of the rise, with a target of 125,000. If it falls below 120,000, it may pull back to around 118,000, potentially ending the 4-hour rise. Mid-term short positions are advised to wait for the 1-hour level to show a lower high before participating.
If the 15-minute level breaks below 120,000, it may directly go for a 1-hour pullback; if it does not break, it is expected to reach above 125,000. If it cannot quickly push to 130,000 this week, it may drop more than 13,000 USD next week.

Ethereum trend

It is uncertain whether the 1-hour rise has ended; if it does not fall below 4,600, it can push above 4,800; if it falls below, it will pull back to 4,500~4,600, and then may push to 5,000 again. It should be noted that after completing a wave of 1-hour pullback and rebound, there may be a significant downward spike next week, but spot traders need not worry too much, as after the spike, it may reach a new high. The daily trend of Ethereum is still decent, and it may not sync with Bitcoin in the future.

Trends in various timeframes: weekly, daily, 4-hour, and 1-hour are still upward, but if the 4-hour rise of Bitcoin does not accelerate, there is a risk of ending; the 15-minute level is downward, focusing on the support at 120,000. $BTC $ETH $SOL #BTC再创新高

Bitcoin's rise is slow, while Ethereum is strongly pushing for new highs

Bitcoin retraced to a low of 118055 last night, without breaking 118000, which was as expected. Driven by favorable CPI data, it has returned above 120000 today. The one-hour level rise is not yet complete, and it is expected to continue pushing above 123000, with an overall bullish outlook towards around 126000. However, Bitcoin's pace is relatively slow, mainly due to fund flows into Ethereum, which is in a following-up state, requiring some patience.

In the short term, the 15-minute level can still rise, initially looking at around 122500; the one-hour level may directly break 123000 or may first oscillate before rising.

Ethereum is performing strongly, having reached 4700 today, and is expected to touch above 4800. The one-hour level is showing a strong upward momentum, with clear institutional strength. It is expected that after breaking 4800, there will be a retracement but will not break below 4500, followed by a push towards the 5000-6000 range. As early as August 2nd, it was indicated that Ethereum would break 4000 and push towards 4800, and currently, institutional positioning is strong, with the expectation of reaching 12,000 by the end of the year.

In the next week, valuable altcoins may perform, but caution is advised for worthless altcoins.

All timeframes are trending upwards: weekly, daily targets remain unchanged, with a bullish outlook of 126000 in the 4-hour timeframe, and continuous rises in the 1-hour and 15-minute levels. $BTC $ETH $SOL #以太坊创历史新高倒计时

The large coin callback structure has emerged, Ethereum is strongly pushing to new highs
The large coin has performed a 1-hour level callback as expected, and it may now initiate a new 1-hour rebound. If it does not drop below 118,000 tonight, there is hope for continued upward movement. Although some believe a secondary high point has occurred and a daily callback is imminent, the current upward trend remains intact, and there is still potential for further increases.
In the short term, a breakthrough above 120,000 at the 1-hour level is likely to initiate a new upward trend, targeting 126,000; if it drops below 118,000, the downward trend may continue. The 15-minute level has completed three callback structures and is attempting a new increase, so attention should be paid to whether it can break 120,000.
Ethereum has performed better than expected, quickly rebounding after multiple tests below 4,200, and has now broken through 4,400, showing a one-sided upward trend, targeting 4,800. If it does not drop below 4,330, it may directly surge to 4,800 before a pullback; if it breaks below, a 1-hour callback is likely to begin. This month, it is expected to reach the 5,000-6,000 range.
Additionally, it is currently not the season for altcoins, and there may be opportunities at the end of the year, so there is no need to have overly high expectations for altcoin gains. $BTC $ETH $SOL #CPI数据来袭

Bitcoin breaks through 120,000, still bullish after pullback

Bitcoin broke through 120,000 today, reaching a high of 122,300, validating the previous bullish assessment. The long positions established a few days ago when it pulled back to just above 112,000 can still be held, with the target set for a historical new high.

