AriaNaka

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$BTC is 10 months into a bear market.

In the next couple of months, expecting leverage to get wiped in both directions, price makes a new low, and then a new bull run.

Slow, steady, then all at once.

Give it 2.5 years, and I will dump all my $BTC at 160K.

$BTC Hedge Short Triggered

I'll be Pushing SL to BE on this Short once we tap 64.5k Region and also secure some profits there depending on the reaction.

This range is showing the same level of choppiness we saw back in 2022.

If you look back at that period, BTC stayed in that range for about 2 months before the trend finally shifted.

This $BTC range has now been going on for 2 months as well.

When $BTC breaks out of this macro downtrend, whatever you do, don't fade the breakout.

I saw alot of people do the same thing last cycle aswell. Overcomplicating something relatively simple. The best confirmations for trend shifts are always on the weekly.

Binance Built An Evidence Trail Into Every P2P Trade

One detail I found while studying how Binance P2P works is that every order is designed to create an evidence trail, not just complete a crypto exchange. Escrow secures the digital assets, while the order chat, payment records, timestamps, and the Appeal process work together to help resolve disputes if a transaction does not go as planned.

If someone asks to continue the conversation on Telegram, WhatsApp, or another platform, an important part of the transaction history disappears. Keeping all communication within the order ensures Binance Support can review complete records whenever an Appeal is submitted.

A verified profile, strong completion rate, consistent trading history, and a payment account name that matches the order provide much better security than choosing the lowest-priced offer.
The final checkpoint is always payment verification. I never release crypto because of a screenshot or a payment notification alone. I log in to my banking app, confirm the funds have actually arrived, and only then complete the release. If anything looks suspicious, I keep the Order ID, payment receipt, and chat history before opening an Appeal through Binance Support.

Safe P2P trading is built on a complete process: Escrow, verified counterparties, on-platform communication, confirmed payments, and well-documented records. Following every step is what turns Binance P2P into a secure trading environment.

@Binance Vietnam #BinanceP2PAnToan

$BTC We're at a critical level right now...

If we fail to hold this AOI at $64.4k, we're most likely going to see a retracement down to the FVG imbalance before a push higher.

I'll be looking for scalp longs around that area.

However, if we see a continuation higher from here, we're going to see a quick sweep of the massive cluster of liquidity above.

I'm actually surprised we haven't had the buying pressure to push into this region yet.

There are only 2 scenarios for $BTC

Either we're in the process of a failed breakout, or the failed breakout already happened and the bottom is in.

You already know my positioning,

2x swing long + full spot allocation.

I'm not cutting it this close for a 10% better entry.

The 30 Seconds That Decide Every Binance P2P Trade

One thing I noticed after reading P2P safety materials is that Escrow protects your crypto, but your final decision protects your money. Once an order is created, the seller's crypto is locked in Escrow. The last security checkpoint is the moment before you tap Release.

My personal checklist is simple. I never trust a payment screenshot, SMS notification, or someone saying "I've already transferred it." I open my banking app, confirm the funds have actually arrived, verify the payer's name matches the order details, and only then release the crypto.

Another habit that saves time is choosing counterparties with a solid trading history instead of simply chasing the cheapest offer. A high completion rate, consistent activity, and communication inside the Binance P2P chat provide much stronger confidence than a slightly better price.

If anything feels unusual, such as being asked to move the conversation to another platform, changing the payment account midway, or rushing the release process, I stop immediately. Keeping the entire conversation inside Binance and using the Appeal system when necessary creates a complete record that the support team can review. Safe P2P trading isn't about being fast. It's about making the correct decision during those final 30 seconds before releasing crypto.

@Binance Vietnam #BinanceP2PAnToan

$BTC Update & Hyblock Heatmaps

Need to be careful here. Looks like a breakout first sight, but we need confirmation through volume and price action.

So far it seems more like a trendline reclaim to excite retail and then dump it into main liquidity. Would be typical playbook.

If Bitcoin starts to pump, it will go fast and there will be no questions left. Until that, be careful.

60k-ish area to look for longs, not here imho.

$BTC The quoted post will probably be one of the most important posts you read in 2026.

Take the time to study it. Look beyond the price action and focus on the similarities from wave structure, market psychology, and market makers perspective.

Once the dark green phase (the bottoming formation) is complete, the next target is the purple dot, and that sits above 80K.

Range capitulation before expansion.

If $BTC doesn't break 60K in the next month or so, you can kiss 50K goodbye.

I did mention the MO pivot & that we could see upside at the start of August.

So you better hope we're forming a LH here. Otherwise, the longer we stay above 60K, the higher the chance we don't test lower.

$BTC And just like that... we're up 4% since the start of the month.

"Personally, I think a 2-4% move higher at the start of the month makes the most sense, even if we ultimately head lower." - My exact words."

This is how I trade, paying attention to psychological dates and time periods.

Something different.

$BTC We're seeing the exact same bullish divergence on the daily that we saw back in 2022.

Almost every major confluence is suggesting the bottom could already be in.

The only thing making people hesitate is that we're not in Q4. Other than that, BTC is 100% in the manipulation phase, identical to what we saw back in 2022.

The similarities are hard to ignore.

$BTC continues to respect the short-term uptrend.

Price has now bounced from this trendline multiple times, making it the key level to watch over the coming hours.

As long as buyers manage to defend it, another move higher towards the recent highs remains possible.

However, I still don't think this changes the bigger picture.

The HTF structure remains bearish and unless BTC starts making higher highs, I continue viewing this move as nothing more than a relief rally.

If this trendline finally breaks, I expect momentum to shift back to the downside and another move towards the $61K area becomes increasingly likely.

$PUMP Up a lot since everyone told me not to buy this

Set your emotions aside, fam.

It's time.

$BTC Update & Hyblock Heatmaps

Bitcoin consolidating in this 2-week-channel already with liquidity building up on both sides.

It's a paradox, but a quick wick into the downside would be the most bullish thing to happen, because otherwise it will remain a target for later.

The opposite is true as well, if we just see a quick sweep of the prior high, we're set to go lower.

Levels are clear, now we just wait and see which side gets hit first. Have a great day and see you soon!

Tried Matching Babylon Numbers Instead Of Reading Another Announcement

The protocol is currently securing more than 56,800 BTC, yet the upcoming monthly unlock is still fixed at 136.11M BABY under the published vesting schedule. Those two numbers barely interact with each other today. Reflects how much capital already trusts the infrastructure. The other keeps expanding circulating supply on a calendar that doesn't wait for additional usage.

@BabylonLabs_io is building products like Trustless Bitcoin Vaults, BSNs and BTC-backed borrowing around a growing security network, but the token economy follows its own timetable. More infrastructure doesn't automatically mean less new supply next month.

I think that's the metric worth tracking over the next few months. Not TVL. Not another integration.
Whether protocol activity starts growing faster than scheduled issuance.
If those two curves finally begin moving together, $BABY starts looking very different from how the market is pricing it today. #baby

So far, $BTC is up 2.5% from the monthly open.

I was leaning to the upside at the start of the month, mainly due to the bearish narrative into the monthly close.

If we continue to follow a similar schematic/pattern, we could see another 2-3% move higher before establishing the monthly high in August.