On December 1st, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will speak, focusing on 3 core signals:

1. Powell's "interest rate cut statement": whether he mentions the "number of interest rate cuts in 2026" and "timing of interest rate cuts"; a dovish (loose) stance would be very positive, while a hawkish (tight) stance would be negative.

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2. Details on QT stopping: whether he mentions "whether to restart the balance sheet reduction"; if he clearly states a "long-term pause", liquidity easing expectations will be stronger;

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3. Attitude towards inflation: whether he emphasizes that "inflation still has repeated risks"; this statement is the "trigger" for market fluctuations. Any unexpected remarks will amplify volatility.

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