TLDR

  • Spot market buying pressure has collapsed from $26.7 million to just $2.4 million in one month.

  • The Money Flow Index (MFI) shows oversold levels with no signs of a bullish rebound.

  • If the asset loses the $0.106 support, the next bearish target is set at $0.095.

Investors are on edge after the Hedera network entered a high-risk technical zone. Over the past month, while the broader crypto market attempted to stabilize, the HBAR price at risk of collapse has become the base case for analysts.

The data is striking: spot market buying pressure dropped by approximately 90%, falling from net outflows of $26.7 million in November to barely $2.4 million in the second week of December.

This evaporation of demand leaves the asset trapped in a descending channel, a markedly bearish technical pattern. Consequently, with no new buyers stepping in to “buy the dip,” sellers require very little effort to push the price toward lower levels, increasing the fragility of the current structure.

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Technical Indicators Confirm Hedera’s Weakness

The analysis of the Money Flow Index (MFI), which combines price and volume to measure capital inflow, supports this negative outlook. The MFI has not only recorded lower lows but has also sunk into oversold territory. Unlike previous occasions where these levels triggered a bounce, the HBAR price at risk of collapse persists because the money flow follows a downward trend with no signs of seller exhaustion.

Currently, HBAR is teetering near the lower boundary of its channel. The critical level to watch is a daily close below $0.106; if lost, a downward target toward $0.095 would be activated, representing an additional 12% retracement.

To counter this pessimistic forecast, the cryptocurrency would need a radical shift in sentiment to propel it above the $0.155 resistance.

However, given the absence of institutional and retail buyers in the spot market, a breakdown appears inevitable for now. Investors must remain attentive to upcoming candle closes, as the resolution of this pattern will determine Hedera’s direction for early 2026.