Woken up by the market software at 2 AM, heart racing while staring at a screen full of red and green candlesticks; simultaneously holding orders for 5 different cryptocurrencies, fingers tapping on the screen quickly like sparking fire; when calculating at the end of the month, the fees exceeded the earnings. Don’t scroll away, if you’ve ever experienced this kind of 'the harder I work, the more I lose' frustration, today’s article will save your life halfway.
As an old-timer who has been crawling in the crypto market for 7 years, I spent my first 4 years doing 'ineffective efforts': memorizing over 30 indicators, spending money on so-called '99% accuracy' signal software, and even trying to use Excel for trading logs. What was the result? No money made, a strand of my hair turned white, and even my girlfriend complained, 'Are you dating the candlesticks?'
What really turned my situation around was a dinner with a private equity mogul. He spoke candidly after a few drinks: “The losers in the crypto space are too 'diligent,' always trying to catch every fluctuation, and instead, they are played by the market. The ones who truly make big money are those who know how to 'slack off.'” This statement awakened me, and later I spent 3 months refining a set of “lazy trading methods,” spending just 10 minutes a day watching the market, and last year's returns doubled compared to staring at the screen for a year.
Why does the 'dumb method' work better in the crypto space?
Many people fall into the misconception when they first enter the market: the more complex the indicators, the better, and the longer they watch the market, the more secure they feel. However, the essence of the crypto market is capital games; the more complex the analysis, the easier it is to be misled by emotions. The core logic of my method is just 3 points: don’t guess the direction, don’t stay up all night, only seize certain opportunities. In simple terms, it is to use the simplest rules to counter the most complex human nature.
Let me pour some cold water on everyone: there is no 100% profitable strategy, but this method can stabilize the win rate above 90%, the key lies in 'execution discipline.' Here’s the practical stuff directly, even beginners can follow it.
4-step 'lazy trading method', you can use it after reading
1. Focus only on one set of core signals, don’t look at more than that
Stop piling up indicators on the screen! I only look at two moving averages: the short-term line (EMA21) and the long-term line (EMA55). These two are like the market's 'traffic lights,' more reliable than any fancy indicators.
The rules are super simple: when the short-term line crosses above the long-term line (golden cross), it indicates an upward momentum; when the short-term line crosses below the long-term line (death cross), it indicates a downward momentum. Remember, only recognize this one signal, block out all other noise.
2. Choose the right time window, avoid the 'false signal' trap
Many people frequently operate while staring at the 15-minute chart, resulting in being mere contributors to transaction fees. I only look at the 4-hour candlesticks; the signals at this interval are the most stable and won't be 'shredded' by short-term capital movements.
There’s a little trick for entry timing: when a golden cross appears, it must be accompanied by a bullish candlestick (closing price higher than opening price) to be considered a valid signal; when a death cross appears, it must be accompanied by a bearish candlestick to enter. When the signal is unclear, it's better to miss out than to force it—missing out is always better than making a mistake in the crypto space.
3. Adhere to the stop-loss rule, don’t let one loss ruin everything
This is the most common pitfall I’ve seen: running away after making a little profit, but stubbornly holding on after a loss. The rule I set is 'single loss must not exceed 5%,' and the stop-loss point is set at the highest or lowest point of the candlestick before the signal appears. For example, when entering with a golden cross, set the stop loss at the lowest point of the previous candlestick; if it breaks below, exit immediately without hesitation.
For example: if you enter the market with 10,000 yuan, the maximum loss per trade can only be 500 yuan, and you must stop loss immediately upon reaching this line. It seems conservative, but it allows you to survive longer in the market—surviving gives you the chance to make big money.
4. Rolling position technique: Let profits 'run automatically'
Beginners often like to 'take profits quickly,' but real big gains come from trends. My rolling position method is very flexible: the first entry only invests 5% of the capital, and when the profit reaches 5%, add another 5% to the position; if the profit reaches 10%, withdraw the previous principal and use profits to gamble—this way, no matter how the market changes later, you won’t lose your principal.
Once a signal appears that is contrary to your position (for example, a death cross when going long), immediately liquidate the position and exit, don’t be greedy for the last penny.
