azun

a very Merry Christmas for everyone

Analysis of ZBT/USDT – 4H based on visible candles.
🧭 Overview
+35% in 24h → very strong and recent movement
Chart shows a vertical pump followed by partial rejection
It is a DeFi token with high volatility
🕯️ Candle reading
1️⃣ Main impulse candle
A giant green candle that takes the price from ~0.072 to almost 0.100
Almost no lower wick → buyers in absolute control
This is typical of:
Sudden capital inflow
Low resistance in the order book
Initial FOMO
2️⃣ Candles after the pump
Long upper wicks are observed in the following candles
Rejection in the 0.0998 – 0.100 zone
Profit taking
Buyers could not hold the high price
3️⃣ Last visible candle
Small body, still near 0.0971
Moderate lower wick → there is some support
📊 Volume
Huge volume spike right in the pump candle
Then the volume decreases → the movement loses fuel
No upper green volume indicating new buying wave
📌 Important zones
🔴 Main resistance
0.1000 → psychological level + maximum 24h
Clear rejection zone
🟢 Probable supports
0.085 – 0.082 → previous base before the impulse
0.076 – 0.072 → zone where the movement started
🔍 What is happening technically
🚀 Explosive pump → rejection → possible distribution or correction
Characteristics:
Vertical and fast movement
Immediate rejection at the maximum
Decreasing volume after the pump
Candles with indecision
🧠 Scenarios to follow
🔻 More likely now
If rejection continues → the price may retest 0.085
It could lateralize or continue to drop to previous supports
🔺 Relief signal or continuation of the pump
Only if this happens:
4H candle closes above 0.100
Buyer volume greater than the initial pump
Consecutive green candles without long upper wicks
🧩 Conclusion
Very volatile
Recent movement was buying, but now there is rejection
Do not enter without clear confirmation
For quick trading: wait for a signal
For hold/swing: high risk until it forms structure

📘 Good entry vs bad entry (example BTC)

✔️ Good entry

Buy when there is fear, after a strong drop, in areas where the price rebounded before.
📌 Example: BTC during cycle corrections, not in euphoria.

❌ Bad entry

Buy when everyone is celebrating a vertical rise, without waiting for confirmation or support.
📌 Example: BTC after +10% daily for several days in a row.

🎯 Lesson:

In large assets, the best price often appears when no one wants to buy.

📘 Good entry vs bad entry (example SOL)

✔️ Good entry

Enter at clear support, after a pullback, with buying volume or visible rebound.
📌 Example: SOL when it returns to areas where it previously halted declines.

❌ Bad entry

Enter at recent highs just because "it's going to the moon."
📌 Example: SOL rising 20% in 24h without correction → FOMO.

🎯 Lesson:

Strong rebounds exist, but buying extended is playing that the market won't breathe.

📘 Good entry vs bad entry (example DOGE)

✔️ Good entry

Enter after a correction, not at the peak, and with an exit plan.
📌 Example: DOGE after a drop of -15/-25% weekly, not after viral tweets.

❌ Bad entry

Buy DOGE just for a meme or news from Elon, when the price has already reacted.
📌 Rises of 30% in hours → typical liquidity traps.

🎯 Lesson:

In memecoins, timing > narrative and small size > blind conviction.

🟠 What is crypto, simply?

Cryptocurrencies are digital money that does not rely on a bank and operates on decentralized networks (blockchains).

📌 Examples: BTC (digital money), ETH (decentralized apps).

🎯 Idea: it’s not magic, it’s technology + market.

⚔️ Trader vs Investor

Trader: looks for short movements (hours/days).
Investor: buys thinking in months/years.

📌 Trader: operates DOGE or SOL for volatility.
📌 Investor: usually chooses BTC or ETH for long cycles.

🎯 Define your role before buying.

📉 What is volatility?

Volatility = the price moves strongly and quickly.

📌 Example: SOL rises 15% in one day, drops 18% the next.
📌 BTC also moves, but is usually less extreme.

🎯 More volatility = more risk + opportunity.

🔍 How to evaluate a token?

Look: utility, adoption, supply, team, price strength.

