Cas Abbé
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Polymarket’s pricing for the December Fed meeting just shifted again.
The market now sees:
• 67% chance of NO RATE CHANGE
• 32% chance of a 25 bps cut
• Very low odds of anything bigger
The jump in the “no change” line shows traders pulling back their expectations for a December cut even after the latest data.
For crypto, this means one thing:
The market is preparing for stable rates in December.
No surprise moves. No drama.
Just steady policy which usually keeps risk assets in a comfortable zone.
The market now sees:
• 67% chance of NO RATE CHANGE
• 32% chance of a 25 bps cut
• Very low odds of anything bigger
The jump in the “no change” line shows traders pulling back their expectations for a December cut even after the latest data.
For crypto, this means one thing:
The market is preparing for stable rates in December.
No surprise moves. No drama.
Just steady policy which usually keeps risk assets in a comfortable zone.
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