CPI cools down = Liquidity switch turned ON | The next two rate cuts are priced in, the on-chain spring is about to release
🔥 Freshly released September core CPI:
Year-on-year 3.0% (expected 3.1%)
Month-on-month 0.2% (expected 0.3%)
All down 10 bps, the Federal Reserve's biggest headache, "rent + services" cooling down simultaneously — this is not statistical noise, inflation is really confirming "block production" off-chain.
⚡ Traders link back in seconds:
• CME FedWatch: Probability of another 25 bp cut in November > 90%
• 2024 full-year pricing: a total of 2 rate cuts (= 50 bp liquidity injection)
• 2-year U.S. Treasury yield plummeted 15 bp, DXY fell below 103 — the rust on the dollar faucet has been twisted off.
🧩 On-chain historical playback:
2020/12 CPI first broke 2% → BTC quarterly +170%
2023/11 CPI three consecutive declines → BTC quarterly +130%
The rule is simple and brutal: Inflation turning point = Risk assets mint factory starts operating.
🪙 Liquidity Beta leaderboard (already queued):
1️⃣ BTC: Digital gold, real interest rates ↓ = Discount ↓
2️⃣ ETH: L2 ecosystem TVL is highly correlated with USD liquidity, maximum elasticity
3️⃣ Gold: Previous high 2,431 has been refreshed, COMEX net long at 18-month high
4️⃣ Nasdaq 100: Rate cuts = Cash flow discount rate ↓, Mag 7 directly benefits
🚦 Operation signals (not financial advice):
• Spot vault: 30% bullets buy BTC/ETH in batches, stop-loss set at 200 D-MA
• Leverage vault: ≤2 times, only choose deep top 5 perpetuals, avoid funding rate backlash
• Cash vault: Keep 20% USDC for 4-5% yield, wait for a pullback to add, prevent spikes
🕯 One-sentence summary:
CPI block has confirmed "inflation retreat", the next block is "liquidity minting".
Spring is not a future tense, it is happening now.
Wallet open, network fees maxed out, getting on board a step late, block height does not wait for anyone.
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