📌 ETH has real use → ✔️
📌 Memecoins without a clear product → ❌ (pure sentiment risk)

🎯 Don't buy what you don't understand.

🚨 Warning signs

Lots of marketing, little development
Rises without volume
No clear plan

📌 Example: memecoin that rises 30% without volume → ⚠️ risky pump.

🎯 What seems “too good” often costs a lot.

📘 Where to buy and how to store?

Exchanges like Binance to buy
Wallets to store (according to strategy)

📌 Holding: move BTC/ETH to a secure wallet.
📌 Trading: keep them on exchange for quick operations.

🎯 Security is part of the plan.

✅ Golden rule for crypto novices

Enter with an amount you can afford to lose
Think in cycles, not in daily memes
Have an exit plan

📌 Healthy example: buy BTC on corrections and not in euphoria.

🎯 Discipline > luck.

📌 Quick summary

Current price: 0.01678 USDT
24h change: +26.07%
24h high: 0.02063
24h low: 0.01300
24h volume (high market cap): 546.70M (very large for the token price)

👉 This already shows you that the token moves strong and fast.

🧠 What's happening?

Recent bullish pump:
The price was nearly stable at ~0.014 for hours and then suddenly made a huge vertical rise to 0.020+.
Such sharp rises are usually due to: news, listing, hype, or sudden large purchase.
When it is so vertical, it is almost never "organic", which is why a correction follows.

Correction in progress:

After the high, consecutive red candles entered → meaning profit-taking (people selling what they bought below).
Previous sideways market:
Before the rise, the token hardly moved (small range, short candles).
This indicates accumulation or disinterest, until something ignited the movement.

🔥 Volatility = Risk + Opportunity

How to make money
Movement

What it means

📈 Strong rise
Aggressive buying / FOMO
Buy at support, sell at resistances

📉 Quick fall
Profit-taking / large sales
Make money in futures betting down or waiting for new support

👉 This token is better for trading than for holding, for now.

Important zones (looking at the chart)
Current close support: 0.01670 – 0.01672
(it's where the price seems to be pausing)
Resistance to recover: 0.01800 and then 0.02000

⚠️ Warning signals
❌ 100% vertical rise in a short time
❌ Immediate correction afterwards
❌ A lot of people buying at the peak due to excitement
❌ Huge volume compared to the token's normal range

Simple conclusion
The token is in a correction phase after a pump.
It's not a good time to buy due to FOMO.
It may be a good time to:
wait for firm support and rebound
or trade down in futures if the market remains weak.
Ultra simple strategy
Technical entry: 0.01672
Stop: 0.01590
Partial take profit: 0.01800

📉 How to detect false rises

Not everything that rises is an opportunity. Some rises are traps.

🔹 Rise without volume

📌 Example: memecoin that rises 20% with low volume → ⚠️

🔹 Price very extended

📌 Example: DOGE or SHIB rising several days in a row without corrections.

🔹 Without real news

📌 Rises only due to rumors or social media → high risk.

🎯 Simple rule

If it rises very quickly without backing, it can fall just as quickly.

📊 BTC / ETH / SOL

Not all tokens behave the same.
Understanding this helps to choose better according to the market moment.

🟠 Bitcoin (BTC)

Most stable asset in the ecosystem
Sets the general trend

📌 Example: when BTC holds steady, the market tends to calm down.

🔷 Ethereum (ETH)

Intermediate between BTC and altcoins
Less volatile than SOL, more than BTC

📌 Example: ETH tends to drop less than altcoins during corrections.

🟣 Solana (SOL)

High volatility
Amplifies ups and downs

📌 Example: SOL bounces back strongly when there is optimism, but falls more in fear.

🎯 Key idea

It’s not about which is “better,” but which fits the context.

🧠 How to read a chart without complicating things

You don't need to be an expert to understand the basics.

🔹 Trend

📌 BTC / ETH making higher highs and lows → bullish trend

📌 Constant declines → bearish trend

🔹 Supports and resistances

📌 SOL bouncing several times at the same price → support

📌 Price that always stops above → resistance

🔹 Volume

📌 Rise with volume → more reliable

📌 Rise without volume → possible false rebound

🎯 Simple rule

First understand the trend, then think about buying.

