According to the most popular prediction sites, the market sees the probability of Bitcoin reaching these prices as follows:
Probability of reaching $1,000,000: less than 1%
Probability of reaching $250,000: 1%
Probability of reaching $200,000: 2%
Probability of reaching $170,000: 3%
Probability of reaching $150,000: 3%
Probability of reaching $140,000: 5%
Probability of reaching $130,000: 7%
Probability of reaching $120,000: 13%
Probability of reaching $110,000: 30%
Probability of reaching $100,000: 63%
Drop probabilities:
Drop to $80,000: 41%
Drop to $70,000: 13%
Drop to $50,000: 4%
Drop to $20,000: 1%
According to market forecasts, the majority believes that Bitcoin will close this year in the range of $100,000, but the likelihood of breaking a new peak is very low.
Therefore, the target of $130,000 seems to be a closer goal for 2026.
