I clearly state that the vast majority of altcoins are not worth holding long-term!

By this time next year, 80% of altcoins will have gone to zero, not just halved or dropped by 90%, but will be directly delisted from exchanges, completely disappearing. There are still 883 days until the next Bitcoin halving, and we are currently in the coldest part of the halving cycle. Looking back, the end of 2013, the end of 2017, and the end of 2021 were all bear market bottoms. But this situation is worse; Bitcoin and Ethereum have ETF funds supporting them, while most altcoins do not have this treatment, which means that this round of the bear market may hit altcoins even harder.

In earlier years, the project parties controlled everything, from financing and listing to the secondary market, managing the entire process themselves. Later, it became led by market makers, and the position of the project parties declined. This year, the situation is even more extreme; trading platforms have integrated the primary and secondary markets, making the project parties mere supporting roles. They have neither money nor motivation to maintain the ecosystem. The market is now purely a game of running ahead; whoever runs faster gets the benefits.

Recently, some altcoin project parties have been selling off at low prices, even willing to sell at 60% or 40% of the price in packages. With the project parties actively liquidating, can we expect them to maintain the secondary market prices? Dream on! Now, market-making institutions are buying out the circulating volume and using contract hedging mechanisms to short, and the entire altcoin sector is undergoing systemic liquidation.

In the future, the ones that can survive will fall into two categories: mainstream coins with ETFs and tokens deeply bound to trading platforms. Those popular projects this year, which one isn't closely related to the platform? In the future, the on-chain environment will be more centralized; whether it's yield farming, playing NFTs, or speculating on altcoins, as long as you stray from the platform ecosystem, you are basically destined to lose money or be eliminated.

Once the short squeeze in November and December passes, the altcoins in the market next year will definitely be a mess. I'm not deliberately being bearish; I just want to remind everyone: the vast majority of altcoins should not be held long-term; the market is no longer the wild growth era it was ten years ago.

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