📉 Most Common Beginner Mistakes in Crypto

Learning these mistakes is cheaper than making them.

1️⃣ Buying out of FOMO

📌 Example: jumping into DOGE or SHIB after a vertical rise.

2️⃣ Trading without knowledge

📌 Example: scalping in SOL without experience → fees + mistakes.

3️⃣ Investing without a plan

📌 Example: buying small altcoins without knowing when to sell.

🎯 Final Idea

The market does not punish ignorance, it charges for it.

📘 Checklist express for memecoins (before buying)

Memecoins can rise strongly... and fall just as quickly.

This quick checklist helps filter risk.

🔹 Active community

📌 Example: DOGE, SHIB → large community → ✔️
📌 Memecoin without active networks → ❌

🔹 Sufficient liquidity

📌 Example: PEPE on large exchanges → ✔️
📌 Small pools → risk of sharp drops → ❌

🔹 Dependence on hype

📌 If it only rises due to trends of X or viral memes → ⚠️

🎯 Key rule

In memecoins, entering small and exiting quickly is usually healthier than “holding”.

🎯 Simple entry and exit strategy – CHZ/USDT

Designed for short trading in a sideways market.

🟢 1) Entry (buy)

Option A: Buy at support
✔ Support zone: 0.0350 – 0.0352 USDT
✔ Look for a downward rejection (long wick or green candle)
✔ Stable volume (not strongly decreasing)

👉 Enter close to the support, not in the middle of the range.

Option B: Entry on breakout

✔ Clear breakout of 0.0372 USDT
✔ Candle close above
✔ Increase in volume

👉 Only enter if the market shows real strength.

🔴 2) Stop-loss (key)

✔ Below the support
✔ Suggested zone: 0.0345 USDT

👉 If touched, exit without hesitation.

🟡 3) Exit (take profit)

🎯 Target 1
0.0365 – 0.0368 USDT
Take partial profit.

🎯 Target 2
0.0372 – 0.0380 USDT
Strong resistance zone.

👉 You can sell in parts or move stop to break-even.

📉 4) When NOT to enter?

❌ If the price is in the middle of the range
❌ If there is no volume
❌ If BTC is falling sharply
❌ If you enter out of anxiety

🧠 Quick example

Entry: 0.0351
Stop: 0.0345
TP1: 0.0366
TP2: 0.0375

👉 Small risk, clear plan.

⚠️ Important reminders

✔ Use little capital
✔ Do not move the stop "out of hope"
✔ Trading in range = patience
✔ Better to have few well-executed trades

🔍 Simple analysis of CHZ / USDT

💰 Current price

CHZ: ~0.0357 USDT
24h Variation: -1.7%
24h Range: 0.0351 – 0.0372
Volume: high, but without clear momentum

👉 Short and contained movement: sideways market.

📊 What does the chart show (1H)?

↔️ Trend

CHZ is moving sideways
Higher highs and lower lows getting closer
There is no strong bullish or bearish trend

👉 The market is waiting for a definition.

📉 Candles and structure

Several candles with wicks → indecision
Short bounces that do not hold
Every rise meets quick selling

👉 There is short-term trading, no conviction.

📊 Volume

Moderate volume, without clear spikes
Does not support breaking resistances

👉 Without volume, there is no rally.

📐 Key zones (approx.)

🟢 Support
0.0350 – 0.0352 Zone that has been holding declines.
🔴 Resistance
0.0368 – 0.0372 Zone where the price was rejected several times.

📈📉 Simple scenarios

Positive scenario
✔ Holds support
✔ Volume enters
✔ Can attempt 0.037 – 0.038

Negative scenario
✔ Loses 0.0350
✔ Little buyer interest
✔ Can seek lower levels

⚠️ Risks to consider

❗ Market without trend
❗ Small movements
❗ Easy to overtrade
❗ Not ideal for aggressive trading

🧠 Easy conclusion

✔ CHZ is in a sideways phase
✔ More for short trading in range
✔ No clear trend signal

✔ It is advisable to wait for a breakout with volume

🎯 Simple entry and exit strategy – RTX
Designed for short trading, not for blindly holding.

