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We are 10% from $88-$94K liquidity and 30-40% away from $140K liquidity.
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When a US shutdown ends and the “safe havens” go vertical, the message is brutal: the risk is not a few weeks of closed museums, it is the issuer of the reserve asset itself. Gold, CHF and SEK ripping while JPY melts is capital quietly stress-testing fiscal discipline and político-risk across DM. Sweden is being rewarded for low debt and credible policy; the US is being questioned for permanent brinkmanship and structural deficits. This is how sovereign repricing starts: not with a default headline, but with a slow, relentless bid into anything that looks like money without Washington attached. $BTC
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BURRY’S FINAL WARNING: The $9.2M Bet That Ends Silicon Valley The man who called 2008 while Wall Street laughed just walked away from public markets forever. Michael Burry didn’t just short Palantir. He executed the most asymmetric trade in financial history: $9.2 million for the right to collect $240 million when AI collapses. That’s 2,600% returns when the bubble pops. The Numbers Don’t Lie: Palantir: 449x earnings. Trading at $184. Burry’s strike: $50. NVIDIA: Burning cash on chips obsolete in 36 months, depreciating them over 10 years. The entire AI sector: Hiding $176 billion in fake accounting through 2028. This is Enron mathematics. This is subprime CDOs wearing a silicon mask. What Nobody Sees: Big Tech spent $200 billion building AI infrastructure in 2025 alone. Revenue growth? Under 20%. The energy costs? Enough to power entire nations. The depreciation fraud? Bigger than anything in corporate history. Burry spotted it. Filed his 50,000 put contracts. Then did something unprecedented: he deregistered his entire fund on November 10th, vanishing from regulatory oversight exactly like he did in 2008 when the pressure broke him. This Is Not A Trade. This Is A Prophecy. When Palantir’s CEO called him crazy, Burry went silent. No defense. No explanation. Just one cryptic post: November 25th. Something unchained. He’s not managing money anymore. He’s not playing games. He placed the bet, walked away from the table, and left instructions for what comes after. The man who warned us about housing while banks collapsed is now warning us about AI while tech soars 173% this year. Last time, it took 18 months to be proven right. Last time, he made $100 million and nearly lost his mind. This time, he’s not waiting around to watch. $BTC
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$BTC Decent amount of short liquidity stacking above with local long liquidity at 102.3K. If we are going to test these upper liquidations, It has to be this week otherwise we are going below $100K.
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BREAKING: The promised $2,000 "tariff dividend" checks are not in the mail. Here is the reality check. The White House is promoting the idea. The Treasury is not mailing checks. Why? The money exists. Tariff revenue is projected to be over $300 billion. That is enough for 50 million payments of $2,000 each. But two major hurdles remain: 1. CONGRESS: Must pass a law to appropriate these funds for checks. This has not happened. 2. THE COURTS: The legal basis for the tariffs is being challenged. A federal appeals court has already ruled against it. The Supreme Court is not speeding up a final decision. Until these institutions act, this is a proposal, not a policy. What does this mean for you? • This is political signaling, not enacted law. • If checks ever come, they would likely go to households earning under $100k via the IRS. • The economic effect is a puzzle: tariffs raise prices, but checks add cash. The net result is unclear. The bottom line: Do not budget for this money. The headlines are moving faster than the law. Track Congressional action and court rulings, not sound bites. This is the gap between promise and procedure. $BTC
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AMERICA JUST BORROWED $550 BILLION WITH THE GOVERNMENT “SHUT DOWN” While politicians performed shutdown theater, Treasury borrowed $12.8 billion per day for 43 days straight. Nobody voted on it. Nobody could stop it. The machine runs itself now. Here’s what they’re not telling you: Social Security, Medicare, and debt interest payments are on autopilot. They consumed $5.8 trillion against $5.2 trillion revenue. The math doesn’t care about Congress. The deficit spending is hardwired into law itself. The breaking point approaches: Interest payments now exceed the entire defense budget for the first time in history. $920 billion per year. Growing by $22 billion with every new debt batch. At 4.1% yields, we’re paying $1 trillion annually just to service debt by 2026. Foreign holders are quietly exiting: Japan and China reduced Treasury positions 1.5% in October alone. They see the math. When the world’s reserve currency becomes the world’s largest debtor making minimum payments, the equation changes permanently. Markets are screaming warnings: Bitcoin up 4% as fiat hedge. Treasury bill rates spiked 8 basis points on liquidity strain. GDP contracted 0.4% in Q4. These aren’t coincidences. These are leading indicators of structural fracture. Four outcomes, choose one: Massive spending cuts nobody will vote for. Productivity miracle from AI saving the economy. Sovereign debt crisis when yields hit 5.5%. Or we print our way into monetary reset. The truth is mathematical: Debt hits $45 trillion by 2030. When interest rates exceed growth rates, the exponential function wins. Every empire that tried to borrow its way to prosperity learned this lesson. We’re not different. We’re just later. The shutdown ended. The borrowing accelerates. The clock runs regardless. $BTC
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