The Next Key Question: Can bulls now push toward the $3,500 zone?
As long as #ETH holds above the breakout level, momentum favors higher prices. But $3,500 remains the first major resistance where profit-taking could emerge.
The World Cup just ended in July. In the last cycle, the 2022 World Cup lined up almost perfectly with the BTC bottom.
But there’s one big difference now:
Everyone is watching the same September/October “4-year cycle” bottom.
And markets rarely make the obvious trade easy.
The main downside liquidity sits around $44K–$54K. From current levels, that’s roughly 15% downside while the upside into the next cycle could be far larger.
Meanwhile, major catalysts are stacking: • Crypto regulation moving forward • Tokenized stocks / 24-hour markets expanding • Institutional adoption accelerating • More liquidity entering traditional + crypto markets
My base case:
2026 → accumulation / shakeouts 2027 → recovery + trend reversal 2028 → expansion / new highs 2029 → euphoria, mass FOMO and potential cycle peak
The biggest mistake may be waiting for the “perfect” September/October bottom everyone already expects.
Markets front-run consensus.
I expect the next major move to surprise people before the crowd feels ready.
After reviewing the proposed regulatory framework, here's what stood out to me:
$LUNC appears to have a strong case for meeting many of the characteristics often associated with a mature, decentralized blockchain, including:
✅ Community-driven governance ✅ Open-source development ✅ More than four years of network history ✅ No active control by its original founder
If regulators ultimately classify it as sufficiently decentralized, that could strengthen the argument for treatment as a commodity rather than a security.
$USTC is a different discussion. Stablecoins face their own regulatory requirements, and algorithmic stablecoins are likely to receive much greater scrutiny under proposed legislation.
The takeaway?
LUNC's regulatory outlook and USTC's regulatory outlook shouldn't be viewed as the same story. #LUNC
🚨 $BANK is flashing multiple warning signs after a 600% rally.
A week ago I shared the breakout above $0.125.
Most expected a 20–30% move.
Instead, $BANK exploded nearly 600%. 📈
Now I'm seeing several things lining up:
🔸 1H Bearish RSI Divergence Price keeps printing higher highs while RSI prints lower highs. Momentum is fading even as price holds up.
🔸 Volume vs Open Positions Over $1.3B in Binance futures volume... Yet the smart trader positions shown are only around $30M.
That's an unusually large gap. It suggests a lot of short-term turnover compared with the tracked positions—not necessarily sustained directional positioning.
🔸 Liquidity Most of the visible liquidation liquidity is sitting below the current price.
Markets often move toward areas where liquidity is concentrated, although that's never guaranteed.
🔸 On-chain One connected wallet cluster appears to hold roughly 94.8% of the tracked supply shown in BubbleMaps.