Brothers! I just saw the news that the S&P 500 is being projected to reach 7490 points by the end of 2026, an increase of 12%! But don't just focus on the word 'increase'; this news hides 3 pitfalls that, if you fall into them, can directly shrink your cryptocurrency holdings by 30%. Today, I'm giving you a survival guide and market prediction!
Let’s outline the core logic: the current cryptocurrency market (especially mainstream ones like BTC and ETH) is like a 'risk asset tagalong' to the U.S. stock market — when the S&P rises, market risk appetite increases, and the crypto market can benefit; when the S&P falls, funds escape high-risk cryptocurrencies first, and your holdings take a hit.
In this wave of news, do not step on any pits:
Pit 1: Now is not the time to charge ahead recklessly. The news clearly stated 'may pull back in the next three months' — once the S&P drops in the short term, the crypto market will definitely crash first; chasing mainstream coins now is like running into the muzzle of a pullback.
Pit 2: Treating predictions as a 'guarantee'. This is just the 'median judgment' of 45 big shots, not a contract written by the Federal Reserve — in case the U.S. economy falters, and the Federal Reserve suddenly tightens, the S&P may not move up, and the crypto market could directly drop from new highs.
Pit 3: Tying down the logic of U.S. stocks. The crypto market has its own 'quirks': the 2025 halving and regulatory trends are exclusive variables; if the S&P rises but regulations go haywire, the crypto market will still struggle to rise.
My real market judgment (don’t compare with others' bluster): In the short term (next 3 months), following the S&P's pullback, BTC is likely to test support at 42000-44000, and ETH looks at 2800-3000; in the medium term (2026), if the S&P stabilizes its upward trend, tech stocks could boost risk sentiment, and the crypto market could follow a bullish trend, but the prerequisite is to endure the 'hard days' of significant pullback and washout.
I have already locked in the S&P's pullback signal indicators and the support/resistance levels of mainstream coins, and will promptly issue precise bottom-fishing points at the first sign of a pullback. Do you want me to organize the tracking table for the linkage between the S&P and mainstream coins for you?
