#Near $NEAR

NEAR
NEARUSDT
1.488
-0.73%

✅ Primary Scenario — Short the Rally

Bias: Bearish within range

  • Entry Zones:

    • 1.56 – 1.60

  • Confirmation:

    • Lower-timeframe CHoCH (3m/5m)

    • Clear rejection candle

    • Weak volume + flat / declining OI

  • Stop loss: above the latest high sweep

  • Targets:

    • TP1: 1.491

    • TP2: 1.456

    • TP3: 1.416

  • Invalidation:

    • Strong 1H close above 1.60 with expanding Volume + OI

NEARUSDT.P — 1H

1) Market Structure

  • NEAR is currently trading inside a clear consolidation range after a prior bearish leg.

  • Multiple attempts to break higher have failed around the 1.56–1.60 area, forming a Weak High.

  • bearish CHoCH has appeared after a minor buy-side sweep, signaling loss of bullish structure.

  • Price is holding above the range low, but upside momentum is clearly weakening.

Conclusion:

This is a distribution phase inside a range, not accumulation.

2) Key Price Zones

🔴 Sell-Side / Supply Zones

Primary Short Zone

  • 1.56 – 1.60

  • Confluence:

    • Weak High

    • Prior rejections

    • PDH / supply area

  • Best zone to build short positions, not to chase longs.

🔵 Demand / Support Zone

  • 1.45 – 1.47

    • Multiple reaction

    • Key defensive level for buyers

  • A clean break below this area increases downside probability.

3) Volume & Open Interest

Volume Behavior

  • During pullbacks upward:

    • No volume expansion

    • Rallies lack conviction

  • At rejection points:

    • Volume fails to follow through

    • Sellers step in quickly

➡️ Buyers are not aggressive at higher prices.

Open Interest (OI)

  • OI is flat to declining overall.

  • On price rebounds:

    • No meaningful OI increase → no long buildup

  • On rejections:

    • OI drops or stagnates → short covering + distribution

Implication:

Market conditions favor selling strength, not buying dips.

4) Trade Scenarios

✅ Primary Scenario — Short the Rally

Bias: Bearish within range

  • Entry Zones:

    • 1.56 – 1.60

  • Confirmation:

    • Lower-timeframe CHoCH (3m/5m)

    • Clear rejection candle

    • Weak volume + flat / declining OI

  • Stoploss: above latest high sweep

  • Targets:

    • TP1: 1.491

    • TP2: 1.456

    • TP3: 1.416

  • Invalidation:

    • Strong 1H close above 1.60 with expanding Volume + OI

⚠️ Alternative Scenario

  • If price accepts below 1.45:

    • Expect long liquidations

    • Pullbacks become new short opportunities

Key Takeaway

  • NEAR is capped under a Weak High

  • Volume and OI confirm lack of bullish participation

  • Best strategy:

    • Sell rallies at supply

    • Avoid trading mid-range

    • Do not chase downside

#trading #TradingSignals #analysis

✍️ Written by @CryptoTradeSmart

Crypto Insights | Trading Perspectives

⚠️ DISCLAIMER:

NOT financial advice. Perpetuals trading is high risk - you can lose your entire capital. This is my personal setup for educational purposes only. Always DYOR, use strict risk management, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. You are solely responsible for your decisions.

Trade safe! 🎯