🟢 1) Entry (buy)

Option A: Conservative entry
✔ Price returns to the support zone
✔ Key support: 3.30 – 3.40 USD
✔ Small green candles appear or rejection to the downside

👉 Enter near the support, not at highs.

Option B: Entry on confirmation

✔ Price breaks 3.75 USD
✔ Volume increases
✔ Candle closes above

👉 You enter when the market confirms strength.

🔴 2) Stop-loss (very important)

✔ Below the support
✔ Suggested zone: 3.15 – 3.20 USD

👉 If the price reaches there, exit without hesitation.

🟡 3) Exit (take profit)

Target 1
🎯 3.75 – 3.85 USD
Take some profits.

Target 2
🎯 4.00 – 4.20 USD
Zone where sales previously appeared.

👉 You can:

sell in parts
or move the stop to break-even

📉 4) When NOT to enter?

❌ If the price is at a high
❌ If there is no volume
❌ If the general market is falling strongly
❌ If you enter out of FOMO

🧠 Quick example

Entry: 3.38 USD
Stop-loss: 3.18 USD
Take profit 1: 3.80 USD
Take profit 2: 4.10 USD

👉 Controlled risk, clear plan.

⚠️ Key reminders

✔ Use little capital
✔ Do not move the stop "out of hope"
✔ Win little but often > seek the big hit
✔ Always have a plan before entering

🔍 Simple analysis of $LISA

🪙 What is LISA?

LISA is a low market cap token, which means that:
It has less money within it than large tokens
The price can move very quickly
It is more sensitive to hype and volume

👉 It is not a stable token: it is risky.

📊 What is the price showing?

In the chart, a typical small caps behavior is observed:

📈 Rapid increases in a short time
📉 Strong corrections afterwards
🔁 Sharp movements, without much stability

This happens because traders enter and exit quickly, not long-term holders.

🔎 Why does LISA move so much?

🔹 1) Low liquidity
With little volume, small buys or sells move the price a lot.
🔹 2) Speculation
Many enter looking for:
Quick pumps
Short trades
Not for the project itself.
🔹 3) Lack of history
Being a little-known token:
There are no clear levels
The market “tests” prices

📈📉 Possible scenarios

📈 Positive scenario
Volume enters
The market supports
It can have strong increases in a short time

📉 Negative scenario
Volume cuts off
Large sales appear
The price can drop quickly

⚠️ Important risks

❗ High volatility
❗ Unpredictable movements
❗ Not ideal for beginners without a plan
❗ Easy to enter due to FOMO

🧠 Easy conclusion

✔ LISA is a speculative token
✔ It can provide trading opportunities
✔ It is not a project to hold “blindly”
✔ Risk management is key

✅ Quick checklist before buying an altcoin
Before hitting "buy", review this in 1 minute:

🔹 Clear utility

❓ Do you know what the token is for?
📌 Example: ETH (smart contracts) → ✔️
📌 Example: memecoin with no use → ❌

🔹 Real activity

✔️ Does it have visible development or use?
📌 Example: SOL with DeFi apps and NFTs → ✔️
📌 Example: project with no updates → ❌

🔹 Tokenomics

✔️ Reasonable supply
📌 Example: BTC with limited issuance → ✔️
📌 Example: tokens with frequent unlocks → ❌

🔹 Team and transparency

✔️ Identifiable team
📌 Example: public founders and clear roadmap → ✔️
📌 Example: anonymous team with no references → ❌

🔹 Price behavior

✔️ Follows the market
📌 Example: ETH drops less than the average → ✔️
📌 Example: altcoin that crashes without rebounds → ❌

🔹 Personal risk

✔️ Capital you can afford to lose
📌 Example: small amount to learn → ✔️
📌 Example: essential savings → ❌

🎯 Final rule

If it fails on 2 or more points, it's better to watch from the outside.

👉 In crypto, not entering is also a good play.

