【BTC & ETH In-Depth Analysis: Short-Sellers Dominate Corrections, Seize the Rhythm and Wait for a Turnaround】
The market always nurtures opportunities amidst the noise, quietly building a bottom in doubt. True insight lies not in chasing every fluctuation, but in penetrating the surface to capture the budding of the next trend when others are unaware. Reflecting on yesterday, BTC fell back from the evening high of 88,985, dipping to the 86,000 area, while ETH weakened in tandem, retracing from the 3,177 level to around 2,970, aligning with the overall adjustment rhythm.
During the live stream, it was suggested to position short orders for BTC in the vicinity of 90,000, with the 90,000 critical resistance area further increasing short positions, targeting a drop to 87,000, accurately capturing the downward wave segment. The live trading realized a gain of 2,724 points for BTC and 136 points for ETH, successfully locking in profits, validating the strategy's effectiveness.
Technical Analysis Breakdown:
● Four-Hour Level: BTC has broken below the lower Bollinger Band, with the Bollinger Channel expanding downward, and K-line running along the lower track, repeatedly testing the support below, indicating short-term bearish dominance.
● Trend Structure: The daily chart remains in a downward channel; although there may be rebounds after sharp declines, the overall trend has not changed, and the rebound strength is limited.
● Momentum Indicators: The MACD green momentum bars have slightly reduced in volume, but bears still dominate, and no clear bottom divergence or stop-loss signal has formed, suggesting that the correction may not be over.
● Market Status: Volatility is rising, entering a phase of consolidation and accumulation, with the trend likely to show repeated ups and downs, primarily bearish, and rebounds should be viewed as exit opportunities or counter-trend chances.
Operational Thoughts:
● If the price fails to stabilize above 88,000, the main strategy remains "short on rallies," aligning with the trend.
● Short-term focus on support near 84,000, which has technical rebound potential; small positions can be taken to test long, with quick entry and exit.
● A rebound to around 88,000 is still an ideal shorting point, targeting 83,000, with strict stop-loss.
● ETH can position short orders in the 3,050–3,020 area, targeting 2,930–2,900, with attention to position control to guard against spike risks.
Core Logic: Before the trend is clear, do not guess the bottom or try to catch it; only act on confirmation signals. Strictly adhere to discipline and go with the trend, to progress steadily in a volatile market. It is darkest before dawn, but the light will eventually come—stay patient, maintain rhythm, and opportunities are always reserved for those who are prepared. $BTC
