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📊 #MarketUpdate | $SOL $BTC Both BTC and SOL extended further than expected — but under the surface, the story isn’t what it looks like. 🟧 $SOL near 200 — but structure looks fragile: Spot CVD is down → no real cash demand. Stablecoin CVD is down → perp traders are selling into the move. Coin-margined CVD is down → more sell pressure overall. So why is price still climbing? 👉 Because sellers are getting absorbed. Shorts keep hitting the bid, price won’t break, and they’re getting squeezed. 📈 Open Interest confirms it: Stablecoin OI = grinding up. Coin-margined OI = going vertical — new shorts opening and getting punished. That’s short-term bullish, but long-term unstable. Spot isn’t backing this rally — it’s a squeeze, not real demand. When momentum fades, there’s nothing under price → expect an air pocket drop when it breaks. 🧭 TL;DR BTC: longs chasing breakout SOL: shorts getting farmed SOL may still rip higher short-term — but when it finally cracks, it won’t bleed slow
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$GIGGLE $ reclaiming momentum at $244 after full flush recovery from 237. Micro-structure flipped bullish again — buyers defending MA cluster. 🔹 CVD: +221 K → spot & perp buy pressure climbing 🔹 OI: steady ~300 K → healthy leverage retention 🔹 Funding: +0.009–0.010 → still long-heavy, but not overheated 🔹 Long/Short ratio: dropped to 0.78 → shorts starting to chase 🔥 📊 Interpretation: Short-term control shifting back to bulls after stop sweep. If shorts keep adding here, next squeeze target likely 255 → 275. 🎯 Setup zones Long scalp: 242 → 247 entry | TP 255 / 275 | SL 235 Breakout hold: >255 close + CVD continuation = momentum leg Invalidation: sustained close < 230 with OI dump ⚠️ Meme-volatility: trade light, protect gains, max risk ≤ 3 %. 🧠 Trap → Flush → Reclaim — that’s the pattern.
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⚙️ 3. Playbook $GIGGLE A. Long Trap Re-entry (preferred) Trigger: Price holds > 236 + OI stabilization Entry: 237–239 zone (current range) $ Stop: 230 TP1: 248 TP2: 255 TP3: 275 🧠 Buy the liquidation, not the breakout. B. Short Continuation (if breakdown confirmed) Trigger: Candle < 230 + CVD negative flip Entry: 229 → retake confirm < 230 Stop: 239 TP1: 220 TP2: 200 Only if OI expands on red candle.
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$GIGGLE flushed 255 → 237 to wash out longs. CVD still green + OI cool = healthy reset. Watch 236–238 support for trap long entry. If 230 breaks → bear continuation to 220.
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$GIGGLE still holding firm at $241 after a rejection at 255 — short-term structure compressing tight between 241–255. 🧩 CVD climbing steadily, OI stable near 300K, funding light = no blow-off yet. Shorts untouched 👀 🎯 Setup Zones: Long Trigger: Break + hold >255 → TP 275 / 288 | SL 238 Re-entry Trap: Flush 230 → reclaim 235 → TP 255 / 280 Short Fade: Only if 285–290 sweep + CVD flat | SL 302 ⚠️ Meme volatility — keep risk ≤2-3%. No need to predict, just wait for the trap confirmation. 🧠 Let them get rekt first — then strike.
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