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李凯论趋势
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[Ended] 🎙️ 比特币早间行情分析
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从小时级别观察，大饼行情运行在布林带上轨区域，K线多次试探中轨，但上行动能明显偏弱；不过下方持续出现较长下影线，说明短期反弹动能仍在延续。反观以太，走势更为强劲，小时线不断向布林带上轨发起冲击，多头动能逐步累积，短期反弹态势持续强化。$BTC $ETH
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结合盘面结构来看，当前的震荡格局并非趋势转弱的信号，本质是市场在蓄力蓄势。切勿把这类震荡简单当成盘整折磨，对于强势运行的市场，横盘整理的核心意义在于消化前期获利盘、释放短期抛压，同时为新一轮上攻积攒动能。每一次回踩关键支撑位后企稳回升，都是对当前多头主导格局的再度确认与强化。$BTC $ETH
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从当前盘面结构分析，震荡格局本质是市场的蓄力蓄势过程，并非趋势转弱的信号，切勿将这类震荡行情简单等同于盘整折磨。对于强势运行的市场而言，横盘整理的核心逻辑在于消化前期获利盘、释放短期抛压，同时为新一轮上攻积蓄动能。每一次回踩关键支撑位后企稳回升，都是对当前多头主导结构的再度确认与强化。 若后续行情出现有效向上突破（且伴随量能同步放大），将构成趋势加速的明确信号，届时需果断执行跟进策略，精准把握首轮方向性盈利机会。午夜操作建议仍以回踩做多思路为主。$BTC $ETH
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小时周期，行情处于布林带中上轨之间窄幅拉锯，加之周末市场流动性偏弱、波幅受到限制的特点，预计短期反弹仍有一定延续空间。$BTC $ETH
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从当前盘面表现来看，日线在经历四连阴回调后，周末迎来短线弱反弹，以小阳线温和回升，但这并非趋势止跌的信号，仅属于市场短期的技术性修正行情。日线级别布林下轨已被持续突破，下方支撑位接连失效，整体震荡下行的格局并未改变，每一轮反弹实则是为后续刷新低点积蓄动能。$BTC $ETH
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