The Red November Trap: Why December Is Already Lost

The historical data is chillingly consistent. When the market prints a "Red November"—meaning a negative monthly close—the subsequent December has historically followed suit, resulting in further downside pressure. This isn't just a statistical quirk; it reflects deep-seated year-end institutional behavior. Funds are already de-risking, locking in profits or executing tax loss harvesting, which typically peaks right before the holidays. This predictable liquidity vacuum makes $BTC and $ETH highly susceptible to sudden volatility. Don't mistake a brief relief rally for a trend reversal. Until this calendar effect is absorbed, expecting a major upward impulse is fighting history itself.

This is not financial advice.

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