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Trump: The government will resume normal operations. He advocates direct payments to individuals to purchase healthcare services. The government shutdown cost $1.5 trillion. White House: The release of October's employment and inflation reports is unlikely, leaving the Fed facing a data gap ahead of its December meeting. Collins, Federal Reserve: I am reluctant to ease monetary policy further unless there is a significant deterioration in the labor market. - The bar for further easing in the short term is relatively high. - It would be prudent to ensure that inflation is sustainably moving toward the 2% target before implementing further policy rate cuts. - More monetary support for economic activity carries the risk of slowing or halting inflation's return to 2%. - I expect a slight increase in the unemployment rate and anticipate tariffs will keep inflation elevated through early 2026. - I have not seen an increase in downside risks to employment since the summer. - Cites limited data on inflation due to the government shutdown. President Trump has officially signed the bill ending the “government shutdown.” The longest government shutdown in history has finally come to an end. #TRUMP
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