✅ Weekly crypto checklist (trading + hold)

Use this list once a week.
If you respond calmly, you avoid impulsive decisions.

🟠 1) Look at Bitcoin (BTC) first

✔ Is it up or down from last week?
✔ Is it breaking highs or losing supports?
✔ Is it moving strongly or is it sideways?
👉 BTC sets the market pace.

🟣 2) Review your HOLD part

✔ Is it still 60–70% of your capital?
✔ Do your projects still make sense?
✔ Did you buy by plan or by FOMO?
👉 The hold is not touched every day; it is reviewed with a cool head.

🔴 3) Evaluate the TRADING part

✔ Did you respect stop-loss?
✔ Did you take profits when it was time?
✔ Did you overtrade?
👉 Fewer well-executed trades > many emotional trades.

🟢 4) Control risk

✔ Do you have a part in stablecoins?
✔ Is any position too large?
✔ Can you sleep well with this exposure?
👉 If you don't sleep well, the risk is high.

🟡 5) Look at the general market

✔ Are altcoins rising or falling more than BTC?
✔ Are there strong news (rates, regulations)?
✔ Is the volume high or low?
👉 Context matters more than a specific token.

🔵 6) Decide whether to adjust or not

✔ Strong market → more hold
✔ Weak market → more trading / stable
✔ Confusing market → doing nothing is also a decision

🧠 Golden rule

❌ Don't adjust every day
✔ Adjusting once a week is enough

🧠 Quick summary

BTC leads
Review hold without emotion
Trading with rules
Controlled risk
Adjust only if there are clear signals

🔀 How to combine trading and holding in crypto?

You don't have to choose just one strategy.
Many investors combine holding for the long term and trading to take advantage of volatility.

🧱 1) Separate the capital

The first step is to divide your money into two clear parts:

🟣 Hold (long term): 60–70%
🔴 Trading (short term): 30–40%

👉 This way you avoid touching your long-term investments when the market moves strongly.

🟣 2) Tokens to HOLD

Choose projects with:
Real use
Adoption
Less relative volatility
Examples:
ETH → infrastructure
LINK → data for blockchain
ONDO → real-world assets

👉 These are not traded every day; they are held with patience.

🔴 3) Tokens for TRADING

Choose tokens with:
Good volume
Clear daily movements
High volatility
Examples:
XRP
XLM
ALGO

👉 Here you look for movements, not to get attached to the token.

⏱️ 4) Simple rules (very important)

✔ Do not use your hold part for trading
✔ Use stop-loss in trading
✔ Take profits when they occur
✔ Do not enter due to FOMO

🧠 Simple example

💰 Total capital: 1000 USDT
🟣 700 USDT in hold (ETH, LINK, ONDO)
🔴 300 USDT in trading (XRP, XLM)

If trading goes well, you can transfer profits to the hold.

⚠️ Common mistakes

❌ Trading with everything
❌ Selling the hold out of fear
❌ Mixing strategies
❌ Changing plans every day

🧠 Easy summary

✔ Hold = base of the portfolio
✔ Trading = take advantage of volatility
✔ Separating capital reduces stress
✔ Discipline > emotion

📊 Trading vs Hold: which tokens fit better?
Not all tokens serve the same purpose. Some perform better for short-term trading and others make more sense for long-term holding.

⚡ Most used tokens for TRADING
These are characterized by high volatility, high volume, and strong reactions to news.

🔴 XRP
Moves strongly with legal news and adoption
Good daily ranges
Ideal for short/medium-term trading

🟢 XLM
Quick movements
Similar to XRP, but lighter
Very used for scalping

🟠 ALGO
Institutional altcoin
Frequent volatility
Tends to react to news and the general market

👉 Trading = taking advantage of rises and falls, not “marrying” the token.

🧱 Tokens more suited for HOLDING
These have strong infrastructure and usually aim for long-term growth.

🟣 ETH
Base of DeFi and tokenization
Real and constant use
Less volatility than small altcoins

🔵 LINK
Key for oracles and on-chain data
Used by banks and protocols
Less hype, more utility

🟡 ONDO
Focused on real-world assets (RWA)
Strong institutional narrative
More aimed at long-term development

👉 Hold = patience + long-term vision.

