Release date: 2025.12.20 (Weekend Special Edition)
Author: Qingfengbtc (20-year financial veteran)
Brothers, I am Qingfeng.
Finally, I have survived the thrilling 12.19. The Bank of Japan's "ghost stories" are over, and regardless of the outcome, the market's biggest fear of uncertainty has been eliminated.
Now, Bitcoin (BTC) has returned to oscillate in the range of $88,000 - $91,500.
Many fans ask: "Qingfeng, is it time to go all in now that the bad news has been exhausted?"
As a veteran, I must splash some cold water on you at this time when liquidity is the worst on weekends, while also pointing you to a clear path.
🌪️ One, Weekend Trap: Market makers love to 'draw doors'
Alert Index: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
This weekend's market is very strange.
Liquidity Exhaustion: As Wall Street and institutional traders take a break for the Christmas holiday, the market depth suddenly drops. This means that only a small amount of capital is needed to drive prices up or crash them down.
Script Simulation: According to the market makers' usual methods, weekends usually see reduced volume and false breakouts.
Luring Script: Suddenly spike to $92,500, making you think the bull is back, then directly crash back to $90,000 on Monday's opening.
Luring Short Script: A bearish breakdown at $89,500 to lure out panic sellers, then a V-reversal on Monday.
Veteran's Advice: Over the weekend, completely avoid high-leverage contracts unless you think you can act faster than the market makers' robots.
🎅 Two, Next Week's Main Line: Prepare for the 'Christmas Market' (Santa Rally)
Though we need to lay low this weekend, I am firmly bullish for next week.
Why? Because of Wall Street's **'Christmas Effect'**.
1. Historical data does not lie
Reviewing the past 10 years of data, the probability of the US stock and crypto markets rising around Christmas (12.25 - 1.1) is as high as 80%. Institutions need to achieve year-end performance (Window Dressing) and push prices up for better financial reports.
2. Capital flowing back to Ethereum
Have you noticed? BTC is consolidating, but ETH and its ecosystem (Layer 2) are starting to stir.
Exchange Rate Signal: The ETH/BTC exchange rate has shown a rare 'large bullish candlestick' at the bottom.
Clear Wind Judgment: The big pie sets the stage, and Ethereum takes the lead. If BTC can stabilize at $90,000, next week is likely to be a moment for DeFi and the old mainstream (ETH, SOL, LINK) to catch up.
🎯 Three, Clear Wind's Weekend Practical Strategy
Strategy A: Spot ambush (offensive)
Targets: Focus on leading ETH ecosystem projects (like UNI, AAVE) and strong meme stocks in the Solana ecosystem.
Point: If there is a sharp drop spike over the weekend (e.g., BTC retraces to $88,800), buy with your eyes closed. This is to accumulate chips for next week's Christmas red envelope market.
Strategy B: Grid arbitrage (defensive)
Operation: Set up a **'volatile grid'** between $88,500 and $92,500.
Logic: The weekend is likely to weave fabric within this range. Rather than wasting time staring at K-lines, let robots help you automatically buy high and sell low to earn some holiday money.
💡 Veteran's Conclusion:
Weekend fluctuations are noise, while next week's trend is the signal.
The current volatility is to wash out those impatient floating positions.
Control your hands, hold onto the spot, and enjoy a good weekend with family.
Real fireworks will be ignited around Christmas.
I am Clear Wind BTC, a veteran who has crossed bull and bear markets for 20 years.
Follow me, don't get lost, and I'll help you avoid the weekend scythe!
(Like + comment 'Merry Christmas', Clear Wind wishes you a doubled account next week!)
