$ETH is now trading at 2,450, up 2.12% over 24 hours.
The high and low for this period are 2,478 / 2,373, with a trading volume of 505 million USDT.
2,373 is the key support to watch right now; if it breaks, there’s no clear support below. To the upside, 2,478 is resistance for this move. Until price breaks above it on strong volume, any bounce should be treated as just a bounce.
Liquidity is thin during this period, so small orders can move the price easily. Long wicks and fake moves are nothing unusual. If you do trade, use limit orders instead of chasing the market, and don’t set your stop-loss too close.
Not much to say today, so let's talk about something else.
There's a principle discussed in “Time Is Also a Cost”: Tying up capital comes at a cost. Even if a coin that trades sideways for six months doesn't end up losing you money, you've still lost six months of opportunity. Don't just calculate your profit and loss—factor in time, too.
Take today's $ETH as an example: it's now at 2,452, up 2.04% over 24 hours. This kind of market action is a perfect illustration of the point above. It's no coincidence—it's human nature repeating itself in the market.
We've all heard these principles. The hard part is whether we can put them into practice when the moment comes. Let's trim our positions a little.
The high and low for this period are 83,439 / 81,200, with a trading volume of 1.13 billion USDT.
81,200 is the key support to watch right now. If it breaks, there are no obvious buying zones below. On the upside, 83,439 is the resistance for this move. Until price breaks above it on strong volume, treat any bounce as just a bounce.
Liquidity is thin during this period, so even small orders can push prices around. Sharp wicks and chart manipulation are not unusual. If you do trade, use limit orders instead of chasing the market, and don’t set your stop-loss too tight.
Keeping some powder dry is better than anything else.
I came across an old saying, and suddenly it clicked with today’s market.
There’s a lesson in one of Keynes’s famous quotes: Keynes said that the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. This should be engraved on the screen of everyone who uses leverage. You can be right and still get carried out.
Take today’s $WLD , for example: currently at 0.563000, up 9.45% in 24 hours. This market is a perfect illustration of the point above. It’s no coincidence—it’s human nature repeating itself on the charts.
The market won’t go easy on you just because you understand the theory. The market is what it is. There’s no point panicking.
Nothing much to say today, so let’s talk about something else.
There’s a lesson in *The Most Important Thing*: Howard Marks talks about second-level thinking: When others see prices rising and chase after them, you should ask yourself—who’s selling, and why? First-level thinking makes you follow the crowd; second-level thinking keeps you from becoming the bagholder.
Let’s take $ETH today as an example: it’s at 2,459 now, up 2.51% over the past 24 hours. This market action is a perfect illustration of the lesson above. It’s no coincidence—it’s human nature repeating itself in the markets.
We’ve all heard the lesson. The hard part is actually putting it into practice when the moment comes. Let’s talk about it tomorrow.
I went over today’s market action before bed. Honestly, there was quite a lot to take away from today’s moves.
BTC fluctuated between 81,200 and 82,546 today, closing at 82,150, up 0.03% for the day. The most important thing to watch wasn’t the price movement itself, but whether trading volume kept up. Today’s volume was 987 million USDT, which honestly isn’t very active and suggests market sentiment is still fairly cautious.
ETH was slightly stronger, up 0.42% for the day and closing at 2,411, with a trading range of 2,373 to 2,422. It’s still clearly moving in tandem with BTC—when BTC stays put, it’s hard for ETH to move independently.
The strongest performer today was $WLD, up 9.41% for the day, with 68 million in trading volume. A move like this could mean money was positioning early, or that sentiment-driven trading amplified the volatility.
The key signal today: whether BTC can break through with volume at a critical level will determine the direction from here. Tomorrow, I’ll be watching closely to see whether BTC can hold the xxx level.
Down 1.31% for the day, closing at 81,416, with a high/low of 82,550 / 81,200. Trading volume was 972 million USDT—a pretty solid showing for today.
