The chart I share paints an interesting picture right now in November 2025. Let's break it down: I give you my current analysis based on what I see on the chart, what I think about the momentum, and a realistic projection until December 31. Remember, this is not financial advice; the market is volatile, and always do your own research. #DYOR!!

### Quick analysis of the current chart (4H timeframe)

- Price and trend: BNB is around $1,007 USD, with a bounce of +1.62% in the last hours, but the chart shows a correction from the peaks of $1,144 (the key resistance you marked with the yellow arrow). That descending yellow line is a short-term bearish trendline, and the price is testing supports at $1,000-$977 (the green and blue levels). The 24H volume is solid (1.25M BNB / $1.2B USD), indicating interest, but not explosive yet.

- Key indicators:

- RSI (around 50-55): Neutral, exiting oversold. No strong bearish divergence, but if it falls below 40, there could be more selling pressure.

- MACD: Bearish line crossing, with negative histogram – indicates weak momentum in the short term, but could reverse if volume rises.

- Moving averages: The EMA 50 (blue) is above the price, acting as dynamic resistance at $1,020. The EMA 200 (orange) at $1,070 is the major support; if it breaks down, watch for $950.

- Patterns: There is a possible "double top" at $1,144 (as some analysts mention), but also a broader ascending channel since the lows of October. The black rocket at the end of the chart looks like a bullish emoji – I like the optimism!

- General context: The Fear & Greed Index is at 27 (fear), and BNB has fallen -21.62% in 30 days, but +25.69% in 90 days. It is a typical post-ATH correction (reached ~$1,305 in October), driven by macro factors (Bitcoin correcting and pending regulations).

In summary, I think BNB is in a disguised bullish consolidation phase. It's not an immediate pump, but the fundamentals of Binance Chain (3M+ daily users, quarterly burn of 1.9M BNB, alliances like Franklin Templeton and pending spot ETF) keep it strong. Whales are accumulating, and the ecosystem (DeFi, NFTs on BNB Chain) is growing. No panic selling – this smells like a final shakeout before the end of the year.

### What will happen until December 31, 2025?

The crypto market is in a bull cycle, with Bitcoin aiming for new ATH (~$180K according to some), and BNB usually follows it with high beta. Based on technical analysis, on-chain data, and expert forecasts (averaging sources like CoinCodex, Changelly, InvestingHaven, and posts on X), here is my outlook – divided into scenarios to be realistic:

#### Base Scenario (60% probability): Consolidation with moderate upside

- Expected price: $950 - $1,100 by the end of the month. Average ~$1,000.

- Why: Breaks the resistance of $1,145 in November with volume (possible +6-8% to $1,160-$1,180 initially). Then, it stagnates due to holidays and macro (USA inflation, Fed rates). Strong support at $900-$950 if there is regulatory FUD.

- Catalysts: Maxwell upgrade on BNB Chain (20K TPS), more institutional adoption (Nano Labs investing $500M+ in BNB), and listings on Coinbase/Robinhood.

- Risks: If BTC falls to $80K, BNB could test $800-$850.

#### Bullish Scenario (30% probability): Year-end rally

- Expected price: $1,200 - $1,300 (or more if ETF approves).

- Why: Breakout of the "cup-and-handle" on the weekly chart, with targets at $1,000+ confirmed. Supply burn tightens, and if ETH rises to $7K, BNB could hit an extra 20-30%. Year-end is usually euphoric in bull markets.

- What to watch: Volume >$1.5B daily and close above $1,070.

#### Bearish Scenario (10% probability): More correction

- Expected price: $700 - $850.

- Why: Double top confirmed and technical free fall (as some warn). If regulations (SEC vs. Binance) escalate or macro worsens, it drops to lows of $761. But fundamentals limit it – I don't see a total crash.

My overall verdict: By December 31, BNB rises net +10-20% from now, closing at ~$1,100-1,200 if the bull cycle holds. It is one of the most solid large-caps (better than many alts), and with the 2025-2026 roadmap (Nasdaq-level scalability), it has asymmetric upside. If you're in the channel, focus on entries at $950-980 with a stop-loss at $940. Do you want me to delve into a specific strategy or look at another pair? 🚀 #BNB