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💠 $BTC (Bitcoin)
Current signal: short-term — neutral-long, the market is correcting after a decline.
RSI:
1h — 44.9, 4h — 31.2, 12h — (by structure) around 36, 24h — 33.5, 7d — 44.8.
→ The price is in the local oversold zone, especially on the 4h and 24h timeframes. A technical rebound is possible.
Levels:
• Support: $100,000 – $101,000 — key buying zone, strong in volume and market psychology.
• Resistance: $104,500 – $105,200 — profit-taking level and concentration of short liquidations.
→ Holding support will open the way for a bounce, breaking — for a deeper correction.
Forecast:
Short-term (1–3 days): a bounce from $100,000 – $101,000 is likely if the RSI stabilizes (probability of growth ~60%).
Target levels in growth: $104,000 – $106,000.
Risk zones in a decline: below $99,000, an accelerated short impulse to $97,500 – $96,000 is possible.
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$ETH (Ethereum)
Current signal: short-term — neutral-short, pressure remains, but the RSI is close to the reversal zone.
RSI:
1h — 42.3, 4h — 29.6, 12h — ~34, 24h — 31.2, 7d — 45.6.
→ Ethereum is in strong oversold conditions on medium-term timeframes, forming a potential reversal point.
Levels:
• Support: $3,250 – $3,280 — the area where limit buy orders are concentrated.
• Resistance: $3,420 – $3,480 — local profit-taking level; upon breaking — the way opens to $3,600.
→ A test of the lower zone followed by a technical bounce is likely.
Forecast:
Short-term (1–3 days): a bounce to $3,380 – $3,450 is possible if it holds above $3,300 (probability of growth ~55%).
Risk zones: breaking $3,250 will lead to an acceleration of the decline to $3,150 – $3,050.
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General conclusions about the market (on 05/11/2025)
Overall market sentiment — moderately bearish, but with signs of possible recovery.
The RSI of most top assets is in the range of 30–35 on 4h and 24h, which is typical for the phase of local oversold before a corrective bounce.
Volumes remain high, indicating active redistribution of positions after the decline.
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Trading strategies
• Long only from support: for BTC — from $100,000 – $101,000, for ETH — from $3,250 – $3,280.
• Profit-taking at resistances: $104,500 (BTC) and $3,420 (ETH).
• Stop-losses should be held below key levels ($99,000 and $3,250).
• Shorts should only be opened upon breaking support with volume confirmation.
• Main recommendation — wait for confirmation of the RSI reversal and do not enter against the local impulse.
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