The key takeaway today is that BTC is still digesting the pressure. If it finds support near 81,200 tomorrow, there may still be room for the move to continue. But if it gets dumped right at the open, today’s rally was probably just a short-term trade.
Nothing much to say today, so let’s talk about something else.
There’s a lesson to be learned from losing money in a bull market: Losing money in a bull market hurts more than in a bear market. In a bear market, everyone loses together; in a bull market, you’re the only one losing. The reason is usually the same: anxious to keep up with everyone else’s gains, you use leverage you can’t handle.
Take $BTC today as an example: it’s at 81,700 now, down 1.06% over 24 hours. This market is a perfect illustration of the lesson above. It’s no coincidence—it’s human nature repeating itself in the markets.
We’ve all heard the lesson. The hard part is whether we can actually follow it when the moment comes. Scale back your position first.
$WLD is currently trading at 0.543600, up 9.16% over 24h.
The high and low for this period are 0.554300 / 0.498000, with a trading volume of 64 million USDT.
0.498000 is the key support to watch right now. If it breaks, there are no obvious buy zones below. On the upside, 0.554300 is resistance for this move. Until price breaks above it on strong volume, any bounce should be treated as just a bounce.
Liquidity is thin during this time slot, so small orders can move the price easily. Sudden wicks and tape painting are nothing unusual. If you do trade, use limit orders instead of chasing the market, and don’t place your stop-loss too close.
ETH is currently at 1.2978 this evening, down 0.06% over 24 hours.
Today's range was 1.2865 to 1.3152, with a trading volume of 84 million USDT. At this time of evening, ETH tends to follow BTC's lead. If BTC suddenly rallies, ETH will most likely follow; conversely, if BTC plunges, ETH will have a hard time staying unscathed.
If you're thinking of making a move this evening, keep a close eye on the 1.2865 support level. If it holds, you could consider testing the waters with a small position. If it breaks, wait for the next support level. The biggest risk is getting caught up in the evening's emotions and jumping in without thinking it through.
I read an old saying and suddenly it clicked with today’s market.
The point of building a position in batches is this: Going all in at once means you have to buy at the very bottom to avoid feeling bad. Entering in three batches means giving up the chance of buying at the absolute bottom in exchange for the peace of mind of not getting wiped out. That’s a worthwhile trade-off.
Take today’s $ETH as an example: it’s at 2,388 now, down 1.48% over 24 hours. This kind of market is a perfect illustration of the point above. It’s no coincidence—it’s human nature playing out over and over in the market.
The market won’t go easy on you just because you understand the principles. The market is what it is. Getting anxious won’t help.
As we approach market close, $ETH is definitely worth discussing today.
It was up -2.29% for the day, with a trading volume of 435 million USDT, making it one of the most active coins on the market today. The price climbed from 2,373 to 2,446, and has now pulled back to around 2,385.
This movement suggests that money hasn’t left yet, but some short-term holders are also taking profits. The key thing to watch tomorrow is whether volume continues to pick up around 2,385. If it doesn’t, the price will probably pull back a bit; if it does, there could be more room to rise.
Did you catch this move today? Are you still bullish on this coin tomorrow?
I just came across a passage and paused for a moment.
《How to Choose Growth Stocks》 talks about a principle: Fisher’s scuttlebutt method: To understand a company, ask its competitors, suppliers, and employees. In crypto, that means—don’t just look at official tweets; see whether developers are committing code and what the community is talking about.
Take today’s $ETH as an example: currently at 2,387, down 1.93% in 24 hours. This market action is a perfect illustration of the principle above. It’s no coincidence; it’s human nature repeating itself in the market.
There are several liquidations between knowing and doing. When it’s time to wait, you have to wait.
Here’s where the market stands this afternoon: ETH is hovering around 104.67, down 1.02% over the past 24 hours.
The intraday range is 103.54 to 105.98, with a trading volume of 194 million USDT. Neither bulls nor bears are making any big moves right now; both sides are waiting for a signal.
