Let's talk about ZEC, and also about those altcoins that have surged.
The main downtrend of ZEC has temporarily come to a halt; in the short term, it is likely to enter a period of consolidation. At this position, I believe chasing longs or shorts is not very meaningful, and it's easy to be stopped out. My long-term strategy hasn't changed: if it rebounds above 400, I will consider continuing to roll over and add to my short position; if it falls below 240, I will gradually close out most of my long-term shorts. In the range between 300 and 400, I choose to observe and not take action.
Currently, the short-term hot money in the market is mostly concentrated in small-cap assets like BEAT and pippin. These coins can rise tenfold or more in the short term, although the probability of peaking is very high, extreme volatility often occurs in the top area, which is that kind of 'spike up' market.
It should be noted that this type of asset usually does not have a spot market, and funding rates are charged every 1 to 4 hours, making it suitable only for extremely short-term speculation. You think, if it consolidates at the top for half a month, just the funding fees might eat up half of your principal. This is different from ZEC, which has a mature spot and contract market, with rates charged every 8 hours. Currently, there isn't much short-term capital speculation, and the rates have returned to positive. Holding a long-term short position still allows for some 'pork rib rice' subsidies every day.
This kind of short-term surge of ten times in small altcoins occurs many times in each cycle. Short-term experts use high leverage to gamble, which can indeed quickly turn tens of thousands into millions, but similarly, a single mistake can also instantly bring it to zero. Over the years, I have seen too many examples in the contract market where people made tens of millions, only to lose it all due to one or two trades. In this market, the key is not to compare who earns more or faster, but to compare who survives longer.
In my years of trading in the contract market, I have never been liquidated, only experiencing a few strict stop losses. I always keep my total contract position controlled at below 30%, essentially operating with light positions. My logic is very clear: only look for those small altcoins that have surged several times in the short term and whose market value has reached tens of billions or even hundreds of billions, to lay out long-term short positions. Such opportunities occur only a few times a year, requiring patience to wait. If a large-scale B-wave rebound occurs next year, perhaps such targets will appear. I estimate it will be very difficult to find them during the previous main downtrend and consolidation period.
At this stage, my focus is still on holding long-term positions in BTC, ETH, and ZEC, patiently waiting for the rolling opportunities with ZEC. The market is never short of opportunities; what is lacking is the patience to wait for them and the capital to survive until that time.#ZRX.24小时交易策略 #ZECUSDT #ZE_TRAD🐂
