U.S. Government Shutdown Hits Day 35 — Polymarket Bets It Could Drag On Until Thanksgiving!

The United States Federal Government is already Day 35 into a funding gap — tying the record for the longest shutdown ever.

Prediction-markets are bracing for a much longer stalemate: traders on Polymarket now estimate a very real chance the shutdown stretches to Nov 29 (around 60 days) or even through Thanksgiving.

If it drags on till Nov 29, this shutdown will shatter the previous 35-day record from 2018-19.

Wikipedia

Federal services are under strain: furloughs, unpaid workers, and disrupted programs are mounting.

The betting/derivatives market is flashing warning signs: odds of resolution by early November are low (≈12 %) while chances of “Nov 16+” are around 42 %.

Prolonged shutdowns erode public trust, government operations, and can ripple into the economy.

With key services offline and federal workers unpaid, everyday life and markets could feel the impact.

The political deadlock signals neither side wants to blink — raising the odds of a drawn-out standoff.

⚠️ Stay tuned — this situation is evolving fast.

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