⚠️ Important for beginners

❗ A token for holding can also drop significantly
❗ A token for trading can rise a lot… and then crash
❗ It all depends on the plan and risk management

🧠 Easy summary

Trading: XRP, XLM, ALGO
Hold: ETH, LINK, ONDO
Trading = short term
Hold = long term

🏦📈 Which tokens benefit if banks use more blockchain?

When banks adopt blockchain, not all tokens benefit equally. Those that benefit the most are usually linked to payments, tokenization, and institutional use.

🔵 1) XRP (Ripple)
Why it benefits:
Designed for international payments
Alternative to systems like SWIFT
Already tested by banks and payment providers

👉 Each advance in banking adoption usually impacts interest in XRP.

🟢 2) XLM (Stellar)
Why it benefits:
Low-cost remittances and payments
Used in financial and humanitarian projects
Very focused on fast transfers

👉 Similar to XRP, but more oriented towards retail payments.

🟣 3) ETH (Ethereum)
Why it benefits:
Basis for asset tokenization
Bonds, funds, and stablecoins are built on Ethereum
Used in private and public versions

👉 Although not “purely banking”, it is key in financial infrastructure.

🟡 4) LINK (Chainlink)
Why it benefits:
Oracles: connects blockchains with real data
Key for tokenized assets and institutional finance
Widely used in DeFi and TradFi projects

👉 Without reliable data, tokenization does not work.

🔵 5) ONDO
Why it benefits:
Tokenization of real-world assets (RWA)
Bridge between traditional finance and DeFi
Very aligned with banks and institutions

👉 One of the most direct projects in this narrative.

🟠 6) ALGO (Algorand)
Why it benefits:
Fast and cheap blockchain
Used in financial and government projects
Institutional and regulatory focus

⚠️ Important for beginners

❗ Just because a bank uses blockchain doesn’t mean the token will automatically rise
❗ Many tests use private networks without tokens
❗ The benefit is usually seen in the long term

🧠 Easy summary

✔ Banks → payments, tokenization, and data
✔ Most benefited tokens: XRP, XLM, ETH, LINK, ONDO, ALGO
✔ It is not immediate or guaranteed
✔ More infrastructure = more potential adoption

🏦 What blockchains are banks using today?

Banks do use blockchain, but not always the same ones that common users use.
In general, they seek privacy, control, and regulatory compliance.

🔵 1) Ripple (XRP Ledger)

Use: international payments
✔ Fast and cheap transfers
✔ Proven by banks and payment providers
✔ Focus on replacing systems like SWIFT
👉 It is one of the most well-known and visible to the public.

🟢 2) Stellar (XLM)

Use: remittances and cross-border payments
✔ Similar to XRP
✔ Widely used in financial inclusion projects
✔ Low costs
👉 More focused on remittances and small payments.

🟣 3) Ethereum (ETH) – institutional version

Use: asset tokenization, smart contracts
✔ Bonds, funds, tokenized assets
✔ Used by large banks and managers
✔ Often on private networks (not the public one)
👉 It is the basis of many modern financial projects.

🟠 4) Hyperledger Fabric

Use: private blockchains for banks
✔ Widely used in testing and closed environments
✔ High privacy
✔ Has no token
👉 Ideal for banks that do not want public networks.

🔵 5) Canton Network

Use: advanced institutional finance
✔ Banks, funds, and regulated markets
✔ Privacy + interoperability
✔ Very oriented towards complex financial assets
👉 Infrastructure more than investment.

🟡 6) Corda (R3)

Use: financial agreements and settlements
✔ Designed for banks
✔ It is not a public blockchain
✔ Widely used in banking tests.

📊 Easy summary
XRP / XLM: payments and transfers
Ethereum: tokenization and institutional DeFi
Hyperledger / Corda / Canton: private use among banks
Not all have tokens
Not all are for trading

🧠 Conclusion
👉 Banks do use blockchain, but prioritize:
privacy
regulation
control
That's why they often use private or hybrid networks, not the same ones that traders use.