If volume picks up this afternoon and ETH breaks above 105.98, it would show that the bulls still have some fight left. On the other hand, if it retests 103.54 and fails to hold, this rally may be coming to an end. For futures traders, the biggest mistake right now would be to go all in on a directional bet—you could easily get wiped out by a single candle.
Are you sitting on the sidelines this afternoon, or making a short-term trade?
I just came across a passage and paused for a moment.
《The Black Swan》 makes an important point: Taleb says black swan events are unpredictable, but you can put yourself in a position to survive them. In crypto, you never know whether the price will suddenly spike or crash, or whether a coin will be delisted. Position sizing isn't for making money—it's for staying alive.
Take $ETH today, for example: it's at 2,397, down 1.43% over 24 hours. This kind of market action perfectly illustrates the point above. It's no coincidence; it's human nature repeating itself in the charts.
It sounds simple, but it takes a lot of costly lessons to put into practice. This time, I'll just watch and stay on the sidelines.
Taking a quick look at the market over lunch. $WLD has been showing strength today, up +9.94% over the past 24 hours.
The current price is 0.540900, with an intraday high of 0.554300 and a low of 0.489500. Trading volume is 54 million USDT. That kind of volume suggests this isn't just a minor move—there's definitely money paying attention to it.
But I have to say this: chasing a rally at midday comes at a cost. Many coins surge around noon, then start pulling back in the afternoon. If you're bullish on it, rather than jumping in now, it may be better to wait and see whether support holds this afternoon.
At this point in the midday session, are you already in, or waiting for a pullback?
There’s something I wrote down a long time ago, and it came to mind again today.
There’s a lesson about holding onto losing positions: At its core, holding on means being unwilling to admit your judgment was wrong. But the market doesn’t care about your pride—it just lets the cost keep growing. The first stop-loss is the cheapest; every one after that costs more.
Take $NEAR today as an example: it’s now at 4.8240, down 3.96% over 24 hours. This kind of market action is a perfect illustration of the lesson above. It’s no coincidence—it’s human nature repeating itself in the charts.
It sounds simple, but learning it can cost a lot in tuition. When it’s time to wait, you have to wait.
I scanned the market this morning, and $NEAR is looking interesting today—it’s moved straight to -3.85%.
The price is now at 4.8260, with an intraday high and low of 5.1410 / 4.7860. Trading volume is 112 million USDT, which suggests buyers are stepping in—not just retail traders piling in blindly.
When a coin suddenly sees a surge in volume early in the day, it usually comes down to one of two things: either some money has caught wind of good news ahead of time, or the big players are testing the waters. Either way, the biggest mistake right now is chasing it blindly. After such a big move, the risk of chasing is greater than the opportunity.
If you’re already in, keep an eye on 4.7860—if it breaks, you should get out. If you haven’t entered yet, consider waiting for a pullback to a support level.
Someone asked me how I read the market, and this is the quote that came to mind.
There’s a lesson in the math of liquidation: If you lose 50%, you need a 100% gain to break even; if you lose 80%, you need a 400% gain. This asymmetry is the graveyard of everyone who takes on too much risk. Protecting your principal isn’t a slogan—it’s a mathematical necessity.
Take $NEAR today as an example: it’s at 4.8290 now, down 3.67% over 24 hours. This market action is a perfect illustration of the point above. It’s no coincidence—it’s human nature repeating itself in the markets.
There are several liquidations between knowing and doing. Start by reducing your position size.
ETH is hovering around 728.25 in the early session, up 0.69% over 24 hours.
Last night’s high and low were 733.64 / 723.19, with price moving within the range overall. The key thing to watch this morning is whether it can hold 723.19. If it breaks below that level, there’s room for further downside; if it holds, we could see a small short-term rebound.
Trading volume is 75 million USDT—not particularly high—which suggests early-session traders are still waiting on the sidelines, with no clear directional move yet. The last thing to do right now is rush into a trade. Better to wait for a clearer picture before making a move.