In the short term, a pullback at the 1-hour level is likely to occur, with support to watch at 118,000~119,000. After the pullback, it is expected to rise again towards 126,000. At the 15-minute level, it may drop first and then rebound, completing the pullback by tomorrow noon; a continued rebound extending upwards cannot be ruled out and needs to be observed.

Ethereum's pullback is an opportunity

Ethereum is expected to have a 1-hour level pullback, retracing to around 4,150. As long as it does not break below 3,870, there will be a rebound after the pullback, forming a key buying point, with the potential to surge above 4,800. The 15-minute level is currently in the first wave of pullback decline, followed by a rebound and then another decline to complete the pullback.

Trends across all timeframes are upward: weekly and daily targets remain unchanged, the 4-hour level is bullish towards 126,000, and after the short-term pullbacks at the 1-hour and 15-minute levels, prices will continue to rise. The pullback is a good time to increase positions or enter the market. $BTC $ETH $XRP #加密总市值创历史新高

The probability of Bitcoin hitting a new high is high, Ethereum is still bullish after a pullback.

Bitcoin did not pull back last night and surged to around 118,700 today, indicating that the 4-hour upward trend may not just reach a high point, but is more likely to set a new high. However, the short-term 1-hour upward structure is nearly complete, and a pullback is likely, which also presents an opportunity to position for long trades again. It is expected to break 120,000 after next Tuesday, with a target of 126,000.

In the short term, if it can touch 120,000, it can rise again after a pullback; if it falls below 117,000, it may first pull back to around 115,000 before pushing above 123,000.

The rise of Ethereum is not over yet. Tomorrow there may be a 1-hour pullback to around 4,000, which is also a buying opportunity, and after that, it is expected to surge towards 4,800. If it can reach 4,400 and then pull back on the 15-minute level, that would be even better. If it falls below 4,150, the probability of a pullback increases, but pullbacks are all for the purpose of continuing to rise.

All timeframes are trending upwards: weekly and daily targets remain unchanged; 4-hour, 1-hour, and 15-minute trends are overall bullish, and after a short-term pullback, there is still potential for new highs. $BTC $ETH $SOL #ETH走势分析

Ethereum breaks 4107 to start independent market, Bitcoin still has potential for new highs
Ethereum successfully broke 4107, confirming the previous prediction of an independent market. As early as August 2, it was repeatedly emphasized that Ethereum would break 4000. On August 5, an internal group further predicted the start of an independent market (at that time the price was only 3705) and believed this wave could reach above 5000, potentially looking at 8000 or higher by the end of the year.
Bitcoin trend
Today's high is 117944, still some distance from the expected 120000. If it falls below 116600 in the short term, it may first pull back to around 115000 (expected on Sunday or Monday) and is likely to accelerate to break 120000 next week. Overall, it is still optimistic about creating a historical high up to 126000, and it's not that once Ethereum peaks, there will be a significant drop together.
Ethereum trend
Showing strong performance, after rising for 1 hour, it may pull back to around 4000 before pushing towards 4800. From the perspective of institutional layout, the long-term target for Ethereum is: with an average institutional cost of 3300, a rise of 3-4 times could reach 9900-13200, potentially realized by February 2026. In the short term, the current 4-hour level rise may reach 5000-5600, and after a pullback, it could rise to around 7000, with breaking historical highs just being the beginning. $BTC $ETH $SOL #ETH突破4000

Bitcoin Confirms Uptrend, Ethereum Strongly Breaks Through

Bitcoin broke through 117,500 this morning, confirming the start of a 4-hour level uptrend. The first target is 120,000, the second target is 126,000, and there's a high probability of achieving this. The community has been consistently bullish recently, repeatedly setting up long positions, especially optimistic about Ethereum breaking 4,000. Currently, Ethereum is performing stronger than Bitcoin; if it breaks 4,107, it is expected to challenge the historical high of 4,800. However, attention should be paid to the risk of a pullback in late August.

