🇺🇸 Big Day Ahead: Fed Rate Cut Decision Tomorrow

Markets are bracing for the Fed’s FOMC decision at 2 PM ET, with a 25 bps rate cut already priced in. The spotlight, however, is on Jerome Powell’s 2:30 PM press conference, where his tone could shape market sentiment. With slowing jobs data, easing inflation, and lingering effects of the government shutdown, Powell may strike a dovish note. The bigger surprise? Bank reserves at the Fed just fell below $3 trillion for the first time in 2025 — hinting QT could soon end. Even JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs expect quantitative tightening to wrap up by October. A QT pause signal tomorrow could ignite a risk-on rally across markets.

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