Why do you clearly enter the market with 'good news' and it drops, while you cut losses on 'bad news' and it rises? Why can the main forces always precisely strike at your stop-loss points? As someone who has been in the crypto space for 8 years, I can confidently say: you have misjudged the 'lifeline'! Those messages flying everywhere are not navigation; they are the 'scissors script' leading you into the fire pit!
Stop treating market-style shouting as a holy decree. Today, shout 'policy benefits, go all in', tomorrow explode 'regulatory bad news, run quickly', essentially it’s just a smokescreen released by the main forces. When I first entered the market years ago, I was also deceived by these messages to the core: a certain platform announced 'major cooperation', I heavily invested, and as a result, I was hit hard by a big bearish candle that day. Later, I realized that the so-called 'good news' was just bait for the main forces to offload. What really helped me transform from 'retail investor' to 'expert' was precisely what many people disdain — naked K charts!
K-lines never lie, just as the market has no sympathy for the lucky ones. The traces of capital inflow and outflow, the actions of the main forces, and the battles between bulls and bears are all starkly etched in each K-line. The phrase 'bare K line sees the market, directly hitting the core' is a truth I understood after losing six figures: news can be packaged, emotions can be distorted, but the traces left by K-lines are the genuine language of capital.
As a senior analyst, today I’m going to share with you the naked K-line trading logic that I’ve kept under wraps, which even beginners can directly apply:
1. Monthly line determines direction: the 'ballast stone' of the major trend.
The monthly line is key to determining the major direction. The previous monthly line has a long upper shadow + increased volume stagnation, which clearly indicates that bears are 'gathering strength to hit the market'! I told my followers at the beginning of the month: once this pattern emerges, November must trend down. Is it not all coming true now? The current core support given by the monthly line is around 82250. Remember my iron rule: only trust the 'closing results' when looking at trends; no matter how stimulating the fluctuations during the day are, they are merely 'confusing items.' The main force loves to trick you into chasing highs and selling lows with intraday price movements.
2. Weekly line strength judgment: the 'solid evidence signal' of bear control.
The recently closed weekly line is simply a 'bearish declaration'—a solid big bearish candle has come down, with a lower shadow so short it can almost be ignored. What does this mean? The bears have completely taken control, even breaking the long-term upward trend line! The key supports I calculated are at 85179 and 78430. According to this rhythm, it’s highly likely that we will first touch around 80,000 to build a base, then rebound to around 110,000 to form a classic head and shoulders top pattern. I dare to guarantee that this trend will last at least until the end of the month.
3. Daily line identifying continuation: Don’t mistake 'downward resting' for 'bottoming reversal.'
Many people panic when they see the daily line oscillating back and forth: 'Is it about to rebound?' Wake up! This is not a bottom signal at all, but a typical 'downward continuation'—it hasn’t broken the weekly support, nor has there been a reversal pattern. To put it bluntly, the main force is 'gathering strength to brew the next wave of decline.' Recklessly entering the market at this point is no different from rushing into a fire with your shirt off! I’ve seen too many novices eager to 'bottom fish,' only to be ground into the dirt by subsequent declines. Remember: waiting patiently for the signal is 100 times better than blindly operating!
4. 4-hour line pit avoidance: my bloody lesson, don’t step in it again!
Speaking of the 4-hour line, I have to share an embarrassing story from the bottom of my heart: a few days ago at 2 AM, I groggily saw that the 1-hour line had broken support. In a moment of impulse, I positioned downwards, forgetting that the 4-hour line hadn't closed yet. As a result, I was stopped out due to a false breakdown, losing 2 points for nothing! Even more foolishly, before work, I was afraid of missing a big drop and added to my position, which now looks like 'giving away money.' Here’s a key point for everyone: if the 12 o’clock close can stabilize above 94594, a short-term rebound is likely to come. Don’t stubbornly short; otherwise, the market will give you a harsh lesson!
Finally, a reminder on the blackboard: the current major trend is that the monthly, weekly, and daily lines are synchronously moving down. This is an undeniable trend! If you have already positioned for short selling, don’t be scared out of the market by short-term fluctuations; hold steady and follow the trend to benefit. For those who haven't entered the market yet, don’t let the FOMO (fear of missing out) emotion cloud your judgment. Now is not the time to hunt for bargains in the spot market; the right strategy is to position for downward movements at highs.
Of course, the hardest part is not to see the direction, but to judge 'where is the high.' After all, prices jump around near support levels, and the tricks of inducing bullish and bearish positions are hard to guard against. For friends who want to follow me to catch precise entry signals and avoid pitfalls while bottom-fishing, hit that follow button to avoid getting lost!