Bitcoin Trend

Medium to Long Term: The weekly uptrend remains unchanged, with a target of 150,000~200,000, continuing until January 2026. The daily chart is currently on the third wave of upward movement (starting from 74,508), expecting to reach a new high of 126,000 before the end of this month, followed by a pullback to 90,000~98,000 (by the end of September or early October), and then rise towards 150,000~200,000.
The 4-hour level has started the fifth wave of upward movement, inclined to break the previous high of 123,218 and surge to 126,000.
Short Term: The 1-hour level is still rising, with a target of 120,000; there will be a pullback and then another rise, which may be a complex process; the 15-minute level will push near 119,000; if it does not accelerate, it may pull back first before surging again.

Ethereum Trend

The 1-hour uptrend is not over, with a target of 4,000~4,100. The 15-minute pullback is nearing its end, with support seen at 3,850~3,900, after which it will push to 4,000.

Trends Across Timeframes: Weekly, Daily, 4-Hour, 1-Hour, and 15-Minute are all trending upwards, with Bitcoin aiming for 120,000 and 126,000, and Ethereum focusing on 4,000 and above. $BTC $ETH $SOL #比特币流动性危机

Bitcoin breaks through the fluctuation, Ethereum's strength continues

After fluctuating for 4 days, Bitcoin broke through 116,000, likely starting a 4-hour upward trend. The previous prediction was either a secondary high point (at least 118,000, normally looking at 120,000), or a new high. Currently, the latter is more favored, expecting to at least touch around 126,000.

Short-term Bitcoin trend

The 1-hour structure is a bit chaotic, but the pullback from 115,720 to 112,650 can be seen as a 1-hour pullback. Currently, the third wave of the 1-hour upward trend is in progress, initially looking towards around 120,000. There may be another 1-hour pullback and rise afterward; if it breaks through 120,000 before Sunday, the next target is 126,000. If the 15-minute level can break through 117,500, it will rush directly towards 120,000; if it does not break through, it may pull back to 115,000 before rising again.

Ethereum trend is stronger

Ethereum has broken through 3,740, likely not a 4-hour pullback, but a continuation of the previous 4-hour rise. The first target is 4,100, and if it breaks through, it looks towards 4,500. Unless it falls back below 3,600, it may start a new 1-hour downward trend.

Trends across periods: Weekly and daily lines continue to rise; 4-hour, 1-hour, and 15-minute levels are all in an upward trend, with Bitcoin targets at 120,000 and 126,000, and Ethereum aiming at 4,100 and above. $BTC $ETH $SOL #ETH巨鲸增持

Bitcoin is in a pullback, after the 7th it may rise

Bitcoin did not hold 113300 last night, and Ethereum broke below 3575, currently experiencing a 1-hour level decline, which is within expectations - it was previously mentioned that if Bitcoin does not break 117500 and Ethereum does not break 3740, a pullback to the lows may occur.

Bitcoin Trend

The 1-hour level pullback has not yet ended, and it is expected to touch around 112000. As long as it does not fall below 110600, there is still a chance for a 4-hour level increase to create new highs; it is currently suitable to go long at low levels, and do not rush to short.
If the 15-minute level does not break 115100, it will drop again towards 112000; a breakout would mean the pullback may end early.

Ethereum Trend

Similarly, it is in a 1-hour pullback, expecting to touch around 3350 to complete the 4-hour pullback. If it strongly does not touch 3450, the pullback level needs to be reassessed. The 15-minute level shows a rebound before a drop; we will see the strength of the last wave of decline.
After the pullback ends, it is expected to rush to 3941, and I personally am optimistic about breaking 4100.

Overall, the pullback is likely to continue during the day, and after the 7th, a new 4-hour level increase may start, and the bulls just need to hold on a bit longer. Trends across cycles: weekly and daily are upward; the 4-hour pullback is about to end, targeting 120000 and new highs; 1-hour and 15-minute are still in decline, breaking key levels could end the pullback early. $BTC $ETH $SOL #Solana期货交易量创新高

Bitcoin's rebound strength is insufficient, but there are still upward opportunities

Bitcoin has shown a rebound on the hourly level, reaching a maximum of 115720, which is less than expected, but there is still a possibility of further upward extension on a short-term structure. If it does not break below 113300, there is hope to test 117000 again; if it breaks, it may pull back to around 111800. Similarly, on the 15-minute level, maintaining 113300 could lead to another push towards 116500~117000, otherwise, it will trend down on the hourly level.

