The market has already priced in the Bank of Japan’s rate | Bit_Guru on Binance Square

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The market has already priced in the Bank of Japan’s rate hike.

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$FORM Exhaustion After Parabolic Pump (Short Setup) ♦️ 🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴 This move has already delivered a +35% expansion in a very short time, and price is now showing clear signs of exhaustion. I’m taking this short based on rejection from the highs and loss of bullish momentum. If price reclaims the highs, the idea is invalid simple and disciplined. Trade Setup: Short Entry Zone: 0.425 – 0.435 Target 1: 0.405 Target 2: 0.385 Target 3: 0.360 Stop-Loss: 0.458 This is a momentum fade, not a prediction. Trade the level, manage risk, and let the chart confirm. #FORM #WriteToEarnUpgrade

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🇺🇸 The Fed has added $16.81 billion into the economy through overnight repo operations.

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Japan could become the unexpected catalyst that shakes global markets on 19 December 2025, and this is something traders should not ignore. For decades, Japan quietly acted as a hidden pillar of global liquidity. That support is now fading — and the implications reach far beyond Japanese markets. For nearly 30 years, Japan maintained ultra-low interest rates. This made borrowing the Japanese yen extremely cheap. Large institutions took advantage of this by borrowing yen, converting it into dollars or other currencies, and deploying that capital into stocks, bonds, and crypto. This mechanism, known as the yen carry trade, became one of the most important sources of global risk liquidity. The environment is changing. Japan is now preparing for its highest interest rate levels in more than three decades. When borrowing yen becomes more expensive, the entire carry trade model starts to unwind. Investors borrow less, reduce exposure to risky assets, and in many cases sell assets to repay yen-denominated debt. This process drains liquidity from global markets. Crypto is especially sensitive to these shifts. When liquidity leaves the system, volatility rises and downside pressure accelerates. We have seen this pattern repeatedly. In March 2024, a Japan rate hike was followed by a roughly 23% drop in Bitcoin. In July 2024, BTC fell around 26%. In January 2025, the decline reached nearly 31%. Each time, the trigger was the same — tightening conditions tied to Japan. That is why 19 December 2025 matters. If Japan moves forward with a rate hike, markets could react aggressively. Bitcoin could face sharp downside volatility, and broader crypto markets may feel immediate pressure. This is not about panic — it is about preparation. Periods like this reward discipline, not emotion. Liquidity cycles drive crypto more than headlines. As global conditions tighten, caution becomes a strategy. Traders should stay alert, manage risk carefully, and be ready for elevated volatility around this key macro date. $XRP $BTC $SOL

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$BTC Bullish Continuation (Momentum Reload) Bitcoin is holding above a key intraday support after a strong rebound, showing healthy consolidation rather than weakness. The higher-low structure on the 15M chart suggests buyers are still in control, and as long as price stays above the demand zone, continuation toward the upper resistance remains the higher-probability path. This is a patience trade, not a chase. Trade Setup: Long Entry Zone: 86,900 – 87,100 Target 1: 87,800 Target 2: 88,600 Target 3: 89,500 Stop-Loss: 86,300 The idea is simple: hold above support, build pressure, then expand. If the level fails, the setup is invalid no emotions, no revenge trades. #USNonFarmPayrollReport #USJobsData #TrumpTariffs

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Can we really see an altseason in 2026? The question sounds simple, but the answer depends far less on narratives and far more on liquidity. Every major altcoin expansion cycle in crypto history has followed the same macro sequence: the Federal Reserve pauses or ends quantitative tightening, liquidity conditions ease, and risk appetite returns. When that switch flips, altcoins don’t move gradually — they move fast. What most participants forget is that pain always comes first. Before every genuine altseason, markets go through prolonged frustration. Key support levels are tested repeatedly. Sharp liquidation wicks shake out leverage. Weak hands are forced to exit while sentiment turns pessimistic. This phase is not a bug in the cycle — it is the mechanism that clears the market for expansion. The 2020 setup is a clear example. As the Fed ended QT, the altcoin market cap spent months chopping around long-term support. Liquidation wicks were violent and confidence was low. Then liquidity flowed back into the system. What followed was not a slow grind upward, but explosive moves across the alt complex, with many tokens posting gains of 1,000% or more. Fast forward to 2025–2026, and the structure is starting to rhyme. Quantitative tightening is approaching its end again. Altcoin market capitalization is sitting on multi-year support zones. Leverage is already being flushed through repeated liquidations. The environment looks uncomfortable — which is exactly how previous cycles looked before expansion. The market itself has not changed. It still punishes impatience before rewarding conviction. If liquidity conditions flip decisively, the next altseason is unlikely to arrive quietly. Historically, these transitions are abrupt, volatile, and unforgiving to late positioning. The real question is not if altcoins can move — it is whether participants are prepared to endure the discomfort that comes before the move begins. $BTC $FORM $ZEC

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