BTC Deep Analysis - The Cold Wind of the Critical Zone, the Trend is Holding Its Breath
The current trend of BTC feels like a leader has dipped below the water surface but hasn’t fully let go.
The downward inertia is still present, but the strength of the bears is starting to wear down, while the bulls haven’t yet had the courage to charge.
What you are seeing now is a typical structure of "low-level repeated sideways + weak rebound + not out of the risk zone."
Technical Structure (Key)
Bollinger Bands: Price is stuck below the middle line
This indicates that the bullish force is still not strong enough to take over the trend.
The upper band is clearly bending down, still a weak rebound within a downward trend.
MACD: Green bars are diminishing, but have not turned red
This represents that the bearish momentum is decreasing, but the trend has not reversed; it is just fatigue from the decline.
In other words:
➡ It is not a reversal
➡ It is just a breather after a decline
Bullish Attack Points (breakthrough counts as bullish):
Bullish Strengthening Point:
91750
→ 1H candle must close above for bulls to be considered active
→ After that, target looks at 93000
True Reversal Point:
93800
→ Must close above for a "trend reversal" prototype
→ Target looks at 95500
⚠ Not called bullish before a breakthrough.
What you see as an increase is just a "weak rebound."
Bearish Entry
Bearish Confirmation Point:
90000 break
→ Bears take the helm again
→ Target looks at 88500
Acceleration Kill Point (breakout will be fast):
89000
→ Once confirmed, it will accelerate downward
→ Target 87000