Ethereum shows slightly stronger performance, reaching close to 3730, not breaking 3740, and currently undergoing a 15-minute level pullback. If it holds above 3575, there should be a new round of 15-minute rebound (as the third wave of rise has not diverged); if it breaks below, it may trend down on the hourly level back to 3300, with key focus on defending the support level.

The overall market is diverging: Bitcoin is at the end of a daily upward trend, with a possible daily pullback from late August to September; Ethereum shows good momentum, with a chance to break 4000 or even reach historical highs; altcoins are pulling back close to weekly lows. If Bitcoin rises again, Ethereum strengthens independently, and altcoins pull back before surging, the market may trend in sync, making Ethereum's performance in August worth looking forward to.

The member group previously suggested going long on Bitcoin at 112500 and Ethereum at 3390, which has yielded good returns; this morning, we have advised to take profit on Ethereum and await the next opportunity.

Trends across all timeframes: Weekly and daily trends are upward; 4-hour still in decline (breaking 117500 is key); hourly rebound is questionable and needs further observation; 15-minute level pullback, watching if support can be maintained. $BTC $ETH $SOL #币安Alpha上新

Bitcoin's rebound has not ended, Ethereum may welcome independent market

Bitcoin is moving as expected with a 1-hour level rebound, targeting 116000~117000, which is not yet over.

Two key questions

1. Has the daily rise of Bitcoin ended?
Currently uncertain. Although falling below 112000 may trigger a daily correction, there is a triple top trend, and there is a potential opportunity on the 4-hour chart. The worst case will still create a secondary high point, and it may even push towards 126000. The probability of a daily correction in August-September is still there, but the timing may be delayed.
2. If Bitcoin peaks, will Ethereum and altcoins crash?
Not necessarily. If Ethereum is strong, it may break away from Bitcoin and create an independent market, rallying to new historical highs before correcting along with Bitcoin. The past 3 failures to break 4000 do not mean it will fail forever.

Short-term trend

Bitcoin's 1-hour rebound is not over, breaking 117500 may end the 4-hour correction, or even create a new high above 123218; otherwise, it will fall back around 112000. There is still one wave of rebound at the 15-minute level, and we need to see if it can break 117500.

Ethereum's 1-hour rebound is also not over, breaking 3740 may not lead to further correction; otherwise, it will fall back to 3300. Currently, the daily chart is healthy, with no top divergence, and the probability of a rate cut in September has risen to 89%. If it breaks 4100 before mid-August, it may rally to 5500~6700, but caution is still needed before breaking the previous high.

Trends across cycles: Weekly and daily charts are continuously moving upwards; the 4-hour chart is still in a downtrend, breaking 117500 is key; both the 1-hour and 15-minute levels are showing an upward trend. $BTC $ETH $SOL #加密市场反弹

Bitcoin (BTC) starts to rebound, further pullback expected

Bitcoin spiked to 111920 this morning and rebounded. It is currently experiencing a 1-hour upward trend, targeting 116000~117000. If it can break through 117500, it may end the 4-hour pullback; otherwise, it will likely drop back to the 111000~112000 range. If the 15-minute level pullback does not break 112300, it can still rise above 116000.

Ethereum (ETH) also started a 1-hour rebound after spiking to 3354, targeting 3600~3700. If it cannot break through 3740, it is highly likely to drop back to around 3300 or 3260, after which it may initiate a 4-hour upward push towards 4000. Institutions have been buying heavily recently, with over 1 million ETH leaving exchanges. August presents a significant bullish opportunity, and the market environment is better than last year, making the possibility of continued decline low. The 15-minute level shows initial rise followed by a pullback, then another rise, with a focus on the strength of the third wave.

Trends across all timeframes: Weekly and daily remain upward (daily target 120,000~130,000); the 4-hour level is still in a downtrend, with breaking 117500 being crucial; both the 1-hour and 15-minute levels are showing upward trends, with a short-term pullback but still looking bullish overall. $BTC $ETH $SOL #美国加征关税