Brothers, there are those watching the market at dawn!
The Federal Reserve has dropped the 'interest rate cut bomb'—the probability of a 25 basis point cut in December has soared to 71.3%! The cryptocurrency market is in an uproar: some shout 'bull market initiated', while others fear 'good news turning into bad news'!
Veteran Fuqi's heartfelt warning:
SOL today will either violently surge to 145 or deeply squat at 121! Retail investors, don’t panic, pay attention to these three points!
1. News: Countdown to interest rate cut, is the cryptocurrency market experiencing a 'spring thaw'?
Federal Reserve's major move: December interest rate cut probability at 71.3%, maintaining interest rates in January only at 19.2%! Global liquidity easing expectations are at their peak, and high-risk assets (like SOL) may become new favorites for funds.
Historical pattern: In March 2020, the Federal Reserve cut rates, Bitcoin soared from 4000 to 60,000; in 2023, rate hikes slowed, ETH rebounded 200%! But remember - expectation ≠ reality, whether SOL can rise today still depends on technical analysis!
II. Technical Analysis: Hourly line bull-bear slaughtering, key level determines life and death!
Current situation: Yesterday, it plummeted from 205 to 121 (40% drop), now rebounding to 127 and fluctuating, resembling 'gasping after being beaten badly.'
Critical level:
Above: 130 (bull-bear dividing line), 136 (resistance), 145 (previous high strong resistance)
Below: 118.5 (last line of defense), 115 (deep water zone)
Indicator secret language:
MACD Death Cross: Short-term bearish, but selling pressure weakens (green bars not expanding)
Volume: Panic selling after volume reduction, signals that it can't drop!
RSI=33: Oversold area, retail investors are quickly unable to cut losses!
III. Fuqi Conclusion: Two scenarios, must-watch operations for retail investors!
Scenario 1 (60% probability): Rebound after dropping to 118.5, hitting 145!
Conditions: Rate cuts benefit fermentation + oversold rebound
Action:
Hold your position steady, buy low below 130!
For those out of the market, gradually buy at 130, add positions when breaking 136!
Scenario 2 (40% probability): Break below 121, drop to 115!
Conditions: Main force sells off with positive news
Action:
Set a stop loss at 120 for your position, don't hold on stubbornly!
Wait to buy near 115, don't catch falling knives!
Fuqis Truth:
Don't trust the news! Rate cuts are expected. Today, watch for SOL on two points: Can it hold above 130? Can it break through 136 with volume?
Novice mantra: Buy lightly at 118.5, add when breaking 136! Veterans can do T trades, sell high and buy low!
Final warning: Long bullish days in a bear market, long bearish days in a bull market! Now SOL is bottoming at a low, but keep good stop-loss, don't get liquidated by a single spike!
Do you think SOL can hit 145 today? See you in the comments! Follow Fuqi, catch the waves without losses!
If you don't know the specific entry timing and exit points, and for those holding positions, you can follow Fuqi. Fuqi will announce daily cryptocurrencies and entry/exit points in the Fuqi Rocket Ship 24 hours a day.
