📍#SOL Ding Ding Technical Analysis Report (2025/12/21)
【Core Viewpoint】：Triple bearish resonance. 125 is failing. The gates to 80 are slowly opening.
Solana is trading at a suffocating 124.98. The Daily, 4H, and 1H timeframes have all aligned in a bearish formation. This "Timeframe Resonance" is the scariest signal in trading. Bullish defense at 125 is practically non-existent; bounces can't even reclaim 126. SOL is like a kite with a cut string—every bounce is just setting up a better entry for bears. Once 121 is effectively pierced, panic selling will drive the price straight to 80.
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📊 Long-Term Trend: Mid-Bearish (1D)
Market Interpretation:
The Daily close at 124.98 is below all short-term EMAs and strictly suppressed below 126.11. This indicates bears are in full control, and bulls are offering zero resistance. The level of 130 overhead is an insurmountable wall. As long as price stays below 126, this is a textbook structure of a main bearish wave.
【1D Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: Bounces to the 126-130 zone are hunting grounds for bears. If 121.62 breaks, expect a waterfall.
• Defense/Pivot: 130.95 (Bearish script invalid only if reclaimed)
🛑 Short Setup:
• Short on Bounce (Limit Order): 126.11 ～ 130.95 (Alloc: 60%)
• Short on Breakdown (Chase): Close below 121.62
• Take Profit (TP): 117.15 ／ 107.05 ／ 80.62
• Stop Loss (SL): 146.91
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📊 Mid-Term Trend: Small Bearish (4H)
Market Interpretation:
The 4H timeframe is equally weak, capped below 128.91 with powerless bounces. All upward moves are defined as "corrections" to fix indicator deviation before the next drop. 123.28 is the last fig leaf for mid-term bulls; once stripped away, the consequences will be ugly.
【4H Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: Follow the trend. Do not guess the bottom during a crash.
• Defense/Pivot: 134.10
🛑 Short Setup:
• Short on Bounce (Limit Order): 128.91 ～ 134.10 (Alloc: 60%)
• Short on Breakdown (Chase): Close below 123.28
• Take Profit (TP): 123.28 ／ 117.15 ／ 106.33
• Stop Loss (SL): 140.23
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📊 Short-Term Trend: Mid-Bearish (1H)
Market Interpretation:
The short-term chart is incredibly ugly. Price cannot even hold 125.11, continuously making lower closes. This means short-term capital is fleeing, and sentiment is extremely pessimistic. The bounce room is compressed below 126—a classic slow bleed.
【1H Intraday Strategy】
• Key Action: Short if bounce fails at 125; chase immediately if 124.41 breaks.
• Fund Allocation: Limit Orders 60% + Chase Breakdown 40%
🛑 Short Setup:
• Short on Bounce (Limit Order): 125.11 ～ 126.00
• Short on Breakdown (Chase): Close below 124.41
• Take Profit (TP): 124.41 ／ 123.52
• Stop Loss (SL): 128.29
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📝 Summary & Advice
• For Holders: SOL's triple bearish alignment is no joke. 125 is lost. Cut positions before it crashes below 100. Cash is king.
• For Non-Holders: This is a feast for bears. Wait for a bounce near 126 to short, or wait for the breakdown below 121 to chase the trend, targeting 80.
