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$RENDER
showing renewed strength with steady green candles momentum building for breakout continuation
Buy zone 2.48 – 2.54
Targets 2.66 2.80 2.96
Stop loss 2.36
RENDER
2.342
+1.29%
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Wall Street's $1.2 billion withdrawal, market structure reset is a done deal The macro report from CryptoSlate shows that crypto investment products, mainly ETFs, experienced a net outflow of approximately $1.2 billion last week, with the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF being the hardest hit by redemptions. This outflow marks one of the most severe redemptions since late summer, highlighting the risk-averse sentiment among institutional investors amid macroeconomic uncertainty, government shutdowns, and increasing divergences within the Federal Reserve. The significant outflow of funds indicates that the current market is in a structural reset phase, with institutions reassessing their risk positions. Liquidity is shifting through ETFs and OTC platforms, signifying that the market has transitioned from retail FOMO to a macro-driven mature ecosystem. Despite the macro outflows, the ETF saw a strong single-day inflow of $524 million yesterday, suggesting that the dry spell may be coming to an end. Short-term advice should not be overly bearish, but high leverage should be avoided. The focus should shift from whether new highs are reached in the short term to whether $100,000 can serve as a structural bottom for institutional accumulation. The recovery of macro liquidity is key to the next bull market, and the flow of ETF funds is a leading indicator; if there is net inflow for three consecutive days, a bullish signal is established.
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Astar announces Phase 2 roadmap, fixing ASTR supply limit at 10.5 billion Astar Network officially announced the Evolution Phase 2 roadmap, with key content including the introduction of the Burndrop proof-of-concept mechanism, allowing users to burn ASTR in exchange for future Startale ecosystem tokens; activating Tokenomics 3.0 through governance proposals, fixing the total supply limit of ASTR at 10.5 billion pieces. This initiative aims to strengthen the long-term value of ASTR through hard scarcity and incentivize developers and users to participate in ecosystem development. The clear fixed supply limit of 10.5 billion is a huge structural benefit for ASTR, helping to eliminate supply uncertainty and providing a clear valuation path for long-term investors. Although short-term prices are affected by macro fluctuations and OTC transfers from Galaxy Digital, the narrative of the ecosystem is shifting from Polkadot L2 to autonomous value capture. In terms of trading strategy, considering that the current ASTR price is about $1.14, which is still far below the market expectation peak, it is recommended to establish a long-term spot position around $1.10, targeting $1.50 and $1.80. Long-term investors may choose to lock up tokens to participate in the Burndrop mechanism, obtaining Startale tokens to hedge against short-term volatility. Venture capital should avoid high leverage, as the project is still in the early stages of ecological development, with macro sentiment and Bitcoin volatility being the main risks. $ASTER
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